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Aug 21, 2024, 5:44:14 AM8/21/24

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Molly Birnbaum - Alaska, Brian Sullins - Alabama, Sylvia Vanderspek and Leo Ramirez - California, Rebecca Simpson - Colorado, Dale Wells - Colorado, Alexandra Catena - D.C., Gil Grodzinsky - Georgia, Marc Bennett - Massachusetts, Marcia Ways - Maryland, Todd Pasley - North Carolina, John Gorgol - New Jersey, Rob McDonough and Chris Rochester - New York, Mike Maleski - Ohio, Chris Trostle - Pennsylvania, Susanne Cotty - Pima County, Carla Bedenbaugh - South Carolina, Chris Kite - Texas, Peter Verschoor and Rick McKeague - Utah, Sonya Lewis-Cheatham - Virginia, Chris Bovee and Mike Friedlander - Wisconsin, Michelle Oakes - Tennessee, Brian Timin - EPA OAQPS,

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Information was presented on data that was provided by States along with some of the outliers found when doing a general review of the data before running MOVES. Maps showing the differences in VPOP and VMT between 2016v1 and 2017 were presented. EPA will be reviewing the outliers closer to determine what happened and to see if there are legitimate reasons for differences greater than 10% between the 2016v1 Platform and the 2017 NEI. One example is seeing a majority of VMT on ramps as opposed to roadways in local data and one state showed Combination Trucks to have more than 7 million VMT in a year, where most submittals had less than 2 million. There was also a discussion on how data from the project CRC A-100 (by ERG) was used to improve default data. Graphs showing state submitted average hourly speed profiles and speed distributions compared to CRC A-100 data were presented. Example plots illustrate the similarities and differences between the state submitted and the CRC A-100 data for various source types, road types, times of day, and location. States are asked to review plots for their states/counties and evaluate the use of CRC data over their state data for speed distribution and speed profiles.

James spoke about PAMS that are used on construction equipment to determine activity data. There was a question on possible concern of changing behavior on operating habits? Answer: No, because after a while people go back to their old behaviors. Future Goals: Idle vs. Load, Maintenance & Scrappage Rates, more user friendly.

Along with a question on other fuel types to be added, there was a question about the status of Nonroad and MOVES. Some suggested/requested that Nonroad should be reversed back as an independent model, rather than keep it tied-in with MOVES. Another question asked about more time choices for Nonroad Output, as only 24-hr is available and the data output can be very large.

Slide 11 emissions are going down proportionally; however, note that scales are different on the plots. Off Network contributes more to VOC, while Roadway network contributes more to NOx. Mentioned that Ohio roadway types impact on hoteling emissions can be seen on map.

EPA mentioned they are doing real-world testing of HD vehicles and looking into tampering more for the next release of MOVES, which has not been decided when that will be. Also, since there is not a definite impact it has not been decided the impact on State Implementation Plan budgets and if they will need to be re-done. It was said that in the past SIPs did not have to be redone as a result of MOVES updates, but rather in the future these new conditions had to be taken into account through running the new MOVES version after a grace period.

This presentation provides an overview of evaluation and sensitivity results for national default inputs for NEI:

High-power gaseous emission rates
Preliminary adjustment of base rates
Deterioration trends for start and running emissions (NOx only); It was found that start and running emissions are deteriorating at the same rate.

2016v1 Onroad Emissions Update by Alison Eyth, EPA. EPA discussed the final updates to the 2016v1 input and processing data along with a presentation of results. Maps of NOx in January and July showing the impact of using average speed distribution and hourly humidity values were discussed, along with a table comparing 2016v1 (2016fh) with beta (2016 ff) emissions. Overall there was a decrease with all of the pollutants, so v1 has slightly less emissions than beta. However, when looking at each state independently, there were a few with increases of some of the pollutants dependent on the mode. EPA only shared a portion of available maps that states should review independently for many parameters, including RPD, RPV, RPP, and RPH.

2016v1 Onroad and Nonroad Emissions Update by Alison Eyth & Sarah Roberts, EPA. 2016 MOVES run is complete and future years, starting with 2028, will begin next week. EPA is reviewing SMOKE-MOVES improvements discussed by Harvey Michaels and at the Intl. Emission Inventory Conference to use speed distributions and gridded hourly humidity values.

