Press Release: Analysis of Vote Share, Margin of Victory and Representativeness of Winners in West Bengal Assembly Elections, 2021

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May 25, 2021, 3:33:02 AM5/25/21
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                                                                                        Press Release                                                                                          
 25th May, 2021


Dear Friends,

Association for Democratic Reforms and West Bengal Election Watch have analysed the vote share for the all 292 constituencies in the West Bengal Assembly Elections, 2021. The voter’s turnout for the West Bengal Assembly election 2021 was 82.3% whereas voter’s turnout in West Bengal assembly elections 2016 was 83.2%.


Summary and Highlights

Voter Turnout

image.png
Figure: Voter's Turnout in West Bengal Assembly Elections 2016 and 2021

Vote Share of Winner

The winners of the West Bengal State Assembly elections, 2021 won by an average of 50.16 % of total votes polled. In the 2016 elections winners won by an average of 48.02 % of total votes polled.

image.png
Figure: Vote Share Percentage of Winners- West Bengal: 2016 and 2021
  • 146(50%) winners won with 50% and above of the total votes polled in their constituency.
  • 146(50%) winners won with less than 50% of the total votes polled in their constituency.
image.png
Figure: No. of Winners- Vote Share
  • 69(49%) out of 142 winners with declared criminal cases have won with a vote share of 50% and above.  
  • 90(47%) out of 158 crorepati winners have won with a vote share of 50% and above.

Representativeness of Winners

  • All the winners of the West Bengal State Assembly Elections, 2021 won with an average of 41.29% of the total registered voters. This implies that the winners represent, on average, 41.29% of the total electorate. In the West Bengal State Assembly Elections, 2016 won by an average of 39.86% of the total registered votes.
  • Among the major Parties, out of 213 winners of AITC, 63(30%) have won less than 40% of votes of the total registered voters in the constituency and 32(42%) out of 77 winners from BJP have won less than 40 % of votes of the total registered voters in the constituency.

image.png
Figure – Comparative Analysis- Representativeness of Winners

Margin of Victory
  • 7 winners have won with the margin of victory of less than 1000 votes.
  • 3 winners have won with more than 50% of margin of victory.

Winners with Declared Criminal Cases and their Margin of Victory:
  •  72 out of 142 winners with declared criminal cases have won against a runner up with a clean background.
  •  Among these 72 winners, 4 winners have won with more than 45% margin of victory.
  • Among these, Abdul Khaleque Molla (AITC) from Metiaburuz constituency won with 61% margin of victory.

Crorepati Winners and their Margin of Victory:
  •  87 out of 158 crorepati winners have won against a non-crorepati runners up.
  • Among these 87 winners, 7 winners have won with more than 40 % margin of victory.
  • Among these, Akhruzzaman (AITC) from Raghunath Ganj constituency won with 52% margin of victory.

Performance of Women Winners
  • Among the 292 winners, 40 are women.
  • All of them won with 40% and above of vote share in their constituencies.
  • Among the women winners, Bandyopadhyay Nayna (AITC) from Chowrangee Constituency has won with the highest vote share, i.e. 62.87% in her constituency. She has won with 33.67% representativeness and 40.67% margin of victory.

Performance of Re-elected Winners
  • Out of total 130 re-elected winners, none have won with less than 30 % of vote share in their respective constituencies. 65(50%) have won with more than 50% of vote share.
  • 40 re-elected winners have won with less than 10% of margin of victory whereas 3 have won with more than 50% margin of victory.

NOTA
  • The NOTA button instated by the ECI in 2013 gave the voters an option of rejecting all the candidates in their constituency. Out of 5, 99,35,988 votes polled in West Bengal Assembly, 2021, 6,46,827 (1.08%) were polled for NOTA.

Contact Details

West Bengal Election Watch

Dr. Ujjaini Halim

State Coordinator

+91-98302-99326

ujjain...@hotmail.com

 

 

National Election Watch/Association for Democratic Reforms

 

Media and Journalist Helpline

 

+91 80103 94248

Email: a...@adrindia.org

Maj.Gen. Anil Verma (Retd)

Head

National Election Watch,

Association for Democratic Reforms

011 4165 4200,

+91 88264 79910

a...@adrIndia.org,

anil...@adrindia.org

Prof Jagdeep Chhokar

IIM Ahmedabad (Retd.)

Founder Member,

National Election Watch, Association for Democratic

Reforms

+91 99996 20944

jchh...@gmail.com

Prof Trilochan Sastry

IIM Bangalore

Founder Member,

National Election Watch,

Association for Democratic Reforms

+91 94483 53285

tsa...@gmail.com

 



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