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[Reddit@Streams!]* Chiefs vs 49ers Live Super Bowl

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Feb 11, 2024, 2:28:58 PM2/11/24
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The San Francisco 49ers will try to avenge their loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl four years ago when the two teams collide in Super Bowl 58 on Sunday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. In Super Bowl LIV, the Chiefs scored 21 fourth quarter points to rally from an 11-point deficit and beat the 49ers, 31-20. Nine players from that 49ers team, including Nick Bosa, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel, remain on the 49ers depth chart. Meanwhile, nine players from the Chiefs' Super Bowl team four years ago are back on the roster for the Big Game.

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The Super Bowl start time is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. San Francisco is a 2-point favorite in the latest 49ers vs. Chiefs odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 47.5. Before you make any Chiefs vs. 49ers picks or Super Bowl predictions of your own, you need to see what proven NFL expert Jason La Canfora has to say, considering he's entering the 2024 Super Bowl on a red-hot streak.

An NFL insider, La Canfora has covered the league for more than two decades for CBS Sports, The Washington Post and the NFL Network, among other outlets, and this season he became a regular contributor to SportsLine. He enters Super Bowl LVIII on a red-hot roll. La Canfora is 52-27 (+2202) on his last 79 NFL picks.

Now, La Canfora has locked in on 49ers vs. Chiefs from every angle and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. 49ers:

49ers vs. Chiefs spread: San Francisco -2

49ers vs. Chiefs over/under: 47.5 points

49ers vs. Chiefs money line: San Francisco -128, Kansas City +108

SF: RB Christian McCaffrey led the league in rushing (1,459 yards)

KC: Chiefs ranked second in total defense (289.8 yards per game)

49ers vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine

49ers vs. Chiefs live stream: Paramount+ (try for free)

Why the 49ers can cover

San Francisco has an elite pass-catching tight end in George Kittle. The 30-year-old Kittle led all tight ends in receiving yards (1,020) and yards per reception (15.7) during the regular season. He is just the third player in 49ers history with three 1,000-yard receiving seasons, joining Jerry Rice and Terrell Owens. For his efforts this year, Kittle was named a first-team All-Pro for the second time.

With Kittle, Christian McCaffrey and Brock Purdy, San Francisco has excelled in the red zone this season. The 49ers scored touchdowns on 67.2% of their drives in the red zone during the regular season, which led the league. By contrast, the Chiefs scored on just 54.1%, which ranked 17th in the NFL. See which team to back here.

Why the Chiefs can cover

Two-time Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes has done an excellent job of protecting the ball in the postseason recently. Mahomes has attempted 203 consecutive passes in the playoffs without throwing an interception and has not thrown a pick since the AFC Championship Game two years ago. If Mahomes attempts 35 more passes without an interception, he would break the NFL record for consecutive passes without a pick in the playoffs, currently held by Tom Brady (237).

In addition, Kansas City has the edge over San Francisco in three key metrics: third down defense, red zone defense and special teams DVOA. The Chiefs rank fifth in third-down defense, eighth in red zone defense and sixth in special teams. By contrast, the 49ers are 27th in third-down defense, 14th in red zone defense and 25th in special teams. See which team to pick here.

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LAS VEGAS — Los Angeles Times NFL writer Sam Farmer breaks down the Super Bowl LVIII matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Sunday and will be televised by CBS (Channel 2 in the Los Angeles area):

The 49ers are all about precision and play calling, which presents a different challenge than the Chiefs saw from AFC championship game opponent Baltimore, whose quarterback, Lamar Jackson could break a big play at any time. Kansas City cannot be overly aggressive with cool-under-pressure quarterback Brock Purdy because the 49ers have so many places they can go with the ball — George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey out of the backfield. So the Chiefs have to make sure that 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan’s formations and camouflage don’t mess up their coverages. Look for more conservative zone coverages than the Baltimore game. EDGE: 49ers

San Francisco can grind out those yards on the ground with McCaffrey, who is so versatile and dangerous. The Chiefs did a really good job of shutting down the run against Baltimore, but the Ravens were complicit in that too. The big problem defenses have with the 49ers is San Francisco has so many ways to go with the ball, so committing to stop the run means all sorts of receiving options pop open. The 49ers were third in rushing yards per game this season, whereas the Chiefs were 17th when it came to stopping the run — and 26th in giving up yards after contact. EDGE: 49ers

