Winter '12 / '13 - Storm #2: RAW Forecasts

[T Q]

Marginal event but what the hay.

Best case scenario...the plows will be out on the road.

 

In hindsight...should have left the verification period open ended.

When the 'Call for Forecasts' was issued on THU...NWP indicated most of the snow would have fallen by 11:59 PM SAT.  Later guidance suggested otherwise.

 

 

Summary of Entries Entry No. 1127
Forecaster = Snowstorm
Time = 12/25/2012 7:23:39 AM
CAR = 15.5
BGR = 18
PWM = 3.5
CON = 9
BTV = 13
BOS = 1.5
HYA = 0
ORH = 7
PVD = 1
BDR = 2.5
BDL = 5
ALB = 13.5
BGM = 11
ISP = 0
JFK = 0
ABE = 9
MDT = 9
PHL = 1.5
ACY = .2
EWR = .5
BWI = 1.5
IAD = .4
DCA = .3
SBY = .2
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Storm 1 Storm Toatal Snowfall.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1128
Forecaster = donsutherland1
Time = 12/25/2012 11:13:45 AM
CAR = 12.7
BGR = 8.2
PWM = 7.0
CON = 9.0
BTV = 7.2
BOS = 0.5
HYA = 0.0
ORH = 5.0
PVD = 0.05
BDR = 0.2
BDL = 3.5
ALB = 6.8
BGM = 4.5
ISP = 0.0
JFK = 0.0
ABE = 1.0
MDT = 2.0
PHL = 0.0
ACY = 0.0
EWR = 0.0
BWI = 0.0
IAD = 0.0
DCA = 0.0
SBY = 0.0
RIC = 0.0
ORF = 0.0
RDU = 0.0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1129
Forecaster = snocat918
Time = 12/25/2012 1:02:59 PM
CAR = 20
BGR = 13
PWM = 4
CON = 10
BTV = 22
BOS = 2
HYA = 0
ORH = 6
PVD = 0
BDR = 0
BDL = 0
ALB = 14
BGM = 16
ISP = 0
JFK = 0
ABE = 9
MDT = 10
PHL = 6
ACY = 0
EWR = 2
BWI = 2
IAD = 4
DCA = 4
SBY = 0
RIC = 1
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1130
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 12/25/2012 3:51:33 PM
CAR = 14.0
BGR = 7.5
PWM = 4.0
CON = 3.0
BTV = 12.0
BOS = 1.2
HYA = 0.1
ORH = 2.8
PVD = 2.0
BDR = 1.5
BDL = 3.0
ALB = 5.5
BGM = 11.8
ISP = 0.3
JFK = 0.2
ABE = 6.5
MDT = 2.8
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0
EWR = 2.0
BWI = 0.1
IAD = 0.1
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Entering early because I am sure to forget later ... marry Christmas to the rest of the crew ... this looks like a rainy start to a slopfest finish for the I-95 towards the end of the event.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1131
Forecaster = snowman
Time = 12/25/2012 5:51:44 PM
CAR = 9.3
BGR = 8.7
PWM = 4.2
CON = 5.2
BTV = 7.1
BOS = 1.0
HYA = .25
ORH = 3.2
PVD = 1.2
BDR = 1.0
BDL = 2
ALB = 5.2
BGM = 5.5
ISP = .5
JFK = 1.0
ABE = 6.5
MDT = 5
PHL = 1.1
ACY = .2
EWR = 3.1
BWI = 1
IAD = 3
DCA = .50
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1132
Forecaster = herb@maws
Time = 12/25/2012 6:48:13 PM
CAR = 10
BGR = 8
PWM = 7
CON = 9
BTV = 10
BOS = 0.5
HYA = 0
ORH = 3.5
PVD = 0.5
BDR = 0
BDL = 0.8
ALB = 8
BGM = 10
ISP = 0
JFK = 0
ABE = 0.3
MDT = 0.3
PHL = 0
ACY = 0
EWR = 0
BWI = 0
IAD = 0.05
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Contest #1
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1133
Forecaster = Shillelagh
Time = 12/25/2012 8:00:04 PM
CAR = 16
BGR = 8
PWM = 2
CON = 5
BTV = 14
BOS = T
HYA = 0
ORH = 5
PVD = T
BDR = T
BDL = 2
ALB = 8
BGM = 11
ISP = 0
JFK = 0
ABE = 0.5
MDT = 1.5
PHL = 0
ACY = 0
EWR = 0
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Screw I-95.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1134
Forecaster = TQ
Time = 12/25/2012 8:58:02 PM
CAR = 18
BGR = 16
PWM = 3
CON = 10
BTV = 12
BOS = 1.5
HYA = .05
ORH = 8
PVD = 1
BDR = 1
BDL = 6.5
ALB = 15
BGM = 10
ISP = .05
JFK = .05
ABE = 6
MDT = 4.5
PHL = .05
