Dear Wenhao,
As long as water remains
molecular, i.e., no proton dissociation occurs, MB-pol *in
principle* remain applicable. In practice, however, several factors
affect its accuracy, and validation tests are needed:
1. Numerical
fitting errors. These could depends on training sets as well as
functional forms. An extreme example of numerical error is the
"potential energy holes" which can cause simulation instabilities.
Our
recent paper on MB-pol(PIFS) explored on this subject. (Just accepted
in JCTC, we will update links when it is published. Chemrxiv:
https://doi.org/10.26434/chemrxiv-2025-76p6j).
Specifically, MB-pol might be numerically unstable above 3GPa (no
physical dissociation is expected at this range), and MB-pol(PIFS) are
stable. Above ~14GPa, however, ice structures are not fully known
experimentally (specifically we care about if dissociation occurs), so
it's not necessary that MB-pol(PIFS) should work or not. At higher
pressures, ice X are not molecular so the model is not applicable. For
liquid, similar idea holds: if water should remain molecular, then
MB-pol(PIFS) could work (validations are needed); if it is ionic fluid,
then the model is not applicable.
There is this paper that reports some MB-pol lattice energies of high-pressure ice phases (e.g. ice VIII):
https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jctc.6b01248. MB-pol(PIFS) improves a lot on the lattice energy of ice VIII (see Supporting Information of the MB-pol(PIFS) paper after link is updated).
2.
MB-pol uses machine-learned potential upto 3-body energies, and uses
classical polarizable model for 4+ bodies; The error coming from 4+ body
energies in lower pressures (<1GPa) seems small, but it remains to
be tested for higher pressures.
We are currently investigating the behavior of ice VII.
XZ