Forecast Bar 2-9-2 Crack
Janet Denzel
A Spring pattern is settling in across the West with warmer temperatures. The next storm system arrives 4/14-4/17 (earlier in CA). Rain/snow levels will initially be high. In the Northeast, rain showers are likely during this forecast period. On 4/12 ski the Pacific Northwest or Interior British Columbia. On 4/13 ski the Sierra. On 4/14 ski the Sierra or Wasatch.
Moderate snow accumulation arrives in the Pacific Northwest 4/11-4/12, with moderate accumulation returning 4/15. Grand totals of 4-12 inches at Whistler Blackcomb, Mt. Baker, Stevens Pass, and Timberline. Less accumulation at Mt. Bachelor.
The pattern stays mainly dry and warm in California until 4/12-4/13 when moderate to heavy snow accumulation arrives at Mt. Shasta, Tahoe, and Mammoth. Snow levels start high above 7,000 feet. Grand totals of 4-8 inches.
The pattern stays dry in Utah until moderate to heavy snow accumulation arrives late 4/13-4/14. Grand totals of 5-12 inches with high end amounts at Solitude, Brighton, Alta, and Snowbird. In Colorado a very windy storm system exits on 4/7. Expect light snow accumulation afternoon 4/8, and moderate to heavy snow accumulation afternoon 4/13-4/14. Grand totals of 4-12 inches across all mountain zones.
Expect heavy snow accumulation in the Pacific Northwest the afternoon of 4/8-4/9, and moderate to heavy accumulation afternoon 4/11-4/14. Grand totals of 1-3 feet at Whistler Blackcomb, Baker, Stevens Pass, and Timberline. Less accumulation at Mt. Bachelor.
A major storm system hits the Northeast 4/3-4/5 with 65 mph wind gusts and heavy snow accumulation. Out West, a Canadian storm system hits California, the Pacific Northwest, Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Utah, and Colorado 4/3-4/8 with moderate to heavy snow accumulation. A second storm system dives really far south and might deliver moderate to heavy snow accumulation to New Mexico and Colorado 4/9-4/10.
Expect moderate to heavy snow accumulation late 4/3-4/5 in California. Grand totals of 6-12 inches at Shasta, Tahoe, and Mammoth. Light snow accumulation possible on 4/7 with 1-3 inches of accumulation.
Expect heavy snow accumulation in the Northeast through 4/4 and moderate accumulation 4/5. Grand totals of 10-20 inches at the major ski areas in Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine, with up to 2 feet or more on Mount Washington. Wind gusts of 65 mph continue through early 4/4, then gradually decrease.
Storm no. 1 spins out of California and slides through the Four Corners with moderate to heavy snow accumulation in Utah, Wyoming, Colorado, and New Mexico through 4/2. Then the pattern shifts and 1-2 storm systems drop south from Canada into the Pacific Northwest, California, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Utah, and Colorado through 4/7. On 4/4 ski the Northeast, Idaho, Sunshine Village, or Fernie. On 4/5 ski the Northeast, Idaho, the Sierra, Sunshine Village, or Fernie. On 4/6 ski the Wasatch, Tetons, Western Slope of Colorado, Whitefish, or Snowbowl (Montana). On 4/7 ski the Tetons, Montana, Schweitzer, or Banff Area.
It was a powder weekend at many North America ski resorts, with more snow on the way. There are 3-4 storm systems lined up through 4/2. Feet of total snow accumulation is likely in Utah, Wyoming, California, and Colorado. On 3/28 ski the Pacific Northwest, Mt. Shasta, the Tetons, Brundage, Sun Valley, or Schweitzer. On 3/29 ski the Tetons, Wasatch, or Northern Mountains of Colorado. On 3/30 ski the Sierra, Tetons, or Big Sky. On 3/31 ski the Tetons or the Sierra.
There are three key pieces to this forecast period. First, a cut-off area of low pressure retrogrades through Southern Utah, Arizona, Southwest Colorado, and New Mexico. It will continue to throw waves of snow into each state through 3/19. Second, the Central and Northern Rockies stay high and dry through 3/20. Third, a pattern shift occurs 3/21-3/26 with northern and southern jet support and 1-2 different storm systems. Widespread heavy snow is likely for California, the Pacific Northwest, British Columbia, Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Utah, and Colorado.
The pattern stays dry in the Pacific Northwest through 3/19, then a pattern shift delivers a large storm system and heavy snow accumulation 3/20-3/24. Grand totals of 1-2 feet at Whistler Blackcomb, Mt. Baker, and Crystal. 8-16 inches at Stevens Pass, Timberline, and Mt. Bachelor.
The pattern stays dry for the Banff area through 3/19 before a pattern shift delivers a large storm system and heavy snow accumulation 3/20-3/23. Grand totals of 1-2 feet at Sunshine Village and Marmot Basin. Similarly for Interior British Columbia, expect heavy snow accumulation 3/20-3/23. Grand totals of 1-2 feet at Revelstoke, Kicking Horse, Red Mountain, Fernie, and Whitewater.
Residual light to moderate snow accumulation continues through 3/20 for New Mexico ski resorts. Then a pattern shift delivers moderate snow accumulation 3/23-3/24. Grand totals of 6-12 inches at Taos, Ski Santa Fe, and Angel Fire.
