testruns done using ccrl data with se nets were >100 elo stronger than non-se nets, so that is expected to provide a elo boost.
t40 will also be trained from the start using most of the alphazero parameters, unlike t30 which has had so many changes throughout its training history that it is somewhat remarkable it has become as strong as it is, and only switched to the alphazero parameters halfway through.
so the optimism is a combination of "se nets are good" + "this will be the first proper run without bugs/huge experimental changes midway" but of course the 2nd statement may not last....