Follow-up: Comparing the fully vaccinated by age on
July 5 -to- the fully vaccinated by age on July 12 (the
differences for each age group in parentheses):
On Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 6:32:09 PM UTC-5, _ wrote:
.>
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccination-demographics-trends
.>
.> 75+ years young ...... 76.6% ... July 12: 76.9% (+ 0.3%)
.> 65-74 years young ... 80.3% ... July 12: 80.7% (+ 0.4%)
.> 50-64 years young ... 65.2% ... July 12: 65.8% (+ 0.6%)
.> 40-49 years young ... 55.4% ... July 12: 56.1% (+ 0.7%)
.> 25-39 years young ... 46.3% ... July 12: 47.0% (+ 0.7%)
.> 18-24 years young ... 40.7% ... July 12: 41.6% (+ 0.9%)
.> 16-17 years young ... 35.9% ... July 12: 37.1% (+ 1.2%)
.> 12-15 years young ... 23.4% ... July 12: 24.9% (+ 1.5%)
.> < 12 years young ....... 0.3% ... July 12: 0.3% (no change)
Not a math professor am I, and note that vaccinations
for those under age 12 are currently in clinical trials &
therefore unavailable for all children under age 12 who
aren't in clinical trials, so that age group won't be get-
ting vaccinated until vaccines for under 12 approved,
but the % fully vaccinated is increasing at the highest ...
... rate for the youngest over age 12, & if that rate con-
tinues, here are the expected fully vaccinated rates of
70% (herd immunity) for each age group over age 12:
75+ & 65-74, already there
50-64, at a rate of + 0.6% per week, 70% fully
vaccinated would occur in 7 weeks, by Aug 30
40-49, at a rate of + 0.7% per week, 70% fully
vaccinated would occur in 20 weeks, by Nov 29
25-39, at a rate of + 0.7% per week, 70% fully
vaccinated would occur in 34 weeks, by Mar 7 2022
18-24, at a rate of + 0.9% per week, 70% fully
vaccinated would occur in 33 weeks, by Feb 28 2022
16-17, at a rate of + 1.2% per week, 70% fully
vaccinated would occur in 29 weeks, by Jan 31 2022
12-15, at a rate of +1.5% per week, 70% fully
vaccinated would occur in 32 weeks, by Feb 21 2022
Hmmm, as I say, I'm not a math professor,
but -if- the rates of fully vaccinated for each
age group for the last week stayed constant,
all ages above age 12 will be at 70% or more
fully vaccinated by March 2022.
.>
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