ACY = 0
EWR = .5
BWI = 1
IAD = 1.5
DCA = .5
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = GooFuS FTW!
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1135
Forecaster = Mitchel volk
Time = 12/25/2012 9:45:50 PM
CAR = 10
BGR = 11
PWM = 13
CON = 16
BTV = 14
BOS = 3
HYA = 0
ORH = 9
PVD = 0
BDR = 0
BDL = 0
ALB = 10
BGM = 7
ISP = 0
JFK = 0
ABE = 5
MDT = 3
PHL = 0
ACY = 0
EWR = 0
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1136
Forecaster = dryslot
Time = 12/25/2012 9:58:55 PM
CAR = 8
BGR = 10
PWM = 8
CON = 8
BTV = 10
BOS = 2
HYA = 0
ORH = 8
PVD = 2
BDR = 2
BDL = 2
ALB = 6
BGM = 6
ISP = 0
JFK = 0
ABE = 5
MDT = 6
PHL = 2
ACY = 0
EWR = 0
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 2
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1137
Forecaster = weatherT
Time = 12/25/2012 10:04:41 PM
CAR = 14.0
BGR = 8.5
PWM = 1.5
CON = 7.8
BTV = 11.5
BOS = 0
HYA = 0
ORH = 2.4
PVD = 0
BDR = 0
BDL = 0
ALB = 3.2
BGM = 5.1
ISP = 0
JFK = 0
ABE = 3.0
MDT = 2.4
PHL = 1.0
ACY = 0
EWR = 0.3
BWI = 0.2
IAD = 0.5
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1138
Forecaster = donsutherland1
Time = 12/25/2012 10:28:39 PM
CAR = 12.5
BGR = 8.6
PWM = 2.6
CON = 4.0
BTV = 10.5
BOS = 0.5
HYA = 0.05
ORH = 3.8
PVD = 0.1
BDR = 0.05
BDL = 2.4
ALB = 7.3
BGM = 8.0
ISP = 0.0
JFK = 0.0
ABE = 0.2
MDT = 1.0
PHL = 0.0
ACY = 0.0
EWR = 0.0
BWI = 0.0
IAD = 0.0
DCA = 0.0
SBY = 0.0
RIC = 0.0
ORF = 0.0
RDU = 0.0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1139
Forecaster = Donald Rosenfeld
Time = 12/25/2012 10:29:31 PM
CAR = 9
BGR = 9
PWM = 3
CON = 7.5
BTV = 15
BOS = 0.25
HYA = 0
ORH = 4
PVD = 0
BDR = 1
BDL = 2.75
ALB = 13.5
BGM = 8.5
ISP = 0
JFK = 0
ABE = 2
MDT = 4
PHL = 0
ACY = 0
EWR = 0
BWI = 0
IAD = 1
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0.25
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1140
Forecaster = Brad Yehl
Time = 12/25/2012 10:29:48 PM
CAR = 12.8
BGR = 12.4
PWM = 6.9
CON = 8.5
BTV = 11.4
BOS = 0.05
HYA = 0.05
ORH = 5.8
PVD = 0.05
BDR = 0.05
BDL = 3.2
ALB = 6.1
BGM = 8.8
ISP = 0.0
JFK = 0.0
ABE = 1.4
MDT = 1.2
PHL = 0.05
ACY = 0.0
EWR = 0.05
BWI = 0.05
IAD = 0.2
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.0
RIC = 0.0
ORF = 0.0
RDU = 0.0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1141
Forecaster = kevinmyattwx
Time = 12/27/2012 8:33:32 PM
CAR = 3
BGR = 5
PWM = 5
CON = 3
BTV = 3
BOS = 6
HYA = 3
ORH = 6
PVD = 3
BDR = 3
BDL = 3
ALB = 4
BGM = 2
ISP = 0
JFK = 3
ABE = 6
MDT = 6
PHL = 3
ACY = 0
EWR = 4
BWI = 4
IAD = 3
DCA = 2
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1142
Forecaster = quagmireweathercentral
Time = 12/27/2012 9:52:28 PM
CAR = 0
BGR = 0
PWM = 2
CON = 5
BTV = 4
BOS = 7
HYA = 8
ORH = 9
PVD = 8
BDR = 7
BDL = 6
ALB = 3
BGM = 5
ISP = 7
JFK = 6
ABE = 0
MDT = 6
PHL = 4
ACY = 5
EWR = 3
BWI = 4
IAD = 4
DCA = 2.5
SBY = 4
RIC = 1
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1143
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 12/28/2012 12:19:06 AM
CAR = 4
BGR = 10
PWM = 13
CON = 12
BTV = 5
BOS = 9
HYA = 1
ORH = 10
PVD = 10
BDR = 7
BDL = 9
ALB = 6
BGM = 8
ISP = 7
JFK = 5
ABE = 5
MDT = 3
PHL = 1
ACY = 1
EWR = 5
BWI = 0.2
IAD = 0.1
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = really early because I won't be around to see any further guidance
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1144
Forecaster = defman27
Time = 12/28/2012 11:49:36 AM
CAR = 0
BGR = 0
PWM = .3
