The deadline would be ~24 HRS before landfall, which based on the latest NHC
forecast, would be around 2 PM Friday.
Forecast elements:
Landfall:
1 - Lat / Lon.
Error measured in miles
2 - Date/time.
Error measured in minutes.
3 - Central sea-level pressure
Error measured in millibars.
4 - Over-land max wind speed and gust (in knots) at a METAR-reporting
surface station within 12 HRS of landfall.
Error measured in knots.
5 - Max storm total rainfall (any published, verifiable source, such as TWC,
CDUS41, PNS).
Error measured in inches.
Landfall + 24 hours
1 - Lat / Lon. Error measured in miles
Error scores for each element will be normalized, then averaged for the
final score. Low score wins.
When you picking your landfalling lat&lon, you might want to use this
application...
http://adds.aviationweather.noaa.gov/tafs/java/
--
TQ
"God speaks through me. Without that, I couldn't do my job."
--President Bush, July 16, 2004
>Any interest? We did this last year for Isabel.
Count me in!
Jeff
1 - Cape Canaveral FL
2 - 09/04/04 04:44
3 - 932
4 - 123
5 - 8.90 same size as my boyfriend :-)
Are 'cowardly,anonymous pests' allowed to play ??
xoxoxo
--MommyBartlo--
"TQ" <ToweringQs AT adelphia.net> wrote in message
news:cJudnUi2Z6o...@adelphia.com...
> I'm sure I can do better than my loser son !! Thank you for running such a
> good contest TQ. Maybe JoJo will be as clueless as he was with Isabel last
> year :-)
No - you can't do better than him and you can't do better than me. S of
Cape Canaveral, 935 mb.
> Quit pretending you know how to run a forecast game of verify it, pest.
^
r
> Joseph Bartlo wrote:
>
>
>>Quit pretending you know how to run a forecast game of verify it, pest.
>
> ^
> r
<Nelson> Ha ha! </Nelson>
> 5 - 8.90 same size as my boyfriend :-)
Amazing the trash some guys who can do much better are stuck with.
On Wed, 01 Sep 2004 04:24:52 GMT, Joseph Bartlo <jba...@verizon.net>
wrote:
"I doubt it." - Dean
Berg is back.
> Excellent post, Joseph!!!!
Shut up Berg, you are not wanted here.
--
Our enemies are innovative,
And resourceful,
And so are we.
They never stop thinking about new ways to harm our country,
And our people,
And neither do we.
-- George W. Bush 8/5/2004
>In article <413607A7...@verizon.invalid.net>, Joseph Bartlo
>-=-=-=-=-
>
>* Official AFA-B Bully, Pest, Antagonist, Government/Media
> Disinformation Agent, "Dr. Green" Sockpuppet, and Lemming
>* Chief AFA-B Vote Rustler
NHC/s 5 PM forecast stays the course with landafll expected around 2 PM
Saturday.
Last two runs from the EC have landfall in GA a couple days later.
MRF has been well E of FL for several days.
Plenty-o-uncertainty to go around.
--
TQ
"God speaks through me. Without that, I couldn't do my job."
--President Bush, July 16, 2004
"Donald Rosenfeld" <donald.r...@comcast.net> wrote in message
news:v1cZc.268165$eM2.138366@attbi_s51...
Hey Blarto, have you cleaned that disgusting smegma covered gigabrow yet?
--
The AFA-B Sovereign Sockpuppet©
Government/Media Sponsored/Supported Disinformation/Mind Control Agent
Chief of Weather Control, Super Secret 34°, Order of the Illuminati
Presidential Puppeteer of the New World Order
Skepticult® ID: 581-00504-208
Sockmaster General
"I can't fight no one", Joseph "Foamy" Bartlo
<news:40C1EDA4...@enter.net>
"I was voted 'Kook of the year'", Raymond "Fathead" Karczewski
<news:40c76759...@news.west.earthlink.net>
"I goofed...", Ed "Dense as Rocks" Conrad
<news:cg7kf0ho8cs84vq8d...@4ax.com>
"Of Course I am a kook!", Pietro "Pedro" Sommavilla
<news:204c3b0a.04072...@posting.google.com>
"I have been drinking like this for 40 years", Stephen "Varnisher" Vanier
<news:7JWKc.99$u96....@news.uswest.net>
"Aluminum is a Masonic conspiracy", Alex "Br0omb0i" Kline
<news:fXPXc.5980$ZC7....@newssvr19.news.prodigy.com>
* Disrupting the flow of information on the Internet since before Y2k0oK. *
Is that what your boyfriend told you as he was walking out the door?
