You haven't read chapter 4 and my Steve Moore story?
Steve Moore
Now you are ready to read about the conversation I had several years
back with Steve Moore, then head of economics at the CATO institute, now
a CNBC regular and a longtime supporter of privatizing Social Security.
Steve came down to Florida to speak about Social Security at one of my
conferences. He gave a talk that called for letting people put their money in
the stock market rather than making Social Security payments, contending
that they will be better off over time when they retire. Also, he argued that a
one-time increase in the government budget deficit will be both well worth
it and probably “paid down” over time in the expansion to follow, as all that
money going into stocks will help the economy grow and prosper.
At that point I led off the question and answer session.
Warren: “Steve, giving the government your money now in the
form of Social Security taxes and getting it back later, is
functionally the same as buying a government bond, where you
give the government money now, and it gives it back to you later.
The only difference is the return that seniors will get.”
Steve: “OK, but with government bonds, you get a higher return
than with Social Security, which only pays your money back at
2% interest. Social Security is a bad investment for individuals.”
Warren: “OK, I’ll get to the investment aspect later, but let me
continue. Under your privatization proposal, the government
would reduce Social Security payments and the employees would
put that money into the stock market.”
Steve: “Yes, about $100 per month, and only into approved, high
quality stocks.”
Warren: “OK and the U.S. Treasury would have to issue and sell
additional securities to cover the reduced revenues.”
Steve: “Yes, and it would also be reducing Social Security
payments down the road.”
Warren: “Right. So to continue with my point, the employees
buying the stock buy them from someone else, so all the stocks do
is change hands. No new money goes into the economy.”
Steve: “Right.”
Warren: “And the people who sold the stock then have the money
from the sale which is the money that buys the government
bonds.”
Steve: “Yes, you can think of it that way.”
Warren: “So what has happened is that the employees stopped
buying into Social Security, which we agree was functionally the
same as buying a government bond, and instead they bought
stocks. And other people sold their stocks and bought the newly
issued government bonds. So looking at it from the macro level,
all that happened is that some stocks changed hands and some
bonds changed hands. Total stocks outstanding and total bonds
outstanding, if you count Social Security as a bond, remained
about the same. And so this should have no influence on the
economy or total savings, or anything else apart from generating
transactions costs?”
Steve: “Yes, I suppose you can look at it that way, but I look at it
as privatizing, and I believe people can invest their money better
than government can.”
Warren: “Ok, but you agree that the amount of stocks held by the
public hasn’t changed, so with this proposal, nothing changes for
the economy as a whole.”
Steve: “But it does change things for Social Security participants.”
Warren: “Yes, with exactly the opposite change for others. And
none of this has even been discussed by Congress or any
mainstream economist? It seems you have an ideological bias
toward privatization rhetoric, rather than the substance of the
proposal.”
Steve: “I like it because I believe in privatization. I believe that
you can invest your money better than government can.”
With that I’ll let Steve have the last word here. The proposal in no way
changes the number of shares of stock or which stocks the American public
would hold for investment. So at the macro level, it is not the case of
allowing the nation to “invest better than the government can.” And Steve
knows that, but it doesn’t matter—he continues to peddle the same illogical
story he knows is illogical. And he gets no criticism from the media apart
from the misguided discussion as to whether stocks are a better investment
than Social Security, will the bonds the government has to sell take away
savings that could be used for investment, if the government risks its
solvency by going even deeper into debt and all the other such nonsense
we’re calling innocent frauds.