FW: [PROMUDA-Circle] PM Najib kena kencing bigtime by the Chinese

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Zil Kamal Mokhtar

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Jun 12, 2013, 6:48:23 AM6/12/13

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Sent from my Windows Phone From: donrahim2001
Sent: =E2=80=8E11/=E2=80=8E6/=E2=80=8E2013 5:40
To: promuda...@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [PROMUDA-Circle] PM Najib kena kencing bigtime by the Chinese
Community?
Dear all,

Regarding talks that the Chinese community overwhelmingly (90%-95%)
voted against BN in the last GE, I find it baffling..

1. =C2=85.that a community can be so united in displaying its
political will.
2. =C2=85.and able to pull off such a thing quietly without being
detected in advance by our leaders.

Amazing, eh?

* All the free dinners, free concerts and bla,bla, bla, whilst
giving the impression that support was forthcoming to BN,
didn't materialize at all.

* In short, appears that PM Najib and BN "sudah kena kencing
bigtime lah" by the Chinese community!

Well, on a serious not, I'm just trying to understand the factors
that led to such a united voting pattern from the Chinese community.
Allow me to share my thoughts with you on why such a phenomena happened.

FACTOR 1 :

The Floodgate has been opened wide after the 2008 GE, thanks to Pak Lah.

* In the past (prior to 2008), Chinese feel they have no
choice politically but to vote BN for their economic survival.

* They have no choice politically largely because of the FEAR of
the unknown.

* The fear that the Opposition may bankrupt the country, or may
not govern well, leading to their rice bowls being affected.

* BN has been successful in conditioning that into their minds.

* So even if UMNO is deemed racist, the Chinese just tutup
telinga and ignore as long as they can survive and make money.

* But after the 2008 GE, the floodgate has been opened wide,
thanks to Pak Lah.

* Perception of the leadership then was so bad that maybe led to
the Chinese to just tutup mata and voted for the Opposition. That fear
has suddenly been overcome.

* Now there is NO more fear of the unknown as the floodgate has
been opened wide.

* Why? The Opposition has shown that they can govern well in the
states that they are in control. And they're capable of
helming the Federal Govt. So the Chinese fears towards the Opposition
all the while seem unfounded. Chinese now feel they have a choice,
politically.

* Now the Chinese realize they're politically rejuvenated.

FACTOR 2 :

Flaring of racial sentiments by the Opposition especially DAP.

* The call for MC A to be punished for being UMNO lackeys is
actually racist in nature.

* Plus the perception that Chinese has been marginalized and
treated as second class citizens by the BN Govt also made things
worse.

* But this factor on its own would NOT work to drive the Chinese
to overwhelmly reject BN. (Why I say so? The DAP has been using the
same tactics for decades without much success). So there must be
other factors coming into play as well. (so see analysis below).

FACTOR 3 : Perception of a corrupt and rotten Government.

* The perception that MCA leaders semua sudah "kenyang",
so it high time to give opportunity to the DAP. But such perception
is not only confined to the MCA but extended to the other component
parties in BN as well.

ANALYSIS :

* In my humble opinion, Factor 2 (Flaring up of racial
sentiments by the DAP) in the past few decades DID NOT WORK in full
simply because of the absence of FACTOR 1 i.e. the floodgate has NOT
been opened wide then.

* But after the 2008 GE, Factor 1 (the floodgate has been opened
wide), came into play. That opened to the eyes of other Chinese as
well.

* Chinese who voted for BN in the 2008 GE, realize now have a
choice to vote for the Opposition. So they voted for the
Opposition in 2013.

* Plus the Chinese who voted for the Opposition back in 2008,
also voted similarly in 2013.

* That's why BN kena double whammy=C2=85Chinese
overwhelmingly voted for the Opposition in the 2013 GE. (That was
not the case back in 2008).

* This also explain why despite the incessant attacks by BN to
potray the Opposition as a fragmented coalition with differing
ideologies simply did not work with the Chinese community. As there
is now no more fear of the unknown! (Remember, the floodgate has been
opened wide?).

What does the above all mean?

* Even if PM Najib manage to overcome Factor 3 by improving his
Administration's governance and eliminate corruption completely
by appointing angels into his administration, will the Chinese vote
come back to BN in the next GE?

* Well, not necessarily in my view since you still have Factor 1
(the floodgate has been opened wide) and Factor 2 (flaring up of
racial sentiments by the DAP) coming into play.

What am I trying to say?

* Basically whatever effort put in or resources poured into the
Chinese community by the PM and his administration will not
necessarily get BN the votes simply because of factor 1 and factor 2,
which will still come into play in each and subsequent GEs.