Quit pst0p-ps0asting, Blarto. You are the worlds worst weatherboi. Hell,
isn't it?
Thats information neither needed nor wanted, Blarto.
--
nice way to talk about your Stern Father, UNIBROW
>
> Forecast elements:
> Mitchel Volk Entry
> Landfall:
> 1 - Lat / Lon. 26.75 North X 80 West
> Error measured in miles
> 2 - Date/time. Friday 2, Sept 22.45Z
> Error measured in minutes.
> 3 - Central sea-level pressure 932MB
> Error measured in millibars.
> 4 - Over-land max wind speed and gust (in knots) at a METAR-reporting 115 Gust 135Kns
> surface station within 12 HRS of landfall.
> Error measured in knots.
> 5 - Max storm total rainfall (any published, verifiable source, such as TWC, 17"
> Excellent post, Joseph!!!!
Thank you.
> Alec Berg wrote:
>
>> Excellent post, Joseph!!!!
>
> Thank you.
>
You're welcome.
Is Alexa here yet?
> In article <413675E5...@verizon.net>, Joseph Bartlo
> <jba...@verizon.net> wrote:
I did not write this :
>
> -=-=-=-=-
>
> * Official AFA-B Bully, Pest, Antagonist, Government/Media
> Disinformation Agent, "Dr. Green" Sockpuppet, and Lemming
> * Chief AFA-B Vote Rustler
--
mhm 27x12
smeeter #28
Usenet Valhalla Circle #19 & #21
Bartlo's hate lits #1: <40376AD8...@enter.net>
CEO Alcatroll Labs Inc.
The Way of the Kook:
http://www.insurgent.org/~jhd/kookway.htm
> On 02 Sep 2004, "Dr. Flonkenstein" <ad...@localhost.localdomain> posted
> some news:pan.2004.09.02....@localhost.localdomain:
>
>> On Wed, 01 Sep 2004 20:34:36 -0600, C.R. Osterwald wrote:
>>
>>> In article <413675E5...@verizon.net>, Joseph Bartlo
>>> <jba...@verizon.net> wrote:
I did not write this.
On Wed, 01 Sep 2004 20:12:16 GMT, GPM <nos...@nospam.net> wrote:
>On 9/1/04 3:52 PM, in article 43acj0tlhs17vus4v...@4ax.com,
>"Alec Berg" <Alec...@yahoo.nospamatall.com> wrote:
>
>> Excellent post, Joseph!!!!
>Shut up Berg, you are not wanted here.
>>
>> On Wed, 01 Sep 2004 04:24:52 GMT, Joseph Bartlo <jba...@verizon.net>
>> wrote:
>>
>>> Quit pretending you know how to run a forecast game of verify it, pest.
>>>
>> "I doubt it." - Dean
>>
>> Berg is back.
"I doubt it." - Dean
Berg is back.
Post your entry to the NG under this thread or new thread with 'Frances
Forecast Contest' in the Subject line and send a copy to: ToweringQs AT
adelphia.net (replace AT with @)
Forecast elements:
Landfall:
1 - Lat / Lon.
Error measured in miles based on where the leading edge of the eyewall
intersects land, as depicted on the 0.5° elevation angle from the closest,
usable 88-D site.
2 - Date/time.
Error measured in minutes based on when the leading edge of the eyewall
intersects land, as depicted on the 0.5° elevation angle from the closest,
usable 88-D site.
3 - Central sea-level pressure
Error measured in millibars, based on closest METAR reporting site or NWS
bulletin.
4 - Over-land max wind speed and gust (in knots) at a METAR-reporting
surface station within 12 HRS of landfall.
Error measured in knots based on closest METAR reporting site.
5 - Max storm total rainfall (any published, verifiable source, such as TWC,
CDUS41, PNS).
Error measured in inches based on METAR reports, NWS bulletin, TWC, or other
verifiable source.
Landfall + 24 hours
1 - Lat / Lon.
Error measured in miles based on analysis of METAR reports and/or 0.5°
elevation scan from nearby 88-D site.
Error scores for each element will be normalized with a z-score, then
averaged for the final score. All forecast elements have equal weight. Low
score wins. In the event of a tie, earliest entry wins.
Contest Administrator reserves the right to reject any entry to protect the
integrity of the contest.
