my reply to : "Ending Very Badly": Russia Warns Armenia Against Kaja Kallas's "Help" | RU-EN

[Rick1234567S]

Challenged Concession: The deal has emboldened Armenia to challenge Russia's management of its existing internal railway network. Armenia's Prime Minister has stated that the Armenian government is prepared to reclaim key railway sections from the Russian state-owned company Russian Railways if Moscow delays promised renovations and investments. Loss of Influence in Armenia: The US deal is part of a broader realignment where Armenia is reducing its strategic dependence on Russia and looking westward for security and economic partnerships. This reduces Russia's historical leverage over the Armenian railway system, which was previously blockaded from the outside world except through Georgia. Despite this, some limited Russian rail activity is ongoing: Temporary Grain Transit: In a recent development, Azerbaijan permitted the transit of Russian and Kazakh grain shipments to Armenia via Azerbaijani territory, the first such movement since the 1990s. However, this specific traffic uses a route through Georgia into Armenia, and not the future TRIPP corridor itself, which is still in the planning and development phase.

So I gave the area around Israel to China for belt and road if they invest 50 billion there other than Gaza so then it seems fair to me to accept that 99 year deal they already signed as part of the TRIPP initiative. The U.S.-brokered Armenia-Azerbaijan peace deal is a significant strategic and economic victory for Turkey, directly advancing its long-held ambitions in the South Caucasus and Central Asia. Key impacts on Turkey include: Direct Land Connection to Central Asia: The Trump Route (TRIPP) provides Turkey with an unbroken land and rail link to Azerbaijan and, via the Caspian Sea, to the Turkic states of Central Asia. This eliminates the need to rely solely on the existing, and sometimes complex, route through Georgia. Strengthened "Middle Corridor" Strategy: The new route is a cornerstone of Turkey's "Middle Corridor" initiative, which aims to create a major trade and energy transit route linking China and Europe that bypasses Russia and Iran. This elevates Turkey's role as a vital east-west commercial and energy hub. Economic Gains: New Trade Opportunities: The reopening of borders and creation of new infrastructure are expected to boost trade with Azerbaijan and open up markets in Central Asia, bringing particular economic benefits to Turkey's eastern provinces. Energy Hub Status: The corridor facilitates new pipelines for oil, gas, and electricity from the Caspian region and beyond, reinforcing Turkey's position as a regional energy gateway to Europe. Infrastructure Investment: Turkey has already started construction on its section of the connecting railway line (Kars-Iğdır-Aralyk-Dilucu), highlighting its commitment to integrating the new route into its national network. Geopolitical Influence: The deal enhances Turkey's leverage and influence in the South Caucasus, aligning it more closely with U.S. interests and effectively sidelining the influence of its regional rivals, Russia and Iran. Normalization of Relations with Armenia: Turkey has long stated that the normalization of its own relations and the opening of its border with Armenia were contingent on a peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The progress of the peace deal can pave the way for a rapid improvement in Turkey-Armenia relations. Stronger Alliance with Azerbaijan: As a strong backer of Azerbaijan (under a mutual support agreement), the deal is viewed as a victory for the Turkish-Azerbaijani alliance, consolidating Baku's territorial gains and diplomatic position.  

[Rick1234567S]

The Rail "Canal": Instead of a waterway, Iran is focusing on the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC), a multimodal rail and road network. By late 2025, a key rail terminal at the Astara border is expected to be completed to facilitate cargo transit from the Persian Gulf to Russia

[Rick1234567S]

The Rail "Canal": Instead of a waterway, Iran is focusing on the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC), a multimodal rail and road network. By late 2025, a key rail terminal at the Astara border is expected to be completed to facilitate cargo transit from the Persian Gulf to Russia

Geopolitical Chessboard: The existence of these two separate, competing transport initiatives (TRIPP vs. INSTC) has turned the South Caucasus into a "regional chessboard". Iran views the U.S.-led TRIPP as a threat that could sever its link with Armenia and has vowed to block it, while the U.S. aims to reduce Russian and Iranian influence.
Peace Process Link: The only way the rail projects "solve" the problem is if all parties agree to open all communication routes simultaneously under the "Crossroads of Peace" initiative, which is Armenia's preferred solution for regional connectivity that respects all national sovereignties. The U.S. deal addresses this by allowing Armenia to maintain sovereignty over the TRIPP corridor, a key Armenian demand.
So here we see a joint agreement between the SCO and Interpol is already in place and might need to be expanded to satisfy all parties.