* Floodgate tu dah terbukak and terkangkang besar, so menang tak
boleh tutup pun=C2=85

* =C2=85unless the Govt goes for full meritocracy and eliminate
any form of preferential treatment for Bumis. But then, that would
be a political suicide since Malays still form the majority of this
country and any attempt to do so will result to a backlash.

* (Kalau tak percaya, cuba lah get one of the top leaders to
contest in the UMNO elections by saying that Bumi privileges will
be abolished. I bet you sure akan kalah teruk. Even KJ pun appears
to have made a U=C2=96turn from his initial enthusiasm about BN
merging into a single party. That's political reality, mind
you. See 'Pemuda UMNO tolak cadangan BN parti tunggal' ;
http://www.utusan.com.my/utusan/Politik/20130607/po_05/Pemuda-UMNO-tolak\
-cadangan-BN-parti-tunggal
<http://www.utusan.com.my/utusan/Politik/20130607/po_05/Pemuda-UMNO-tola\
k-cadangan-BN-parti-tunggal> )

CONCLUSION :

* No one wants to do an investment with negative return. Or
putting more and more resources, yet the results seem stagnant.

* Our PM should gauge what is the OPTIMUM amount of effort and
resources to be put in to woo the Chinese community, given that
factor 1 and factor 2 will still come into play in the next GE. Kalau
tak, nanti kena kencing bigtime lagi..

* The balance of the resources should be channelled elsewhere
i.e. to the other communities to get better returns.

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<div id=3D"ygrp-text" >
=20
=20
<div> </div><div>Dear all,=20

=C2=A0

Regarding talks that the Chinese community
overwhelmingly (90%-95%) voted against BN in the last GE, I find it bafflin=
g..=20

=C2=A0

<ol start=3D"1" type=3D"1">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">=C2=85.that a community can be so united in displaying its po=
litical will.</li>=20
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">=C2=85.and
able to pull off such a thing quietly without being detected in advanc=
e by
our leaders.</li>=20
</ol>

=C2=A0

=C2=A0

Amazing, eh?=20

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">All
the free dinners, free concerts and bla,bla, bla, whilst giving the
impression that support was forthcoming to BN, didn't materialize at a=
ll.</li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;text-align:justify;">In
short, appears that PM Najib and BN "sudah kena kencing bigtime lah" b=
y
the Chinese community!</li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

=C2=A0

Well, on a serious not, I'm just trying to
understand the factors that led to such a united voting pattern from the
Chinese community. Allow me to share my thoughts with you on why such a
phenomena happened.=20

=C2=A0

=C2=A0

=C2=A0

FACTOR 1 : =20

The
Floodgate has been opened wide after the 2008 GE, thanks to Pak Lah.=
=20

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">In
the past (prior to 2008),=C2=A0 Chinese feel
they have no choice politically but to vote BN=C2=A0 for their economi=
c survival. </li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">They
have no choice politically largely because of the FEAR of the unknown.=
</li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">The
fear that the Opposition may bankrupt the country, or may not govern w=
ell,
leading to their rice bowls being affected. </li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;text-align:justify;">BN
has been successful in conditioning that into their minds.</li>=
=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">So
even if UMNO is deemed racist, the Chinese just tutup telinga and igno=
re
as long as they can survive and make money. </li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;text-align:justify;">But
after the 2008 GE, the floodgate has been opened wide, thanks to Pak L=
ah. </li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;text-align:justify;">Perception of the leadership then =
was so bad that maybe
led to the Chinese to just tutup mata and voted for the Opposition. </=
span>That fear has suddenly
been overcome. </li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;text-align:justify;">Now
there is NO more fear of the unknown as the floodgate has been opened
wide.</li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">Why?
The Opposition has shown that they can govern well in the states that =
they
are in control.=C2=A0 And they're capable
of helming the Federal Govt. So the Chinese =C2=A0fears towards the Op=
position all the
while seem unfounded. Chinese now feel they have a choice, politically=
. </li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;text-align:justify;">Now
the Chinese realize they're politically rejuvenated.</li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

=C2=A0

=C2=A0

FACTOR 2 : <=
/b>=20

Flaring up of ra=
cial sentiments by the Opposition especially DAP.=20

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">The
call for MC A to be punished for being UMNO lackeys is actually racist=
in
nature.</li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">Plus
the perception that Chinese has been marginalized and treated as secon=
d
class citizens by the UMNO led BN Govt also made things worse.<=
/li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;text-align:justify;">But
this factor on its own would NOT work to drive the Chinese to overwhel=
mly
reject BN. (Why I say so? The DAP has been using the same tactics for
decades without much success). So there must be other factors comin=
g
into play as well. (so see analysis below).</li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