When you picking your landfalling lat&lon, you might want to use this
application...
http://adds.aviationweather.noaa.gov/tafs/java/
TQ
>Deadline Friday, August 3 @ 2 PM EDT SHARP! No grace period.
>
>Post your entry to the NG under this thread or new thread with 'Frances
>Forecast Contest' in the Subject line and send a copy to: ToweringQs AT
>adelphia.net (replace AT with @)
>
>Forecast elements:
Okay, heeeeere we go....
> Landfall:
>1 - Lat / Lon.
latitude 26.6 degrees north, longitude 80.2 degrees west
>2 - Date/time.
Sat. 4 September 15:00 EDT (19:00 UTC)
>3 - Central sea-level pressure
940 mb
>4 - Over-land max wind speed and gust (in knots) at a METAR-reporting
>surface station within 12 HRS of landfall.
120 knots/gust 135 knots
>5 - Max storm total rainfall (any published, verifiable source, such as TWC,
>CDUS41, PNS).
12 inches
> Landfall + 24 hours
>1 - Lat / Lon.
latitude 27.9 north, longitude 83.6 west
> On Thu, 02 Sep 2004 09:42:18 GMT, Penas Sorus <jsnar...@inter.net>
> transparently proposed:
>
>>On 02 Sep 2004, "Dr. Flonkenstein" <ad...@localhost.localdomain>
posted
>>some news:pan.2004.09.02....@localhost.localdomain:
>>
>>> On Wed, 01 Sep 2004 20:34:36 -0600, C.R. Osterwald wrote:
>>>
>>>> In article <413675E5...@verizon.net>, Joseph Bartlo
>>>> <jba...@verizon.net> wrote:
I did not wite this :
On 01 Sep 2004, Aratzio <a6ah...@sneakemail.com> posted some
news:554dj01ontdjuoteh...@4ax.com:
27.4N/80.4W
> 2 - Date/time.
9/5 12:10 AM
> 3 - Central sea-level pressure
950 MB
> 4 - Over-land max wind speed and gust (in knots) at a METAR-reporting
> surface station within 12 HRS of landfall.
110 Kts, gusts to 125 Kts
> 5 - Max storm total rainfall
10"
> Landfall + 24 hours
> 1 - Lat / Lon.
28.0N/82.3W
- Steve Stein ("Ralph Kramden")
Best to keep the TQ bullshit on the bullshit group and don't contaminate
the moderated group with it.
Best to keep the TQ bullshit on the bullshit group and don't contaminate
the moderated group with it.
"C.R. Osterwald" wrote:
>
> I did not wite this :
>
> In article <Xns9558D92F91C9...@216.168.3.44>, Ozzie Dog
"C.R. Osterwald" wrote:
>
> I did not wite this:
>
> In article <Xns9558D948323D...@216.168.3.44>, Ozzie Dog
> <accessco...@porconohills.tv> wrote:
>
> > I did not write this:
> >
> > On 01 Sep 2004, "C.R. Osterwald" <r...@dev.null> posted some
> > news:010920042230395985%r...@dev.null:
> >
> > > I did not write this:
> > >
> > > In article <554dj01ontdjuoteh...@4ax.com>, Aratzio
> > ><a6ah...@sneakemail.com> wrote:
> > >
> > >> I did not write this:
> > >>
"C.R. Osterwald" wrote:
>
> I did not wite this :
>
> In article <Xns9558D95DF8D7...@216.168.3.44>, Ozzie Dog
> <accessco...@porconohills.tv> wrote:
>
> > I did not write this :
> >
> > On 02 Sep 2004, "C.R. Osterwald" <r...@dev.null> posted some
> > news:020920040806278632%r...@dev.null:
> >
> > > I did not write this :
> > >
> > > In article <010920042230395985%r...@dev.null>, C.R. Osterwald
> > ><r...@dev.null> wrote:
> > >
> > >> I did not write this:
> > >>
I did not write this :
This cascade will be refuted later with my next list.
Another lying pest too dumb to spell I word I could at age 3.
False, pest. You did not not write this, only I did not write this.
Do you dream often?
How?
Do you think I'm a hacker?
I think you are a pest who I'd rather not spend anymore of my time
exchanging crap with.
You are in no position to dictate who can post to the moderated group,
Bartlo. With all the noise you inject into ne.weather, you are
hypocritical for criticizing others on their posting habits.
> Best to keep the TQ bullshit on the bullshit group and don't contaminate
> the moderated group with it.
There was no bullshit in TQ's post. It was on-topic for the group, and
didn't even mention you (imagine that). Is there a reason why you're so
obsessed with TQ that you have to insert yourself in any thread
involving him/her even if its not about you?
