Upset Afternoon

[Scott Turner]

http://netprophetblog.blogspot.com/2012/03/its-upsetting.html
 

According to my predictor, the most likely upsets at the 4, 3, 2, and 1 levels:

Ohio (13) over Michigan (4)              [Louisville close behind]
Belmont (14) over Georgetown (3)  [FSU close behind]
Lehigh (15) over Duke (2)                 [By far the weakest #2 seed]
Lamar (16) over UNC (1)                   [Syracuse close behind]

No 14-3 or 16-1 upsets (assuming MSU prevails) but the PM called the other two.  Unfortunately neither one was likely enough to make it into the bracket.  It did call two other upsets correctly (NC State over SDSU and Purdue over St. Mary's).

What a wild day!  If you had asked me before the tournament, I would have said this was likely to be a mostly-chalk day.  In past years, the Pain Machine has identified several games where it believed the teams were mis-seeded.  This year it identified only one (Texas-Cincinnati), and all the other upsets were "forced".

-- Scott