Press Release: Analysis of Vote Share, Margin of Victory and Representativeness of Winners in Punjab Assembly Elections, 2022

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Apr 13, 2022, 4:12:26 AMApr 13
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                                                                                     Press Release                                                                                          
 13th April, 2022


Dear Friends,

Association for Democratic Reforms and Punjab Election Watch have analysed the vote share for the all 117 constituencies in the Punjab Assembly Elections, 2022. The voter’s turnout for the Punjab Assembly election 2022 was 72% whereas voter’s turnout in Punjab assembly elections 2017 was 77%.

For the complete reports in English and Hindi please go to: https://adrindia.org/content/punjab-assembly-elections-2022-analysis-vote-share-and-margin-victory-winners

The reports are also attached in this mail.


Summary and Highlights

Voter Turnout


image.png

Figure: Voter's Turnout in Punjab Assembly Elections 2017 and 2022

Vote Share of Winner

  • The winners of the Punjab State Assembly elections, 2022 won by an average of 43.8 % of total votes polled. In the 2017 elections winners won by an average of 41.2 % of total votes polled.

image.png
Figure: Vote Share Percentage of Winners - Punjab: 2017 and 2022
  • 31(26%) winners won with 50% and above of the total votes polled in their constituency.
  • 86(74%) winners won with less than 50% of the total votes polled in their constituency.
image.pngFigure: No. of Winners- Vote Share
  • 16(28%) out of 58 winners with declared criminal cases have won with a vote share of 50% and above.  
  • 19(22%) out of 87 crorepati winners have won with a vote share of 50% and above.
Representativeness of Winners
  • All the winners of the Punjab State Assembly Elections, 2022 won with an average of 31.7% of the total registered voters. This implies that the winners represent on an average, 31.7% of the total electorate. In the Punjab State Assembly Elections, 2017 won by an average of 33.1% of the total registered votes.
  • Among the major Parties, out of 92 winners of AAP, 53(58%) have won less than 35% of votes of the total registered voters in the constituency. 18(100%) out of 18 winners from INC3(100%) out of 3 winners from SAD1(50%) out of 2 winners from BJP have won less than 35 % of votes of the total registered voters in the constituency.
image.png
Figure – Comparative Analysis- Representativeness of Winners

Margin of Victory
  • 2 winners have won with the margin of victory of less than 500 votes.
  • 8 winners have won with more than 35% of margin of victory.
Winners with Declared Criminal Cases and their Margin of Victory:
  • 32 out of 58 winners with declared criminal cases have won against a runner up with a clean background.
  • Among these 32 winners, 5 winners have won with more than 30% margin of victory.
  • Among these, Aman Arora (AAP) from Sunam constituency won with 49% margin of victory.
 Crorepati Winners and their Margin of Victory:
  • 4 out of 87 crorepati winners have won against a non-crorepati runners up.
  • Among these 4 winners, 2 winners have won with more than 10 % margin of victory.
  • Among these, Kunwar Vijay Pratap Singh (AAP) from Amritsar North constituency won with 23% margin of victory. 
Performance of Women Winners:
  • Among the 117 winners, 13 are women.
  • All of them won with 30% and above of vote share in their constituencies.
  •  Among the women winners, Dr. Baljit Kaur (AAP) from Malout Constituency has won with the highest vote share, i.e. 56% in her constituency. She has won with 44% representativeness and 29% of margin of victory. 
Performance of Re-elected Winners
  • Out of total 25 re-elected winners, none have won with less than 25% of vote share in their respective constituency. 4(16%) have won with more than 50% of vote share.
  • 15(60%) re-elected winners have won with less than 10% of margin of victory whereas 4 have won with more than 30% of margin of victory.
NOTA
  • The NOTA button instated by the ECI in 2013 gave the voters an option of rejecting all the candidates in their constituency. Out of 1,55,63,720 votes polled in Punjab Assembly, 2022, 1,10,308 (0.71%) were polled for NOTA.

Punjab Election Watch


Mr. Jaskirat Singh
State Co-ordinator

+91-93160-84953
jask...@gmail.com

Parvinder Singh Kittna
                   State Co-ordinator                   
 +91 9814313162

pavik...@gmail.com

 

 

Association for Democratic Reforms/National Election Watch

 

Media and Journalist Helpline

 

+91 80103 94248

Email: a...@adrindia.org

Maj.Gen. Anil Verma (Retd)

Head

Association for Democratic Reforms,

National Election Watch

011 4165 4200,

+91 88264 79910

a...@adrIndia.org,

anil...@adrindia.org

Prof Jagdeep Chhokar

IIM Ahmedabad (Retd.)

Founder Member,

Association for Democratic Reforms,

National Election Watch

jchh...@gmail.com

Prof Trilochan Sastry

IIM Bangalore

Founder Member,

Association for Democratic Reforms,

National Election Watch

+91 94483 53285

tsa...@gmail.com

 

--
Association for Democratic Reforms

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Analysis of Vote Share, Margin of Victory and Representativeness of Winners Punjab Assembly 2022-FinalVer- English.pdf
Analysis of Vote Share, Margin of Victory and Representativeness of Winners Punjab Assembly 2022-FinalVer - Hindi.pdf
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