Everybody knows the ball is going to Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce often, and rookie receiver Rashee Rice has stepped up in a big way. Now, who is the third option? That has been a mixed bag for quarterback Patrick Mahomes. That might be receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling, and the Chiefs could test the 49ers by taking some deep shots with him. If the 49ers can mitigate the damage of Kelce and Rice, they will force Kansas City to rely on someone else. The wild card is Mahomes. He turns broken plays into big gains and can take off running at any point. The Chiefs have been more conservative with him this season, in part because their defense has improved. EDGE: Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs will face the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58 on Sunday, Feb. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nev. The game will be televised on CBS.

Kansas City is back in the Super Bowl for the fourth time in five seasons after a 17-7 victory against Baltimore in the AFC championship game. Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are looking for a third Super Bowl championship in that stretch. There has not been a repeat Super Bowl champion since New England in 2003-04, and the Chiefs have found a different way to win this season.

The Chiefs finished 11-6 in the regular season, but they won two road playoff games with the help of a strong defense that allowed 13.7 points per game in victories against high-powered offensive teams in Miami, Buffalo, and Baltimore. Tight end Travis Kelce had a huge playoff showing, too, and yes – we think Taylor Swift will be in attendance at Super Bowl 58. The show must go on.

SUPER BOWL 58 PICKS: Model projection | Against the spread

San Francisco rallied from a 17-point deficit to beat Detroit 34-31 in the NFC championship game. The 49ers finished 12-5 in the regular season, and Kyle coach Shanahan is back in the Super Bowl for the second time in five seasons.

The 49ers have a strong supporting cast around quarterback Brock Purdy, who will make his Super Bowl debut. Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel are part of a dynamic offense, and Nick Bosa leads a defense that stepped up in the second half in playoff victories against Green Bay and Detroit.

The Chiefs and 49ers met in Super Bowl 54, which the Chiefs won 31-20. What has changed? We're about to find out.

Super Bowl 58 betting odds

Spread: 49ers -2 (Caesars)

Over/under: 48.0

Moneyline: 49ers -146, Chiefs +124

The Chiefs and 49ers were almost identical against the spread this season.

San Francisco was 14-5 ATS, and it was favored in every game this season. The 49ers were 4-0 ATS when favored by four points or less.

The Chiefs are 11-3-1 ATS and 10-5 S/U as an underdog the past six seasons with Mahomes at quarterback.

Super Bowl 2024 pick, prediction

In three previous Super Bowl appearances, Mahomes has a 61.8-percent completion percentage with five TDs and four interceptions. Those aren’t overwhelming numbers, but he was great in the clutch in the Super Bowl victories against the 49ers and Eagles.

The connection with Kelce has been the focal point of the offense. Kelce has 23 receptions on 27 targets with 257 yards and three TDs in the playoffs, and that is going to be the key matchup against San Francisco linebackers Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw. Rashee Rice is the other possession target on the outside, but Mahomes will take a handful of vertical shots with the receivers. That is where the edge pressure from Bosa – who had two sacks in the NFC championship game – and Chase Young must be a difference maker. How will Chiefs tackles Donovan Smith and Jawaan Taylor hold up?

Isiah Pacheco will be the X-factor. Green Bay and Detroit combined to average 159 rushing yards per game and had success on the edge against the 49ers. Pacheco excels at running through contact, too.

San Francisco has a multi-faceted offense around Purdy, who has a 61.4-percent completion percentage with three TDs and one interception in the postseason. He has taken just two sacks in those games, and the Chiefs will try to change that with an elite defensive line led by Chris Jones and edge rusher George Karlaftis, who has 2.5 sacks in the postseason. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo has been a part of three Super Bowl championship teams.

How do the Chiefs slow down McCaffrey, who had 188 rushing yards and four TDs against Detroit and Green Bay? McCaffrey was not on the field in that last Super Bowl, and he stands to get 20-plus touches in this game.

The matchup on the outside between Samuel – who will have two weeks to rest a shoulder injury – and cornerback L’Jarius Sneed will be a must-watch matchup. Tight end George Kittle is the key player for the 49ers. How much does he win the middle of the field against Chiefs linebacker Nick Bolton, who was a star in last year’s Super Bowl?
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