We had about 40 people who spent several hours distributing literature at the polls yesterday, which may well put us in the top tier of polling place coverage by electioneers. A big shout-out to Vote16MO for supplying so many of those people.
We expect to update the candidate web page later today, with the basic facts for the public. But for our supporters, we offer further commentary
Report on April 4 Primary Election
Mayor
Quinton Lucas got 87.4% of the vote. If we had RCV now, he clearly won. Under current rules, however, he has to run again for another election against the same opponent. Which will probably turn out roughly the same.
Council District 1 At Large
Kevin O'Neill, incumbent, got 72.5% of the vote
If we had RCV now, he's won and we'd be done. But under current rules, he has to run against Ronda Smith in the June 20 election.
He's been a long-time supporter of RCV, saying he'll co-sponsor the bill as long as there are enough other co-sponsors. Ronda Smith hasn't yet formed a position.
Council District 1
Nathan Willet got 67.6% of the vote but must still do a re-run of the race with Chris Gahagan. We don't yet have positions from either one on RCV.
Council District 2 At Large
Jenay Manley and Lindsay French both did well, and Mickey Younghanz is no longer in the running. This is an excellent outcome for RCV: both Manley and French support it with some enthusiasm.
Council District 2
Wesley Rogers is running unopposed. Twice.
Council District 3 At Large
Melissa Patterson Hazley won 63% of the vote in a 2-person race with incumbent Brad Ellington. Ellington has told us he's "not opposed" to RCV, and Hazley has yet to form a position. They both run again on June 20.
Council District 3
Incumbent Melissa Robinson, who favors RCV, got 84% of the vote. Nevertheless, she still has to run again against the same opponent, Sheri Hall, for the next eleven weeks.
Council District 4 At Large
This open seat with 5 candidates is a prime case of a race that would benefit from RCV. Crispin Rea, who has yet to form a position on RCV, got 47% of the vote. The runner-up was Justin Short, who is an enthusiastic supporter of RCV.
Council District 4
Incumbent Eric Bunch got 60% of the vote in his three-way race. He'll be facing off with Henry Rizzo. Bunch is a long-time enthusiastic supporter of RCV. Rizzo has also told us he supports RCV.
Council District 5 At Large
This race is now down to Michael Kelley and Darrel Curls. Kelley has shown over and over again that he's enthusiastic about RCV. Curls has yet to form a position.
Council District 5
Incumbent Ryana Parks-Shaw is running unopposed. Twice.
Council District 6 At Large
Incumbent Andrea Bough got 71.3% of the vote. Nevertheless, because we don't have RCV, she has to run against Jill Sasse. Neither have formed a position on RCV, though of course we've had much discussion with Bough.
Council District 6
Another 5-way race for an open seat, the top two are Johnathan Duncan and Dan Tarwater. Duncan supports RCV. Tarwater has yet to form a position.
Summary for RCV in the Races
Settled because candidate is running unopposed:
District 1, Wesley Rogers
District 5, Ryana Parks-Shaw
Incumbent did very strongly and will almost undoubtedly win:
District 1 at large, Kevin O'Neill (strong RCV supporter)
District 3, Melissa Robinson (strong RCV supporter)
District 6 at large, Andrea Bough
Races in which either candidate winning will be an RCV supporter:
District 2 at large, Jenay Manley and Lindsey French
District 4, Eric Bunch and Henry Rizzo. (Bunch is the incumbent, got 60%, and is a long-time supporter)
Races where an enthusiastic RCV supporter is running against someone without a formed opinion yet:
District 4 at large, Justin Short vs. Crispin Rea
District 5 at large, Michael Kelley vs. Darrell Curls
District 6, Johnathan Duncan vs. Dan Tarwater
The remaining two races (District 1 and District 3 at large) are up in the air as to RCV outcome.
The only candidate who ever said anything negative about RCV ("no fan") is no longer in the running. Therefore, we still have a plausible best-case scenario of 12 yes votes for RCV, and a very high probability of a solid majority.