Remember, Obama has had seven years to improve on Bush's 5% unemployment rate, and robust economy. After seven years of Obama admin:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/charleskadlec/2013/02/04/the-growth-recession-on-president-obamas-watch-continues/
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2/04/2013 @ 8:21PM |1,110 views
The Growth Recession On President Obama's Watch Continues
The U.S. economy remains in the grip of a growth recession, and there is no relief in sight. Slow growth means continued high unemployment as workers bear the brunt of the burden of President Obama's failed economic policies. Continued slow growth also means trillions of dollars will be added to projected deficits and more contentious battles over spending and taxes. But, corporations appear to have adjusted to a plodding economy by cutting costs enough to be on their way to reporting record profits, driving stock prices to within reach of their highs hit before the Great Recession.
Economic activity in the fourth quarter was flat, as overall GDP contracted at a teeny tiny 0.1% annual rate. Two one-time events - a 22% annual rate of decline in defense spending and a reduction in inventories subtracted about 2.5 percentage points from the growth rate. But, these were offset by the recovery in residential investment and consumer spending on durable goods which was boosted in part by an aging auto fleet feeding new car sales. Accelerated bonus payments of $45 billion (at annual rates) and dividend payouts of - get this - $317 billion artificially inflated personal income and the savings rate during the quarter as individuals scramble to protect as much income as possible from the Obama tax increase.
Slow growth is better than contraction, but otherwise, there is little to celebrate. In the 3.5 years since the economy bottomed in the second quarter of 2009, economic output has grown by a paltry total of 7.5%, or at a 2% average annual rate, only twice posting a quarterly growth rate of 4.0%
Blaming the slow recovery on the severity of the recession is a phony excuse - in every prior recovery, the deeper the recession, the stronger the recovery. For example, in the 3.5 years after the end of the 1982 recession, the economy grew 20% -nearly three times more, posting an average annual growth rate of 5.4%, including six quarters with growth rates above 6.0%.
Sadly, the heaviest burden of the Obama Administration's failed economic policies have fallen on the American work force, who continue to face high unemployment rates and limited opportunity for upward mobility. Jobs grew by 157,000 in January, its slowest rate since last September, and the unemployment rate ticked up to 7.9%. Since the Obama recovery began, monthly job growth has averaged only 98,000. By contrast, during the Reagan recovery, job growth (adjusted for today's economy) averaged 354,000 a month. Comparing the two, the Obama Administration's policies have produced an 11 million jobs gap.
Moreover, the brunt of the poor jobs picture has fallen on the least advantaged. The black unemployment rate is 13.8%, and nearly 40% of black teenagers who are looking for jobs out of work.
Inevitably, continued slow growth will intensify the fiscal policy debate. Slower growth and fewer jobs means less income for American workers and fewer tax dollars for governments at all levels. Higher unemployment and lower wages also mean increased spending on means tested transfer payments including unemployment benefits and food stamps. Democrats demand higher taxes; Republicans less spending. But, neither party is offering policies that would spur private sector growth enough to increase revenues and reduce spending through private sector job creation.
Instead, the Obama tax increase will continue to weigh on U.S. employment gains. And, a new onslaught of expensive, anti-growth regulations on energy production and financial services will reduce the opportunities to expand high-paying jobs of all kinds. According to the American Action Forum, the cost of regulations increased $236 billion last year. That includes 44.6 million hours of paperwork just to comply with the new rules for ObamaCare, and another 33 million hours of paperwork created by the Dodd-Frank regulations. The millions of hours consumed by these regulations destroy wealth and reduce the resources available for companies big and small to generate revenue and thereby increase investment and employment necessary for growth.
As a consequence, the growth recession is likely to persist until the Washington political establishment discovers again the importance of private sector growth as the foundation for prosperity, economic security and fiscal balance in the years ahead.
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Christopher A. Young
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