Interpretation of R squared in growth curve models (especially for the effect of time-invariant variables)

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Deni

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Dec 14, 2022, 6:38:33 AM12/14/22
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Hello everyone,

I have a question regarding the interpretation of R squared in longitudinal growth curve models and I hope, someone of you can help.

 

About my analysis:

-4 time points (2,4,6,8; equal intervals); regarding change in a psychological variable over time

time-invariant variable/group variable: dichotome variable consisting of two groups

I have a significant effect of group on the intercept of the psychological variable, but it is very small: standardized estimate =  - .06. Now I would like to find out the R² value for the effect of the group on the psychological variable, but unfortunately I do not know which one it is to interprete the growth curve analysis.

 

This is my model:

 

model <- ' 

i =~ 1*v2 + 1*v4 + 1*v6 + 1*v8

s =~ 0* v2 + 1* v4 + 2* v6 + 3* v8

 

i ~ 1

s ~ 1

 

i ~~ i

s ~~ s

i ~~ s     

 

i + s  ~ group

 '

 

fitmodel  <- growth(model, data=dat, estimator="MLR")

summary(fitmodel, fit.measures=TRUE, standardized=TRUE, rsquare=TRUE)

 

with “ i + s ~ group in the model “, my result regarding R squared is:

R-Square:

                     Estimate

    i                 0.004

    s                 0.000

    v2           0.693

    v4           0.665

    v6           0.672

    v8           0.723

 

What I found out: The R-squared statistics regarding v2-v8 show how much the growth factors  i and s account for the percentage of the variance in the repeated measure (psychological variable) over the four time points. --> Please correct me, if this is a wrong interpretation.

Now, I would like to know, if the R² values for i and s are the effect of the group on the average initial intercept and average slope. So in my case, this would mean, that group accounts for 0,6 %  of the variance in the average initial value of the psychological variable. Is that correct or is there a different analysis needed? And if correct, can this interpretation be transferred to the calculation of the r square value of group on the slope?

I am thankful for any advice and hope to hear from someone. Many thanks in advance!

 

Best Regards,

Deni

Terrence Jorgensen

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Dec 14, 2022, 9:57:39 AM12/14/22
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Yes, the R-squared for any endogenous variable is interpreted as the variance explained by all of its predictors.

Terrence D. Jorgensen
Assistant Professor, Methods and Statistics
Research Institute for Child Development and Education, the University of Amsterdam

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