A major storm system develops over Colorado 3/13-3/15 with feet of total accumulation. Northern New Mexico also benefits with heavy snow accumulation. Then this storm system gets cut off from the main flow and meanders over Arizona and Southern Utah for several days until it dies out. On 3/14 and 3/15 ski Loveland, Arapahoe Basin, Winter Park, Eldora, Keystone, Summit County, Vail, Wolf Creek, and Monarch. On 3/16-3/17 ski Taos, Ski Santa Fe, Angel Fire, or the leftover snow in Southern Colorado.
Expect a dry pattern in the Banff area until 3/20 when moderate to heavy snow accumulation arrives. For Interior British Columbia expect a dry pattern until 3/20 when moderate to heavy snow accumulation arrives.
Light snow accumulation continues into early 3/11 in New England. The next storm system hits 3/16-3/17, and could be rain or snow. Expect 4-12 inches in Northern Vermont, Northern New Hampshire, and Northern Maine, with less elsewhere.
A major storm system continues into 3/4 across California, Utah, Wyoming, and Colorado, with additional moderate to heavy snow accumulation. A second storm system arrives 3/5-3/8 with moderate to heavy snow accumulation. Then the storm track shifts north to favor the Pacific Northwest, British Columbia, and Northern Tier 3/9-3/12. On 3/7 ski Mammoth, Jackson Hole, Wasatch, Wolf Creek, Monarch, Loveland, Arapahoe Basin, Winter Park, or Steamboat. On 3/8 ski Loveland, Arapahoe Basin, Winter Park, Wolf Creek, Taos, Ski Santa Fe, or Angel Fire. On 3/9 ski the Pacific Northwest, British Columbia, Lake Tahoe, or Mt. Shasta. On 3/10 ski the Northeast or the Pacific Northwest.
Expect heavy snow accumulation in New Mexico the afternoon of 2/26-2/27 with 8-14 inches of snow accumulation at Taos, Ski Santa Fe, and Angel Fire. The second storm system delivers moderate snow accumulation on 3/3 with 4-8 inches.
The Western storm cycle continues through 2/10, then the pattern turns much drier with the exception of the Pacific Northwest, British Columbia, and northern tier. The combination of a strong storm system from California and two smaller storm systems will keep the snow going across Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, Colorado, and New Mexico. On 2/9 ski Brian Head, Snowbowl (AZ), Telluride, Purgatory, Wolf Creek, Silverton, the Wasatch Range, or Crested Butte. On 2/10 ski Schweitzer, Brundage, Sun Valley, Big Sky, Tetons, the Wasatch, Taos, or Steamboat. On 2/11 ski Wolf Creek, Loveland, Arapahoe Basin, Winter Park, Steamboat, Eldora, or Taos.
The next storm system arrives in Utah 2/5-2/9 with 1-3 feet of accumulation across the Wasatch. Brian Head can expect two feet of accumulation. A smaller storm system brushes the Wasatch with light snow accumulation on 2/12. In Colorado, the next storm system arrives 2/6-2/10 with 1-2 feet of snow accumulation across Western and Southwest Colorado. An isolated three foot amount is possible in the San Juan Mountains. Less accumulation in Summit County and on the Divide at Loveland, A-Basin, Keystone, Winter Park, and Eldora.
Storm no. 1 arrives in Utah late 2/1-2/3 with 10-20 inches of snow. Storm no. 2 hits 2/6-2/9 with a foot of additional accumulation. Grand totals of 2-3 feet. In Colorado, the bulk of snow accumulation occurs across Western and Southwest Colorado, with less east of Vail. A panhandle hook storm system develops in New Mexico and the panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma. The track appears too far south to deliver big snow to Denver and the Divide.
A ridge of high pressure keeps Utah, Wyoming, Colorado, and New Mexico abnormally warm and dry through 1/31. The bulk of moisture is directed into the West Coast, Pacific Northwest, and British Columbia during that time period. Snow levels jump to 6,000-9,000 feet in Washington, Oregon, and British Columbia. Freezing levels in Utah and Colorado jump to 8,000-10,000ft. So the last couple days of January will see low snowfall totals across North America. Then a major pattern change occurs 2/1-2/5 with a powerful Subtropical jet stream, series of low pressure systems, and colder air. This should generate widespread snow for the West during the first week of February.
The pattern is mostly dry in the Banff area until 2/1. Then moderate to heavy snow accumulation is possible. Interior British Columbia gets light to moderate snow 1/24-1/26 with 2-6 inches of accumulation at Revelstoke, Kicking Horse, and Fernie. Then moderate to heavy snow accumulation on or after 1/31.
One storm system moves through Utah, Wyoming, Montana, Idaho, Colorado, and New Mexico 1/25-1/26 with light to moderate snow accumulation. Then the pattern dries out in Utah, Wyoming, Colorado, and New Mexico 1/27-1/31 with a brief ridge of high pressure. A more active pattern with widespread snow arrives the first week of February with a powerful Subtropical jet stream. On 1/26 ski the Wasatch, Telluride, Silverton, or Purgatory. On 1/27 ski the higher elevations of Washington, Oregon, or British Columbia. On 1/28 ski the higher elevations of Washington or British Columbia.
The pattern is mostly dry for the Banff area until 2/1. Then moderate to heavy snow accumulation is possible. Interior British Columbia gets light to moderate snow 1/24-1/26 with 2-6 inches of accumulation at Revelstoke, Kicking Horse, and Fernie. Then moderate to heavy snow accumulation on or after 1/31.
bcf7231420