Ratios and Formulas in Customer Financial Analysis
Suwandy
Financial statement analysis is a judgmental process. One of the primary objectives is identification of major changes in trends, and relationships and the investigation of the reasons underlying those changes. The judgment process can be improved by experience and the use of analytical tools. Probably the most widely used financial analysis technique is ratio analysis, the analysis of relationships between two or more line items on the financial statement. Financial ratios are usually expressed in percentage or times. Generally, financial ratios are calculated for the purpose of evaluating aspects of a company's operations and fall into the following categories:
- liquidity ratios measure a firm's ability to meet its current obligations.
- profitability ratios measure management's ability to control expenses and to earn a return on the resources committed to the business.
- leverage ratios measure the degree of protection of suppliers of long-term funds and can also aid in judging a firm's ability to raise additional debt and its capacity to pay its liabilities on time.
- efficiency, activity or turnover ratios provide information about management's ability to control expenses and to earn a return on the resources committed to the business.
A ratio can be computed from any pair of numbers. Given the large quantity of variables included in financial statements, a very long list of meaningful ratios can be derived. A standard list of ratios or standard computation of them does not exist. The following ratio presentation includes ratios that are most often used when evaluating the credit worthiness of a customer. Ratio analysis becomes a very personal or company driven procedure. Analysts are drawn to and use the ones they are comfortable with and understand.
Working Capital
Working capital compares current assets to current liabilities, and serves as
the liquid reserve available to satisfy contingencies and uncertainties. A high
working capital balance is mandated if the entity is unable to borrow on short
notice. The ratio indicates the short-term solvency of a business and in
determining if a firm can pay its current liabilities when due.
· Formula
Current Assets
- Current Liabilities
Acid Test or Quick Ratio
A measurement of the liquidity position of the business. The quick ratio
compares the cash plus cash equivalents and accounts receivable to the current
liabilities. The primary difference between the current ratio and the quick
ratio is the quick ratio does not include inventory and prepaid expenses in the
calculation. Consequently, a business's quick ratio will be lower than its
current ratio. It is a stringent test of liquidity.
· Formula
Cash + Marketable
Securities + Accounts Receivable
Current Liabilities
Current Ratio
Provides an indication of the liquidity of the business by comparing the amount
of current assets to current liabilities. A business's current assets generally
consist of cash, marketable securities, accounts receivable, and inventories.
Current liabilities include accounts payable, current maturities of long-term
debt, accrued income taxes, and other accrued expenses that are due within one
year. In general, businesses prefer to have at least one dollar of current
assets for every dollar of current liabilities. However, the normal current
ratio fluctuates from industry to industry. A current ratio significantly
higher than the industry average could indicate the existence of redundant
assets. Conversely, a current ratio significantly lower than the industry
average could indicate a lack of liquidity.
· Formula
Current Assets
Current Liabilities
Cash Ratio
Indicates a conservative view of liquidity such as when a company has pledged
its receivables and its inventory, or the analyst suspects severe liquidity
problems with inventory and receivables.
· Formula
Cash Equivalents +
Marketable Securities
Current Liabilities
Net Profit Margin (Return on Sales)
A measure of net income dollars generated by each dollar of sales.
· Formula
Net Income *
Net Sales
* Refinements to the net income figure can make it more accurate than this ratio computation. They could include removal of equity earnings from investments, "other income" and "other expense" items as well as minority share of earnings and nonrecuring items.
Return on Assets
Measures the company's ability to utilize its assets to create profits.
· Formula
Net Income *
(Beginning + Ending Total Assets) / 2
Operating Income Margin
A measure of the operating income generated by each dollar of sales.
· Formula
Operating Income
Net Sales
Return on Investment
Measures the income earned on the invested capital.
· Formula
Net Income *
Long-term Liabilities + Equity
Return on Equity
Measures the income earned on the shareholder's investment in the business.
· Formula
Net Income *
Equity
Du Pont Return on Assets
A combination of financial ratios in a series to evaluate investment return.
The benefit of the method is that it provides an understanding of how the
company generates its return.
· Formula
|
Net Income * |
x |
Sales |
x |
Assets |
Gross Profit Margin
Indicates the relationship between net sales revenue and the cost of goods
sold. This ratio should be compared with industry data as it may indicate
insufficient volume and excessive purchasing or labor costs.
· Formula
Gross Profit
Net Sales
Total Debts to Assets
Provides information about the company's ability to absorb asset reductions
arising from losses without jeopardizing the interest of creditors.
· Formula
Total Liabilities
Total Assets
Capitalization Ratio
Indicates long-term debt usage.
· Formula
Long-Term Debt
Long-Term Debt + Owners' Equity
Debt to Equity
Indicates how well creditors are protected in case of the company's insolvency.
· Formula
Total Debt
Total Equity
Interest Coverage Ratio (Times Interest Earned)
Indicates a company's capacity to meet interest payments. Uses EBIT (Earnings
Before Interest and Taxes)
· Formula
EBIT
Interest Expense
Long-term Debt to Net Working Capital
Provides insight into the ability to pay long term debt from current assets
after paying current liabilities.
· Formula
Long-term Debt
Current Assets - Current Liabilities
Cash Turnover
Measures how effective a company is utilizing its cash.
· Formula
Net Sales
Cash
Sales to Working Capital (Net Working Capital Turnover)
Indicates the turnover in working capital per year. A low ratio indicates
inefficiency, while a high level implies that the company's working capital is
working too hard.
· Formula
Net Sales
Average Working Capital
Total Asset Turnover
Measures the activity of the assets and the ability of the business to generate
sales through the use of the assets.
