He did not give any evidence, let alone proof - You Tony have at least
attempted to below.
No need - that study looked at the UK and USA, who have had among the
worst experience. They both handled lockdowns, and indeed all
responses to Covid badly.
Politics do have some effect, however. For New Zealand, our response
was a combination of lockdown both internally and at the border. Yes
NZ was lucky to be able to close our border as easily as we did. Look
at results for Australia, where different states took different views.
Western Australia and Queensland had the most effective lockdowns,
also accompanied by border closure, albeit not as quickly as in New
Zealand for either policy
Our combined policy of early and hard lockdown (followed by less
severe lockdowns based on regions with infection), plus MIQ, have
resulted in a significant difference in the number of deaths in New
Zealand and the countries in the recent report. If not the government
policies, what do you think caused the much lower mortality for New
Have a look at the graphs of deaths per million for different
countries over time - there is no doubt that New Zealand had a vastly
different experience than most of the rest of the world.
>>>>>Stop paying these idiots money for their useless models and stop giving
>>>>>them airtime. Hendy, Wiles and Plank are *not* epidemiologists.
>>>> Most modellers are not epidemiologists, but they can model what they
>>>> are asked to model, and expert commentators can interpre and give
>>>> informed comment on those models.
>>>True. However th epoint is all we got is a figure with many zeros after it,
>>>and given as if it was the only figure as in good as gold. Without context
>>>any figure is not of a great deal use.
It is not clear what figure you are talking about - the models give
more than that; perhaps you were listening to the wrong media outlet -
or perhaps none of the media gave enough time for extensive
As Covid has changed, so have our government responses (and scientific
modelling) changed. The change from Delta to Omicron is highlighting
that current data is not as reliable as it was - because of
vaccination, and possibly because of changes to the virus, numbers
will not be refelecting true numbers of people with infection; more
will be asymptomatic; more will take 2 to 5 days longer to identify
themselves as having Covid, and some may not realise they had it until
they have a test.