Hedge fund using social networking to gauge social mood...

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Ilyas

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Dec 26, 2010, 2:28:06 AM12/26/10
to Market Musings

yursil

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Dec 28, 2010, 3:26:25 PM12/28/10
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guys, when is the sky falling?



Ilyas

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Dec 28, 2010, 3:33:01 PM12/28/10
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December 21, 2012

On Dec 28, 2010 3:26 PM, "yursil" <yur...@gmail.com> wrote:

yursil

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Dec 28, 2010, 3:34:16 PM12/28/10
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another year!!!

Ilyas

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Dec 28, 2010, 3:37:44 PM12/28/10
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Two actually. at least according to the mayans.

yursil

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Dec 28, 2010, 3:46:42 PM12/28/10
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another years!

S. Jibreel Hussain

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Dec 28, 2010, 3:56:42 PM12/28/10
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Haha.....I will send another update when I feel another major top is in place and this one will probably be it as I keep saying.

I have said it before: it is very difficult to call a market correction exactly because sometimes they get very complex and sometimes they're very simple.  The current one is of the complex variety but I still feel the rally from march 2009 is a correction rather than a new bull market.

Wajahat Gilani

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Dec 28, 2010, 6:09:44 PM12/28/10
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i don't believe in corrections any more, the market shouldn't be this high, despite QE2, its one part follow the crowd, and another part texas hold 'em.  


From: S. Jibreel Hussain <s.jibree...@gmail.com>
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Sent: Tue, December 28, 2010 3:56:42 PM
Subject: Re: Hedge fund using social networking to gauge social mood...

andrew lijoi

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Dec 28, 2010, 10:05:21 PM12/28/10
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Islam Elfayoumi

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Dec 28, 2010, 10:10:30 PM12/28/10
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scary stuff...
 

Date: Tue, 28 Dec 2010 22:05:21 -0500

Subject: Re: Hedge fund using social networking to gauge social mood...

Wajahat Gilani

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Dec 30, 2010, 3:30:23 PM12/30/10
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From: Islam Elfayoumi <islam_e...@hotmail.com>
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Sent: Tue, December 28, 2010 10:10:30 PM
Subject: RE: Hedge fund using social networking to gauge social mood...

S. Jibreel Hussain

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Dec 30, 2010, 5:52:05 PM12/30/10
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Nice....thanks for this.

Islam Elfayoumi

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Jan 19, 2011, 6:51:44 PM1/19/11
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Despite all the fundamental rumblings about the dollar losing its reserve status, etc., the chart is predicting a massive EURO selloff and dollar strengthening.
 
I am shorting the EURO at these levels and I am holding for ~4 months until the end of May when I expect the Euro to hit 1.0400 - that's approximately 3000 pips lower than current levels.
 
If the market is still correlated with the Euro, then it means the market will tank alongside. Gold will also drop because it's valued in dollars.
 
Today's Date: 1/19/11
Time: 6:50 pm
Current Spot Euro Price = 1.3454
Current DJIA = 11,825
Current Gold Spot = 1369.80
 
Salam

andrew lijoi

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Jan 26, 2011, 8:13:56 PM1/26/11
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Islam Elfayoumi

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Jan 28, 2011, 4:27:03 PM1/28/11
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It appears I was about 8 days off on this call, but I'm still holding short.
 
Funny how they want to blame the market drop on Egypt.
 

From: islam_e...@hotmail.com
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: EURO Short
Date: Wed, 19 Jan 2011 18:51:44 -0500

Wajahat Gilani

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Jan 28, 2011, 4:31:02 PM1/28/11
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it could be possible, any time high freq traders here something they start making moves

Go Egypt!

Cc:
Sent: Friday, January 28, 2011 4:27 PM
Subject: RE: EURO Short
It appears I was about 8 days off on this call, but I'm still holding short.
 
Funny how they want to blame the market drop on Egypt.
 

Ahmed Naiem

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Jan 28, 2011, 4:32:21 PM1/28/11
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waj is a fundo in every way possible

Wajahat Gilani

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Jan 28, 2011, 4:45:47 PM1/28/11
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stop selling out and support your people for once

S. Jibreel Hussain

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Jan 28, 2011, 5:42:14 PM1/28/11
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Didn't know we were supposed to be rooting for overthrowing governments ;)

Wajahat Gilani

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Jan 28, 2011, 5:45:38 PM1/28/11
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we're not, but I'm all for the peaceful dethronement of a dictator who's not getting the job done.  the guy's made enough money, he should retire to saudi

From: S. Jibreel Hussain <s.jibree...@gmail.com>

Ramy Sharaf

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Jan 28, 2011, 6:08:59 PM1/28/11
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Unfortunately it is unrealistic to peacefully overthrow a president who autocratically ruled the country for 30-years. The protesters have Mubarak on the run and I expect his days are numbered.