· Formula
Net Sales
Average Total Assets
Fixed Asset Turnover
Measures the capacity utilization and the quality of fixed assets.
· Formula
Net Sales
Net Fixed Assets
Days' Sales in Receivables
Indicates the average time in days, that receivables are outstanding (DSO). It
helps determine if a change in receivables is due to a change in sales, or to
another factor such as a change in selling terms. An analyst might compare the
days' sales in receivables with the company's credit terms as an indication of
how efficiently the company manages its receivables.
· Formula
Gross Receivables
Annual Net Sales / 365
Accounts Receivable Turnover
Indicates the liquidity of the company's receivables.
· Formula
Net Sales
Average Gross Receivables
Accounts Receivable Turnover in Days
Indicates the liquidity of the company's receivables in days.
· Formula
Average Gross
Receivables
Annual Net Sales / 365
Days' Sales in Inventory
Indicates the length of time that it will take to use up the inventory through
sales.
· Formula
Ending Inventory
Cost of Goods Sold / 365
Inventory Turnover
Indicates the liquidity of the inventory.
· Formula
Cost of Goods Sold
Average Inventory
Inventory Turnover in Days
Indicates the liquidity of the inventory in days.
· Formula
Average Inventory
Cost of Goods Sold / 365
Operating Cycle
Indicates the time between the acquisition of inventory and the realization of
cash from sales of inventory. For most companies the operating cycle is less
than one year, but in some industries it is longer.
· Formula
Accounts Receivable
Turnover in Days
+ Inventory Turnover in Day
Days' Payables Outstanding
Indicates how the firm handles obligations of its suppliers.
· Formula
Ending Accounts
Payable
Purchases / 365
Payables Turnover
Indicates the liquidity of the firm's payables.
· Formula
Purchases
Average Accounts Payable
Payables Turnover in Days
Indicates the liquidity of the firm's payables in days.
· Formula
Average Accounts
Payable
Purchases / 365
Altman Z-Score
The Z-score model is a quantitative model developed in 1968 by Edward Altman to
predict bankruptcy (financial distress) of a business, using a blend of the
traditional financial ratios and a statistical method known as multiple
discriminant analysis.
The Z-score is known to be about 90% accurate in forecasting business failure one year into the future and about 80% accurate in forecasting it two years into the future.
· Formula
|
Z = |
1.2 |
x |
(Working Capital / Total Assets) |
|
Z-score |
Probability of Failure |
|
less than 1.8 |
Very High |
Bad-Debt to Accounts Receivable Ratio
Bad-debt to Accounts Receivable ratio measures expected uncollectibility on
credit sales. An increase in bad debts is a negative sign, since it indicates
greater realization risk in accounts receivable and possible future write-offs.
· Formula
Bad Debts
Accounts Receivable
Bad-Debt to Sales Ratio
Bad-debt ratios measure expected uncollectibility on credit sales. An increase
in bad debts is a negative sign, since it indicates greater realization risk in
accounts receivable and possible future write-offs.
· Formula
Bad Debts
Sales
Book Value per Common Share
Book value per common share is the net assets available to common stockholders
divided by the shares outstanding, where net assets represent stockholders'
equity less preferred stock. Book value per share tells what each share is
worth per the books based on historical cost.
· Formula
(Total
Stockholders' Equity - Liquidation Value of Preferred Stocks - Preferred
Dividends in Arrears)
Common Shares Outstanding
Common Size Analysis
In vertical analysis of financial statements, an item is used as a base value
and all other accounts in the financial statement are compared to this base
value.
On the balance sheet, total assets equal 100% and each asset is stated as a percentage of total assets. Similarly, total liabilities and stockholder's equity are assigned 100%, with a given liability or equity account stated as a percentage of total liabilities and stockholder's equity.
On the income statement, 100% is assigned to net sales, with all revenue and expense accounts then related to it.
Cost of Credit
The cost of credit is the cost of not taking credit terms extended for a
business transaction. Credit terms usually express the amount of the cash
discount, the date of its expiration, and the due date. A typical credit term
is 2 / 10, net / 30. If payment is made within 10 days, a 2 percent cash
discount is allowed: otherwise, the entire amount is due in 30 days. The cost
of not taking the cash discount can be substantial.
· Formula
|
% Discount |
x |
360 |
Example
On a $1,000 invoice with terms of 2 /10 net 30, the customer can either pay at
the end of the 10 day discount period or wait for the full 30 days and pay the
full amount. By waiting the full 30 days, the customer effectively borrows the
discounted amount for 20 days.
$1,000 x (1 - .02) = $980
This gives the amount paid in interest as:
$1,000 - 980 = $20
This information can be used to compute the credit cost of borrowing this money.
|
% Discount |
x |
|
360 |
|
= 2 |
x |
360 |
= .3673 |
As this example illustrates, the annual percentage cost of offering a 2/10, net/30 trade discount is almost 37%.
Current-Liability Ratios
Current-liability ratios indicate the degree to which current debt payments
will be required within the year. Understanding a company's liability is
critical, since if it is unable to meet current debt, a liquidity crisis looms.
The following ratios are compared to industry norms.
· Formulas
|
Current to Non-current |
= |
Current
Liabilities |
|
Current to Total |
= |
Current
Liabilities |
Rule of 72
A rule of thumb method used to calculate the number of years it takes to double
an investment.
· Formula
72
Rate of Return
Example
Paul bought securities yielding an annual return of 9.25%. This investment will
double in less than eight years because,
|
72 |
= 7.78 years |