To address Armenia's security and law enforcement challenges, a Joint Transnational Security & Border Integrity Forum would be the most effective structure to bridge the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and Interpol.
1. Primary Objectives
Integrated Border Management: Coordinate between Interpol’s Integrated Border Management Task Force and the SCO’s Regional Anti-Terrorist Structure (RATS) to secure Armenia’s new transit corridors (TRIPP) against smuggling and human trafficking.
Counter-Terrorism & Extremism: Leverage Interpol’s Project Basic (border security training) alongside SCO military intelligence to prevent regional spillover from neighboring conflicts.
Cyber-Security & Infrastructure Protection: Establish a tripartite cybersecurity cell to protect the high-speed rail and fiber optic lines being built under the 2025 peace deal from state-sponsored and criminal hacking.
2. Strategic Value
Bypassing Political Blocks: Since Armenia is an SCO "Dialogue Partner" and a full Interpol member, this conference allows Armenia to receive Western technical expertise (via Interpol) and Eastern geopolitical security guarantees (via SCO) simultaneously.
Neutralizing Foreign Interference: By involving Interpol, the conference ensures that security protocols for Armenian transit routes remain transparent and under international police standards, rather than solely under Russian or Azerbaijani military oversight.
3. Proposed Participants
From Armenia: Ministry of Internal Affairs and the National Security Service (NSS).
From Interpol: The Global Complex for Innovation (IGCI) and regional bureaus.
From SCO: Representatives from the RATS Executive Committee based in Tashkent.
Observers: The European Union (EEAS) and the United States (Department of Justice) to ensure alignment with the 2025 peace accord.
4. Implementation Link
Armenia can formally propose this during a relevant international forum or summit, framing it as an initiative to protect crucial investments now flowing into the South Caucasus.

[Rick1234567S]

Yes, an emergency meeting of the G20 could theoretically be arranged, and it could be hosted in Florida, particularly as the United States holds the upcoming presidency for 2026. How an Emergency Meeting Could Happen Host Nation's Prerogative: The G20 has no permanent secretariat, and the presidency rotates annually. The host nation (the U.S. for the 2026 cycle) is responsible for setting the agenda, organizing meetings, and has flexibility in the logistics and location of gatherings. The U.S. Presidency (2026): The U.S. officially assumed the presidency on December 1, 2025, and the main summit is already scheduled for December 14–15, 2026, at the Trump National Doral Miami resort. President Trump has a history of using his properties for official events, so holding an emergency session there would be consistent with his approach. Convening Authority: While any major G20 leader can call for an emergency summit in a time of severe crisis (such as the 2008 financial crisis or the COVID-19 pandemic), it is typically the current chair or the host of the next summit who plays the formal "convening role". The U.S., as the current/upcoming chair, is best positioned to do so. Precedent: The G20 has previously held emergency, virtual leaders' meetings in response to global crises, demonstrating the flexibility of the format to address urgent issues outside of the regularly scheduled annual summit. Feasibility in Florida Logistics: The Trump National Doral Miami location is already confirmed and being prepared for the main 2026 summit, with infrastructure and security planning underway. This pre-existing planning might actually make it easier to quickly arrange a meeting there compared to an entirely new location. Political Will: The primary requirement for any emergency meeting is the political will of the member nations to convene and address a shared, urgent crisis. The U.S. would need to persuade other leaders that the situation warrants an extraordinary session. In summary, the mechanisms and location are in place, so a G20 emergency meeting in Florida is a real possibility if a major global crisis necessitates immediate, high-level economic coordination.


Now with the dancing

Flash Mob "Viva la Vida" con Alice Paba