 

Best Regards,

 

Ramy M. Sharaf

National Capital Investments

M 732-754-5336

F 732-704-9666

www.nationalcapitalinvestments.com

Muhammad Fahmy

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Jan 29, 2011, 7:47:38 AM1/29/11
to market-...@googlegroups.com, <market-musings@googlegroups.com>

Ahmed Naiem

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Jan 29, 2011, 11:46:02 AM1/29/11
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Muhammad meant to send this instead

S. Jibreel Hussain

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Feb 1, 2011, 7:39:54 PM2/1/11
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Looks like waj is writing financial articles under the name shah gilani.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cash-in-on-the-euros-decline-2011-02-01?dist=afterbell

On Jan 29, 2011 11:46 AM, "Ahmed Naiem" <ahmed...@gmail.com> wrote:

Wajahat Gilani

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Feb 1, 2011, 10:51:39 PM2/1/11
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i am not alone

From: S. Jibreel Hussain <s.jibree...@gmail.com>
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Cc:
Sent: Tuesday, February 1, 2011 7:39 PM
Subject: Re: EURO Short

Tariq Hussain

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Feb 2, 2011, 6:05:22 PM2/2/11
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FYI


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Islam Elfayoumi

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Feb 23, 2011, 1:38:32 PM2/23/11
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EURO blood-bath in March.
 
Everyone should be short EURO and short Market and short Gold.
 
Return of the Dollar.
Subject: RE: EURO Short
Date: Fri, 28 Jan 2011 16:27:03 -0500

Islam Elfayoumi

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Mar 14, 2011, 1:52:30 PM3/14/11
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Very powerful buy signal generated this week for USD/JPY.
 
Be long USD. Blood bath coming soon for EURO and stock market.
 
Keep holding till the end of May.

 

From: islam_e...@hotmail.com
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: RE: EURO Short
Date: Wed, 23 Feb 2011 13:38:32 -0500

Wajahat Gilani

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Mar 14, 2011, 2:13:15 PM3/14/11
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Icahn is returning all his investors money, because he says he sees no opportunities in the market now.


Sent: Monday, March 14, 2011 1:52 PM
Subject: RE: EURO Short

Islam Elfayoumi

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Mar 16, 2011, 7:27:46 PM3/16/11
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Due to changes in the charts, I am covering Euro shorts and longing USD/JPY which I believe will see a huge spike.

 

From: islam_e...@hotmail.com
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: RE: EURO Short
Date: Mon, 14 Mar 2011 13:52:30 -0400

Islam Elfayoumi

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Mar 17, 2011, 3:50:30 PM3/17/11
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Euro has topped
 
Yen has bottomed
 
UD/JPY paying $1.20 per pip so I will stick with the YEN long for now.
 
We could see 85+ by end of next week.

 

From: islam_e...@hotmail.com
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: RE: EURO Short
Date: Wed, 16 Mar 2011 19:27:46 -0400

Islam Elfayoumi

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Mar 17, 2011, 10:35:34 PM3/17/11
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Is it me or do charts predict fundamental events?

