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The Future of The Internet

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Pete Farmer

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Aug 24, 1998, 3:00:00 AM8/24/98
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On Wednesday, August 19, 1998 8:53 AM, Michael McPherson
[mailto:sc...@netrax.net] wrote:
>In case you missed it....& supporting my "Future of the Internet"
>prediction,
>
> Excerpts from CBS's MarketWatch.
>
> Cisco announced it will supply high speed gigabit routers to
> America Online Inc. Cisco said its products will increase the
> speed and capacity of AOL's Internet service.
>
> Eventually, the routers could help AOL offer
> so-called quality of service features for which customers would
> pay extra in order to guarantee immediate delivery of high-priority
> communications,

Michael,

Before you spend too much time congratulating yourself on your
predictive capabilities, let me ask a question:

If I posted a "prediction" today that "future telecom networks were
going to use IP as their core technology," and posted something next
week that reproduced a blurb from a Qwest press release, would you label
me as a prophet?

If you knew that the activities of Qwest and others had been going on
for quite some time, you would not, and any claims that I made to being
a prophet would be (appropriately) met with derision.

And so it is with your "prediction." Building quality of service
features into data communications devices and networks, and creating
differentiated levels of service, is not a new idea, my friend. The
concept of different pricing for different "committed information rates"
for public frame relay services, for example, goes back, I believe, to
1992-93. The religious war that has pitted IP advocates against the ATM
faithful has largely been fought on the battlefield of quality of
service.

You are reporting old news as prediction. Free advice: This is not a
good way to enhance your credibility.

Pete
______________________________________________________________________
Peter J. Farmer mailto:pfa...@strategies-u.com
Strategies Unlimited Voice: +1 650 941 3438
201 San Antonio Circle, Suite 205 Fax: +1 650 941 5120
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