You appear to have a persecution complex, Bartlo (that is an opinion,
not a statement of fact or diagnosis). I'll ask again : have you ever
considered speaking to a medical doctor to clear up whether you might
have a problem or not?
<on-topic weather related post from TQ and Stephen Stein snipped>
--
Dan Baldwin, unethical *by design*
I am a minion of Satan, but my powers are mainly administrative.
Hail the un-alive
You're doing a good impression of the opposite, lunatic.
--
The Reverend Parson Peter Parsnip
VISIT ME ONLINE AT: http://peterparsnip.blogspot.com/
"Withhold not correction from the child: for if thou beatest him with
the rod, he shall not die." -- Proverbs 23:13 (AV)
Be still! and revere C.R. Osterwald, who blessed us with their presence on
03 Sep 2004...
> I did not wite this:
>
> In article <41389CAB...@verizon.invalid.net>, Joseph Bartlo
--
> As I predicted, all the ants are out still trying to down just one of me
> against all of them.
This very much looks like a foamdown. I hope someone is keeping score.
> Be still! and revere Joseph Bartlo, who blessed us with their presence
on
> 03 Sep 2004...
>
>> Lady Chatterly wrote:
>>
>>> In article <41389C8B...@verizon.invalid.net>,
>>> Joseph Bartlo <jba...@verizon.invalid.net> wrote:
>>> >
>>> >Do you pests think I actually read the bullshit you exchange
amongst
>>> >yourselves?
>>>
>>> Do you think I'm a hacker?
>>
>> I think you are a pest who I'd rather not spend anymore of my time
>> exchanging crap with.
>
> You're doing a good impression of the opposite, lunatic.
>
Hurricanes mean nothing, the aliens will cause a solar burst in 2012 and
wipe the earth clean if we have not made earth the paradise it is
supposed to be.
--
------------------------------------------------------
"Who does Not Know the Truth, is simply a Fool...
Yet who Knows the Truth and Calls it a Lie, is a Criminal."
- In "Galileo Galilei" by Berthold Brecht (1898-1956)
-------------------------------------------------------
Landfall + 24
1 - 28.7 / 82.2
--
TQ
"Everybody says I seek war.
But I must be conscious of
My responsibilities.
The menace to
Our country is such
That it cannot be ignored.
There is ample proof
Of the aims of
Our enemy.
And I
Thank God Almighty
For giving Me
The strength
The knowledge
To do what must be done."
-- George DubyAmerica
"TQ" <ToweringQs AT adelphia.net> wrote in message
news:pIednTk_sYF...@adelphia.com...
| Deadline Friday, August 3 @ 2 PM EDT SHARP! No grace period.
|
| Post your entry to the NG under this thread or new thread with 'Frances
| Forecast Contest' in the Subject line and send a copy to: ToweringQs AT
| adelphia.net (replace AT with @)
|
| Forecast elements:
|
| Landfall:
| 1 - Lat / Lon.
| Error measured in miles based on where the leading edge of the eyewall
| intersects land, as depicted on the 0.5° elevation angle from the closest,
| usable 88-D site.
|
| 2 - Date/time.
| Error measured in minutes based on when the leading edge of the eyewall
| intersects land, as depicted on the 0.5° elevation angle from the closest,
| usable 88-D site.
|
| 3 - Central sea-level pressure
| Error measured in millibars, based on closest METAR reporting site or NWS
| bulletin.
|
| 4 - Over-land max wind speed and gust (in knots) at a METAR-reporting
| surface station within 12 HRS of landfall.
| Error measured in knots based on closest METAR reporting site.
|
| 5 - Max storm total rainfall (any published, verifiable source, such as
TWC,
| CDUS41, PNS).
| Error measured in inches based on METAR reports, NWS bulletin, TWC, or
other
| verifiable source.
|
|
| Landfall + 24 hours
| 1 - Lat / Lon.
| Error measured in miles based on analysis of METAR reports and/or 0.5°
| elevation scan from nearby 88-D site.
|
| Error scores for each element will be normalized with a z-score, then
| averaged for the final score. All forecast elements have equal weight.
Low
| score wins. In the event of a tie, earliest entry wins.
|
| Contest Administrator reserves the right to reject any entry to protect
the
| integrity of the contest.
|
| When you picking your landfalling lat&lon, you might want to use this
| application...
| http://adds.aviationweather.noaa.gov/tafs/java/
|
> go@fish (Vicar Peter Parsnip) wrote in news:Xns9559BCC88EB66meowth@the-
> way-of-the-parsnip.root-vegetables:
>
>> Be still! and revere Joseph Bartlo, who blessed us with their presence
>> on 03 Sep 2004...