=C2=A0

=C2=A0

FACTOR 3 :
Perception of a corrupt and rotten Government.=20

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal">The
perception that MCA leaders semua sudah "kenyang", so it high time to =
give
opportunity to the DAP. But such perception is not only confined to th=
e
MCA but extended to the other component parties in BN as well. </li>
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

 =C2=A0=20

 =C2=A0=20

ANALYSIS : =20

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal">In my
humble opinion, Factor 2 (Flaring up
of racial sentiments by the DAP) in the past few decades DID NOT W=
ORK in
full simply because of the absence of FACTOR 1 i.e. the floodgate has =
NOT been
opened wide then.</li>
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">But after the 2008 G=
E, Factor 1 (the floodgate has been opened wide), came into play. <s=
pan style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;">That opened to the
eyes of other Chinese as well.</li>=20
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal">Chinese
who voted for BN in the 2008 GE, realize now have a choice to vote for=
the
Opposition. So they voted=C2=A0 for the
Opposition in 2013.</li>
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal">Plus
the Chinese who voted for the Opposition back in 2008, also voted simi=
larly
=C2=A0in 2013.</li>
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;">That's
why BN kena double whammy=C2=85Chinese overwhelmingly voted for the Op=
position
in the 2013 GE. (That was not the case back in 2008).</li>=20
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;">This also explain why despite the incessant attacks
by BN to potray the Opposition as a fragmented coalition with differin=
g
ideologies simply did not work with the Chinese community. As t=
here
is now no more fear of the unknown! (Remember, the floodgate has been
opened wide?).</li>=20
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

 =C2=A0=20

 =C2=A0=20

What does the above
all mean?=20

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal">Even
if PM Najib manage to overcome Factor 3 by improving his Administratio=
n's
governance and eliminate corruption completely by appointing angels in=
to
his administration, will the Chinese vote come back to BN in the next =
GE?</li>
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;">Well,
not necessarily in my view since you still have Factor 1 (the flood=
gate has been opened wide) and
Factor 2 (flaring up of racial
sentiments by the DAP) coming into play. </li>=20
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

 =C2=A0=20

What am I trying to
say?=20

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">Basically whatever e=
ffort put in or resources poured
into the Chinese community by the PM and his administration will not
necessarily get BN the votes simply because of factor 1 and factor 2,
which will still come into play in each and subsequent GEs.</li>
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">Floodgate tu dah ter=
bukak and terkangkang besar, so
menang tak boleh tutup pun=C2=85</li>
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">=C2=85unless the Gov=
t goes for full meritocracy and
eliminate any form of preferential treatment for Bumis. But then, that
would be a political suicide since Malays still form the majority of t=
his
country and any attempt to do so will result to a backlash.</li>
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">(Kalau tak
percaya, cuba lah get one of the top leaders to contest =
in the UMNO elections by
saying that Bumi privileges will be abolished. I bet you sure akan kal=
ah
teruk. Even KJ pun appears to have made a U=C2=96turn from his initial
enthusiasm about BN merging into a single party. That's political real=
ity,
mind you. See 'Pemuda UMNO tolak cadangan BN parti tunggal' ; <a rel=
=3D"nofollow" target=3D"_blank" href=3D"http://www.utusan.com.my/utusan/Pol=
itik/20130607/po_05/Pemuda-UMNO-tolak-cadangan-BN-parti-tunggal">http://www=
.utusan.com.my/utusan/Politik/20130607/po_05/Pemuda-UMNO-tolak-cadangan-BN-=
parti-tunggal</a>
)</li>=20
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

 =C2=A0=20

CONCLUSION : </u=
>=20

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"text-align:justify;">No one wants to do a=
n investment with negative
return. Or putting more and more resources, yet the results seem stagn=
ant.
</li>
</ul>

 =C2=A0=20

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;text-align:justify;">Our PM sho=
uld gauge what is the OPTIMUM amount of
effort and resources to be put in to woo the Chinese community, given =
that
factor 1 and factor 2 will still come into play in the next GE. Kalau =
tak,
nanti kena kencing bigtime lagi..</li>=20
</ul>

=C2=A0

<ul type=3D"disc">
<li class=3D"MsoNormal" style=3D"color:red;text-align:justify;">The balanc=
e of the resources should be channelled
elsewhere i.e. to the other communities to get better returns.</li>=20
</ul></div>


</div>
=20


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