From: TSRhe...@tropicalstormrisk.com
Date: December 3, 2012, 3:35:55 AM GMT+08:00
To: marad...@yahoo.com
Subject: TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 133.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs_c.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe_c.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 6.5 N 133.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs_c.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe_c.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.