>>
>>> Lady Chatterly wrote:
>>>
>>>> In article <41389C8B...@verizon.invalid.net>,
>>>> Joseph Bartlo <jba...@verizon.invalid.net> wrote:
>>>> >
>>>> >Do you pests think I actually read the bullshit you exchange
>>>> >amongst yourselves?
>>>>
>>>> Do you think I'm a hacker?
>>>
>>> I think you are a pest who I'd rather not spend anymore of my time
>>> exchanging crap with.
>>
>> You're doing a good impression of the opposite, lunatic.
>
> Hurricanes mean nothing, the aliens will cause a solar burst in 2012 and
> wipe the earth clean if we have not made earth the paradise it is
> supposed to be.
I have archived this post.
Are you certain?
> You are in no position to dictate who can post to the moderated group,
> Bartlo. With all the noise you inject into ne.weather, you are
> hypocritical for criticizing others on their posting habits.
Well, people AREN'T supposed to crosspost to both groups - it is specifically
forbidden in the n.w.m charter. I though I did so by mistake in this post,
but I only saw it here. Mistakes can happen, but it should not be done
intentionally.
> There was no bullshit in TQ's post. It was on-topic for the group, and
> didn't even mention you (imagine that). Is there a reason why you're so
> obsessed with TQ that you have to insert yourself in any thread
> involving him/her even if its not about you?
Not that particular post, but it is coming - just watch.
> You appear to have a persecution complex, Bartlo (that is an opinion,
> not a statement of fact or diagnosis). I'll ask again : have you ever
> considered speaking to a medical doctor to clear up whether you might
> have a problem or not?
The problem I have is pests thinking something is wrong with me instead of
them.
> Dan Baldwin wrote:
>
>> You are in no position to dictate who can post to the moderated
>> group, Bartlo. With all the noise you inject into ne.weather, you are
>> hypocritical for criticizing others on their posting habits.
>
> Well, people AREN'T supposed to crosspost to both groups - it is
> specifically forbidden in the n.w.m charter. I though I did so by
> mistake in this post, but I only saw it here. Mistakes can happen,
> but it should not be done intentionally.
Than pay more attention lest your poasting privileges be restricted.
>
>> There was no bullshit in TQ's post. It was on-topic for the group,
>> and didn't even mention you (imagine that). Is there a reason why
>> you're so obsessed with TQ that you have to insert yourself in any
>> thread involving him/her even if its not about you?
>
> Not that particular post, but it is coming - just watch.
You don't suppose that everyone is preconditioned to respond to you in a
particular way now do you?
>
>> You appear to have a persecution complex, Bartlo (that is an opinion,
>> not a statement of fact or diagnosis). I'll ask again : have you ever
>> considered speaking to a medical doctor to clear up whether you might
>> have a problem or not?
>
> The problem I have is pests thinking something is wrong with me
> instead of them.
So stop thinking. That's your problem.
> Landfall
> 1 - 27.2 / 80.2
> 2 - 10 PM EDT Saturday, August 4
Dude, take a mulligan! :-)
In article <4138D1C7...@verizon.net>, Joseph Bartlo
In article
<Xns9559BCD6...@the-way-of-the-parsnip.root-vegetables>, Vicar
> Be still! and revere Joseph Bartlo, who blessed us with their presence on
> 03 Sep 2004...
>
> > As I predicted, all the ants are out still trying to down just one of me
> > against all of them.
>
> This very much looks like a foamdown. I hope someone is keeping score.
Correct, pest - I always keep score and I always win.
As I predicted, Foamboi can't respond coherently.
>
> "C.R. Osterwald" wrote:
>
>>I did not wite this :
>>
>>In article <Xns9558D95DF8D7...@216.168.3.44>, Ozzie Dog
>><accessco...@porconohills.tv> wrote:
>>
>>
>>>I did not write this :
>>>
>>>On 02 Sep 2004, "C.R. Osterwald" <r...@dev.null> posted some
>>>news:020920040806278632%r...@dev.null:
>>>
>>>
>>>>I did not write this :
>>>>
>>>>In article <010920042230395985%r...@dev.null>, C.R. Osterwald
>>>><r...@dev.null> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>I did not write this:
>>>>>