TROPICAL UPDATE; From Polk County EOC
Evans F. Mitchell; KD4EFM / WQOD 582
From my local EOC.
South Florida needs to watch this.
Evans F. Mitchell
KD4EFM / WQOD 582
P25/D-Star/NXDN/TDMA-2slot
Digital HAM RADIO
Product Support and Programmer
I.T.T. Tech Graduate – AAS – EET 91’
20+ yrs 2-Way Radio Tech. Experience
TS ISAAC - (TS ISAAC IS IDENTIFIED IN THE ATTACHED IMAGERY WITH A YELLOW CIRCLE) THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH LONGITUDE 57.3 WEST. ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB.
INV 96 - (INV 96 IS IDENTIFIED IN THE ATTACHED IMAGERY WITH A WHITE CIRCLE) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER TODAY AS THE LOW MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE, 90 PERCENT, OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
POLK COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT EOC WILL BE MONITORING THE TROPICS AND WILL NOTIFY OF CHANGES, IF NECESSARY.
NOTE - IN REFERENCE TO THE MODELS FOR THESE SYSTEMS – MODELS ARE NOT AN EXACT SCIENCE, THEY ARE BASED ON THE CURRENT CONDITIONS. AS CONDITIONS CHANGE, SO DO THE MODELS. THE MODELS ARE USED FOR GENERALIZATION OF THE TRAJECTORY AND INTENSITY OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM(S).
WATER TEMP
SURFACE ANALYSIS
STEERING
SHEAR
Billy Abernathy FPEM
Polk County Emergency Management FR05
EOC Coordinator
1890 Jim Keene Blvd.
Winter Haven, 33880
Office 863-298-7001
Cell 863-860-8002
The “Extra Mile” has no traffic jams.