CON = .4
BTV = .1
BOS = .8
HYA = .4
ORH = .9
PVD = .6
BDR = 1
BDL = 1.1
ALB = 1.2
BGM = .9
ISP = 1.5
JFK = 1.3
ABE = 3.7
MDT = 4.1
PHL = 3.2
ACY = 1.8
EWR = 2.2
BWI = 1.8
IAD = .3
DCA = .1
SBY = .1
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1145
Forecaster = herb@maws
Time = 12/28/2012 7:06:25 PM
CAR = 0.05
BGR = 1
PWM = 1
CON = 1.3
BTV = 2
BOS = 2.5
HYA = 1
ORH = 3
PVD = 2.5
BDR = 1
BDL = 2
ALB = 2
BGM = 1.5
ISP = 3.5
JFK = 2.5
ABE = 3
MDT = 3
PHL = 3
ACY = 0
EWR = 3
BWI = 2.5
IAD = 2.5
DCA = 0.5
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Contest #2 -- some of these locations may see accum'ing snow after the end of contest/midnite Saturday, so I cut those places totals down some (generally from BDL and points NE-ward)
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1146
Forecaster = Iralibov
Time = 12/28/2012 7:06:34 PM
CAR = 0.5
BGR = 6.5
PWM = 8.1
CON = 3.8
BTV = 1.8
BOS = 6.4
HYA = 2.4
ORH = 8.2
PVD = 4.2
BDR = 4.1
BDL = 7.3
ALB = 3.8
BGM = 2.9
ISP = 3.2
JFK = 3.8
ABE = 5.2
MDT = 4.5
PHL = 3.9
ACY = 1.4
EWR = 4.3
BWI = 3.1
IAD = 2.7
DCA = 2.4
SBY = 0
RIC = 1.0
ORF = 0
RDU = 1.0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1147
Forecaster = snocat918
Time = 12/28/2012 10:04:55 PM
CAR = 2
BGR = 4
PWM = 6
CON = 5.2
BTV = 2
BOS = 4.5
HYA = .05
ORH = 4.5
PVD = 5
BDR = 3
BDL = 3.5
ALB = 2
BGM = 2
ISP = .05
JFK = 2.5
ABE = 4.5
MDT = 4
PHL = 2.5
ACY = 0
EWR = 1
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = .05
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1148
Forecaster = donsutherland1
Time = 12/28/2012 10:28:51 PM
CAR = 0.0
BGR = 0.8
PWM = 3.2
CON = 3.4
BTV = 2.9
BOS = 3.5
HYA = 2.0
ORH = 4.0
PVD = 4.3
BDR = 2.3
BDL = 4.0
ALB = 3.8
BGM = 4.3
ISP = 1.2
JFK = 1.5
ABE = 4.0
MDT = 3.3
PHL = 1.0
ACY = 0.0
EWR = 2.8
BWI = 0.2
IAD = 0.2
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.0
RIC = 0.0
ORF = 0.0
RDU = 0.0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1149
Forecaster = Donald Rosenfeld
Time = 12/28/2012 10:29:57 PM
CAR = 0
BGR = 2.5
PWM = 4
CON = 3
BTV = 1
BOS = 4.5
HYA = 3.25
ORH = 3.5
PVD = 4.75
BDR = 5
BDL = 4.25
ALB = 3.5
BGM = 4.25
ISP = 2.5
JFK = 3.75
ABE = 4.75
MDT = 4
PHL = 2.25
ACY = 0
EWR = 3.75
BWI = 0.25
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0.05
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1150
Forecaster = Brad Yehl
Time = 12/28/2012 10:29:57 PM
CAR = 0.05
BGR = 0.3
PWM = 1.4
CON = 2.2
BTV = 2.6
BOS = 3.2
HYA = 1.0
ORH = 5.6
PVD = 6.2
BDR = 3.2
BDL = 3.8
ALB = 3.5
BGM = 3.7
ISP = 1.6
JFK = 2.0
ABE = 4.5
MDT = 3.8
PHL = 1.4
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 2.8
BWI = 1.0
IAD = 1.2
DCA = 0.6
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0.0
ORF = 0.0
RDU = 0.0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1151
Forecaster = answered7
Time = 12/28/2012 10:33:12 PM
CAR = 1.0
BGR = 2.5
PWM = 5.0
CON = 2.3
BTV = 2.0
BOS = 6.5
HYA = 5.2
ORH = 5.3
PVD = 9.1
BDR = 7.5
BDL = 6.3
ALB = 4.2
BGM = 3.2
ISP = 3.1
JFK = 3.9
ABE = 2.0
MDT = 1.6
PHL = 0.4
ACY = 1.0
EWR = 1.2
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1152
Forecaster = TQ
Time = 12/28/2012 10:39:45 PM
CAR = .05
BGR = 1.5
PWM = 3
CON = 4
BTV = 2
BOS = 4
HYA = 0
ORH = 4.5
PVD = 0
BDR = 1
BDL = 4
ALB = 3
BGM = 3.5
ISP = 0
JFK = 0
ABE = 3
MDT = 2
PHL = .5
ACY = .05
EWR = 3
BWI = .05
IAD = .05
DCA = .05
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----