G7 agrees joint intervention to restrain yen

By Wayne Cole Wayne Cole 1 hr 58 mins ago
SYDNEY (Reuters) – The Group of Seven rich nations on Friday agreed to join in rare concerted intervention to restrain a run-away yen, hoping to calm global markets after a wild week of often panic selling.
The U.S. dollar immediately surged over a full yen to 80.73 yen, leaving behind a record low of 76.25 hit on Thursday. Japan's Nikkei share index climbed 2.5 percent, recouping some of the week's stinging losses.
The G7 agreement to jointly intervene to sell yen came as a surprise to many as sources had suggested they would only give Japan a green light to go it alone.
Japan's Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda said the Bank of Japan had begun to sell yen at 12:00 a.m. GMT (8:00 p.m. EDT) and other central banks from the G7 would intervene as their markets opened.
"This is the first coordinated intervention that we have seen since 2000 so it's going to have a very huge resonating effect on the market," said Kathy Lien, director of currency research at GFT in New York.
"Because the only type of intervention that actually works is coordinated intervention and it shows the solidarity of all central banks in terms of the severity of the situation in Japan."
On Thursday, the yen soared to a record high of 76.25 per dollar, eclipsing its historical peak of 79.75 hit in the aftermath of the Kobe earthquake.
A strong yen could make it more difficult for the heavily export-dependent Japanese economy to recover from the triple blow of last week's earthquake, tsunami and nuclear threat. The damage toll is already estimated at up to $200 billion with Japan almost certain to slip back into recession.
G7 financial leaders may also be worried that a surge in yen repatriation could unsettle global markets, creating a crisis of confidence that spreads from Asia to Europe and the United States.
Investors were also keeping a wary eye on events in Libya as the United Nations voted to impose a no-fly zone over the country and use all necessary measures to protect civilians. French diplomatic sources said military action could begin within hours of the Security Council vote.
Oil prices were up over $2 a barrel on the decision, which was seen as risking prolonging the conflict in the North African nation.
HISTORY NOT IN G7's Favor
Still, if past is prologue, even massive official selling might not restrain the yen for long.
When Japan last intervened in September 2010 it sold a huge 2.1 trillion yen, or around $25 billion back then, but only managed to push the dollar up from 82.85 to 85.77 yen.
The shock value quickly faded and by late October the dollar was down around 80.00.
"History isn't on the G7's side," said John Normand, a forex analyst at JPMorgan, noting past acts of concerted intervention only worked when backed by central bank tightening.
In this case, there is almost no chance of the Federal Reserve tightening for months to come. The European Central Bank has signaled an intent to hike rates in April, but that might not help the dollar against the yen.
"The G7 can be a market mover initially, but it shouldn't be a trend-changer any more than the September 2010 yen intervention was," argued Normand.
The G7 comprises Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and United States.
HEIGHTENED ANXIETY
Late Thursday, President Barack Obama said the United States will do all it can to help Japan recover while playing down fears a drifting cloud of radiation could reach the U.S. West Coast.
Rising alarm over the unfolding disaster in the world's third-largest economy has sent shudders through markets, hitting shares and commodities, as investors sought the safe haven of government debt.
Japanese military helicopters and fire trucks doused an overheating nuclear plant in the northeast of the country with water on Thursday to try to limit the damage from the world's worst nuclear accident since Chernobyl in 1986.
The G7 call and Obama's statement suggest a heightened degree of concern among top policymakers at the threat posed by the disaster at a time when the global economy is still recovering from its worst downturn in nearly 80 years.
Europe continues to wrestle with a crippling debt crisis, and the Fed is buying up domestic government debt to safeguard a stop-start economic bounce back in the United States.
"I think the world economy is going to go right down, and it has happened at a time when financial markets are still fragile," said a G7 central banker who declined to be named.
Japan's triple disaster, unprecedented in a major developed economy, is already disrupting global manufacturing.
Makers of equipment for mobile telephones to car makers and chipmakers have warned of a squeeze on their businesses given Japan's crucial role in many supply chains that keep global commerce ticking over.
The technology sector felt an immediate impact after Friday's quake and tsunami since Japan makes around a fifth of the world's semiconductors.
Economists fear an extended slump for the world's third-biggest economy.
The sheer complexity of the damages makes it difficult to grasp the impact of the earthquake," says Kyohei Morita, an economist at Barclays Capital.
"Indeed, an analysis of the domestic real economy alone requires an assessment not only of building damages but also lifeline disruptions, planned blackouts/voluntary energy conservation and the state of nuclear power generation."
The Nikkei newspaper on Friday reported the government was considering mandatory power usage cuts for businesses and households to avert a major blackout in greater Tokyo.
The government also announced plans to issue 10 trillion yen in emergency bonds to fund reconstruction, adding to an already massive mountain of public debt.
Still, the effect on global growth may be more limited. BNP Paribas estimates the disaster will shave 3 percent from Japan's projected GDP this year. That would account for just 0.2 percent of world output.
(Additional reporting by Leika Kihara, Daniel Flynn, Glenn Sommerville and Lesley Wroughton; Editing by Ed Davies)



From: islam_e...@hotmail.com
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: RE: EURO Short
Date: Thu, 17 Mar 2011 15:50:30 -0400

Islam Elfayoumi

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Mar 17, 2011, 11:42:05 PM3/17/11
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Covered my YEN long at 81.78 and shorted. Hoping to retrace this spike and then long again for the continued rally.

 

From: islam_e...@hotmail.com
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: RE: EURO Short
Date: Thu, 17 Mar 2011 15:50:30 -0400

Islam Elfayoumi

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Apr 5, 2011, 4:38:58 PM4/5/11
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Covered my Yen long at 84.82. Will stay on the sideline for now.

 

From: islam_e...@hotmail.com
To: market-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: RE: EURO Short
Date: Thu, 17 Mar 2011 23:42:05 -0400
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