Press Release: Analysis of Vote Share, Margin of Victory and Representativeness of Winners in Chhattisgarh Assembly Elections, 2023

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Dec 21, 2023, 1:52:10 AM12/21/23

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Press Release

21st December, 2023

Dear Friends,

Association for Democratic Reforms and Chhattisgarh Election Watch have analysed the vote share for all 90 constituencies in the Chhattisgarh Assembly Elections, 2023. The voter turnout for the Chhattisgarh Assembly Election 2023 was 76.31% whereas voter turnout in the Chhattisgarh assembly elections 2018 was 76.88%.

For the complete reports in English and Hindi, please go to:https://adrindia.org/content/analysis-vote-share-and-margin-victory-and-representativeness-winners-chhattisgarh-assembly

Summary and Highlights

Voter Turnout

Figure: Comparative Analysis – Voters’ Turnout

Vote Share of Winners

The winners of the Chhattisgarh State Assembly elections, 2023 won by an average of 50 % of total votes polled. In the 2018 elections, winners won by an average of 46% of total votes polled.

Figure: Vote Share Percentage of Winners – Chhattisgarh: 2018 and 2023

47(52%) winners won with 50% and above of the total votes polled in their constituency.

43(48%) winners won with less than 50% of the total votes polled in their constituency.

Figure: No. of Winners- Vote Share

8(47%) out of 17 winners with declared criminal cases have won with a vote share of 50% and above.
39(54%) out of 72 crorepati winners have won with a vote share of 50% and above.

Representativeness of Winners

All the winners of the Chhattisgarh State Assembly Elections, 2023 won with an average of 38% of the total registered voters. This implies that the winners represent on an average, 38% of the total electorate. In the Chhattisgarh State Assembly Elections, 2018 won by an average of 35% of the total registered votes.

Figure – Comparative Analysis- Representativeness of Winners

Margin of Victory

5 winners have won with a margin of victory of less than 1000 votes.
3 winners have won with more than 30% margin of victory.

Winners with Declared Criminal Cases and their Margin of Victory:

13 out of 17 winners with declared criminal cases have won against a runner up with a clean background.
Among these 13 winners, 5 winners have won with more than 10% margin of victory.
Among these, Gajendra Yadav (BJP) from Durg City constituency won with 31.78% margin of victory.

Crorepati Winners and their Margin of Victory:

13 out of 72 crorepati winners have won against a non-crorepati runners up.
Among these 13 winners, 3 winners have won with more than 15% margin of victory
Among these, Brijmohan Agrawal (BJP) from Raipur City South constituency won with 43.06% margin of victory.

Performance of Women Winners:

Among the 90 winners, 19 are women.
All of them won with 35% and above of vote share in their constituencies.
Among the women winners, Chaturi Nand (INC) from Saraipali Constituency has won with the highest vote share, i.e. 59.57% in her constituency and 24.83% margin of victory.

Performance of Re-elected Winners:

Out of total 24 re-elected winners, one has won with less than 40% of vote share in their respective constituencies. 11(46%) have won with more than 50% of vote share.
15(62.5%) re-elected winners have won with less than 10% margin of victory whereas 1 has won with more than 40% margin of victory.

NOTA:

The NOTA button instated by the ECI in 2013 gave the voters the option of rejecting all the candidates in their constituency. Out of 1,56,34,933 votes polled in Chhattisgarh Assembly, 2023, 1,97,678 (1.26%) were polled for NOTA.