Overall, the speed distribution map showed an increase for July NOx. Previously, a single humidity value was used for each representative county and temperature bin for each season. Maps from January show in increase in most states (except for a few exceptions on the Pacific Coast) and in July show a decrease from most states. Emissions go up in drier areas and down in more humid areas. All data shown is preliminary and subject to QA.

Nonroad final revisions/updates were completed and the 2016 run is complete. A table comparing 2016Beta with V1 showed all sectors increased or decreased by pollutant. Overall there was a 1.8% increase in NOx, a 1.9% decrease in VOC and PM2.5 was about the same, with just a 0.2% increase in emissions. However, all agencies should check for impacts on their state regions.

Antique Vehicles Poll Questions: A quick overview of the questions asked to determine better age distribution for later model year vehicles. Here is the link for those agencies that have not taken the Survey Monkey poll: Survey:

Question from DC agency on how other agencies are using MOVES for enclosed below grade parking garages and if they have found any issue with a huge discrepancy between AERSCREEN and AERMOD and how they have developed the garage emission factors for their modeling (i.e., divide by area of garage for an emission point vs. open floors). Any thoughts or suggestions may be sent to MARAMA or to Thomas Olmstead, DC DOEE, at thomas....@dc.gov.

There was a request by GA EPD asking for information on how Portable Emission Measurement System (PEMS) measured emissions on vehicles (the vehicle itself vs. nearby). It was concluded that it was on the vehicle itself and MARAMA would try to get someone to discuss this topic on a future call.

Overview of how NOx certification only applies to brand-new trucks, and that manufactures need to be held to the standard while being used, not just on the dynamometer. Trucks last a long time and warranty should be extended. For instance, there is a proposal under review for requiring the warranty for Class 8 trucks to go out to 350,000 miles, and then 800,000 miles, and would cover all components that are emissions related. In addition, the useful life is proposed to be increased to 1 million miles/15 years. -workshop-previews-upcoming-heavy-duty-diesel-changes/

Colorado has a Smoking Vehicle Hotline, just one method of trying to get CO into better attainment. Other things include emissions monitoring along the roadways, and VW projects, along with LEV and ZEV regulations.

If the CO ZEV Rule is adopted in October 2019, then on Jan. 2, 2022, the ZEV Rule takes effect. Automakers must make MY 2023 ZEVs available for sale as an increasing % of their total light duty vehicles.

Request from GA EPD There was a request from Gil Grodzinsky (GA) to gather data from available sources for a workgroup that will be looking at the uncertainty within MOVES to determine when / if it may be underestimating or overestimating emissions (e.g., NOx) and the impact it has to air quality model performance. Three sources of data were given (MJO MOVES Sharefile and Dropbox and EPA Wiki location), but if anyone else has anything they would like to share, please contact Gil at gil.gro...@dnr.state.ga.us.

Alison mentioned reduced hoteling hours based on new information. HD VPOP derived from actual driven on roads - not based on registered vehicles. (e.g., rental cars, manufacturer counties) so it is now much closer with re-allocations. Still see 1st and last year big differences between IHSdata and State registration data. Note: State submitted data will override default data (based on IHSdata)

Question during webinar: 2017 NEI hotelling NOx is expected to be reduced by 73%. Maryland has developed 2017 PEI estimates with the available MOVES2014 model. Will there be a methodology made available for states (as post-processing) to reconcile this diff? Alison responded that MD should work directly with her on this along with any VMT changes also, for them or other agencies.

Antique Vehicles Poll Questions: A quick overview of the types of questions that may be helpful to determine better age distribution for later model year vehicles. MARAMA will be sending out poll questions to those states that have not shared previously.

1. Why do we need to change representative counties? A: Vehicle age is one of the parameters on which rep. counties are based. If the vehicle ages used change, then we need to re-look at the rep. counties.

CRC project A-115 provided vehicle populations and age distributions for four cases of light-duty vehicles for both years 2016 and 2017: Unadjusted, Remove antiques, 2014 NJ-based adjustment, keep antiques and 2014 NJ-based adjustment, remove antiques

Mark may continue some work with the VIN decode group to get to the bottom of the 21 vs 31/32 splits and the reason IHS differs from state characterizations. Gil pointed out that MOVES2014 uses the 10K threshold for light duty vs medium-duty. Maryland noted that their light commercial truck population is higher than CRC A-115. It was mentioned that the main difference in the handling of 31 vs 32 is the drive cycle.