possible error in micro 2012 final

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Doosoo Kim

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Apr 28, 2013, 6:16:55 PM4/28/13
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Deal all

I think 1. (d) is wrong statement. I could find a SE. 
What do you think? Am I missing something?

Best,
Doosoo
micro2 question.pdf

riju joshi

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Apr 28, 2013, 9:00:14 PM4/28/13
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Hmmmm...the solution reaches a contradiction..but even I am not getting any contradiction of that type..

I tried to check the sequential rationality for player 2 when beliefs at c = belief at d, I am getting that the beliefs at c and d should be less than 8/15 (for player 2 to choose r).

And your answer (with beliefs at c = beliefs at d = 0) seems to agree with my result.

I guess we could find a SE.

Hope this helps.
Riju

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riju joshi

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Apr 28, 2013, 9:01:43 PM4/28/13
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I meant to say that "in the official solution, professor shows a contradiction"

riju joshi

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Apr 28, 2013, 9:02:24 PM4/28/13
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"And I am NOT getiing that contradiction"

Patrick Burke

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Apr 28, 2013, 11:22:25 PM4/28/13
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Hello,
Yeah that's pretty clearly an se. I think he was probably trying to copy 9.c.4 in the book. The requirement    that the belief at c is strictly less than the belief at d is wrong and contradicted by his own solution in part c. Unfortunately, I was a victim of the same mistake. So thanks Doosoo!

I'm not sure what you're trying to say Riju. For sequential rationality for player 2  to always play r requires ( u(b) denotes belief at node b)
8*u(c) < 7*u(d) or 8*u(c) = 7*u(d).  

-Patrick

riju joshi

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Apr 28, 2013, 11:32:12 PM4/28/13
to Patrick, msu-econ-201...@googlegroups.com, Doosoo Kim

Oh..I guess I must have made some errors in my calculations.

I first equated u(c) = u(d) in the expected payoffs and then tried to find the condition for the below to be sequential rational.  So I got my weird result.

I shouldn't have done that I guess. I should have first derived the relation between u(c) and u(d) that satisfied sequential rationality and then check sequential equilibrium.
That is a more coherent argument.

Thanks!

riju joshi

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Apr 28, 2013, 11:33:50 PM4/28/13
to Patrick, msu-econ-201...@googlegroups.com, Doosoo Kim

Oh..I guess I must have made some errors in my calculations.

I first equated u(c) = u(d) in the expected payoffs equation and then tried to find the condition for the r to be sequential rational.  So I got my weird result.

I shouldn't have done that I guess. I should have first derived the relation between u(c) and u(d) that satisfied sequential rationality and then check sequential equilibrium.
That is a more coherent argument.
Thanks

Riju

Patrick Burke

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Apr 28, 2013, 11:41:14 PM4/28/13
to riju joshi, msu-econ-201...@googlegroups.com, Doosoo Kim
woops, I thought the belief structure he used was contradictory, it isn't. I read it quickly and thought  he used  u(e) =1.

Doosoo Kim

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Apr 29, 2013, 11:47:56 AM4/29/13
to Patrick Burke, riju joshi, msu-econ-201...@googlegroups.com
Thanks for your comments!
I sent an email to Prof. Mukherjee.
:) I will forward his answer

Best,
Doosoo
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