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Biden’s Next Move?
After Biden's disastrous debate performance, his decision process is quite
simple: He'll ask himself the following 4 questions.
The 4 questions
How would my interest be affected, if
1) I stay in and win my re-election?
2) I stay in and lose my re-election?
3) I get out and my replacement wins the election? and
4) I get out and my replacement loses the election?
The Answers
The answers to question 2) to 4) are very certain:
Answer to 2): A lot of voters and the Dem. party bigwigs will view me not
only as a loser but also as a selfish individual not knowing my age.
A. to 3): I will be lauded as an elder statesman, my position in the history of
the Democratic Party will be certain.
A.to 4): I will still be viewed as an elder statesman by the party.
The Answer to 1) is iffy:
A. to 1): If I win and quickly turn the presidency over to my V.P. , my historic
position in the Democratic party is guaranteed. But why would I risk an
extremely difficult race to do just that for Kamala?
Would I be strong enough to last another 4 years? I have been
weakening faster in recent months. I'll need to check with Jill, & take a
week or 2 to think through that. In the meantime, I'll of course need to
calm the Party down, which will be relatively easy. Even were I to step
out, all the my fellow Dems. who are itching to be the next president will
know that I could be a king-maker. But I can't control the voters and
donors. I'll need to change their perception of me in the next few public
appearances. Ultimately, I'll need to listen to the polls. After the debate,
the polls show that I lost 3 more points. That is not much. But will it stop
there and turn around? Will it keep on falling? How about the polls from
the 7 battleground states? I'll also need to know how donations are
coming in. If the July donation intake is particularly low, the pressure
on me to step out will be sky high. Winning the election will be so
satisfying! However, am I getting too old for the game? I'll hang tough,
at least for now.
My Prediction of Biden's Next Move
To summarize, Biden has much to lose if he stays in to fight for his
re-election, and much to gain if he gets out.
Hence, I respectfully predict that Pres. Biden will step out, either from
his presidency, or from seeking the nomination of the Democratic Party for
president.
A picture is worth a thousand words
Shown below is one of the 14 pictures available in an article entitled
"14 Photos of People Watching Trump And Biden Debate ..."
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