"I love Hispanics!"

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Brian Howell

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May 5, 2016, 9:32:24 PM5/5/16
to Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover

Craig Good

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May 5, 2016, 10:12:16 PM5/5/16
to Brian Howell, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover

> On May 5, 2016, at 18:32 PM, Brian Howell <bdho...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> I... I... I... I just don't know what the hell to say here.
>

I do:

Poe’s Law rules the universe.



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Today's Oxymoron:
Country Music

Brian Howell

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May 5, 2016, 10:55:03 PM5/5/16
to Craig Good, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
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alanjoh...@gmail.com

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May 6, 2016, 12:04:37 AM5/6/16
to Brian Howell, Craig Good, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
Clearly many voters this year care more about the "apprentice" than honesty and civility

Sent from my iPad

Jack Saunders

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May 6, 2016, 12:22:00 AM5/6/16
to Brian Howell, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
Never under-estimate the power of a rip tide fad.

On May 5, 2016, at 6:32 PM, Brian Howell <bdho...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Jack Saunders

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May 6, 2016, 12:34:10 AM5/6/16
to alanjoh...@gmail.com, Brian Howell, Craig Good, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
Hillary Clinton is ripped on "honesty."  I think honesty as understood by the C students is way over-rated.  As a practical matter it's irrelevant as a variable in presidential politics, since no candidate who has not built a reputation for operational trustworthiness among hundreds of government associates can't get anywhere close.  Look at Lyin' Ted...outed by fellow Republican Boehner as "the worst son of a bitch I've ever worked with."  Hillary would not be where she is without a basic colleague consensus on practical honesty.

jack saunders

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May 6, 2016, 1:50:47 PM5/6/16
to Brian Howell, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
Brian laughed at the "I love Hispanics" quote.  Did you catch the night he was going down the exit poll detail from South Carolina, bragging about how he captured every demographic segment -- when he came upon "the poorly educated".  "I love the poorly educated," he thundered.  I certainly rang honest.


 




From: Brian Howell <bdho...@gmail.com>
To: Ipse Dixit <Ipse-...@googlegroups.com>
Cc: Kate McNulty <kate.m...@gmail.com>; Sally McNulty <SallyP...@aol.com>; Raleigh D'adamo <DAd...@aol.com>; Betsy Glover <BetsyPea...@gmail.com>
Sent: Thursday, May 5, 2016 6:32 PM
Subject: [Ipse Dixit] "I love Hispanics!"

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Scott Hotes

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May 6, 2016, 2:52:03 PM5/6/16
to jack saunders, Brian Howell, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
On Fri, May 6, 2016 at 10:50 AM, jack saunders <jack...@pacbell.net> wrote:
Brian laughed at the "I love Hispanics" quote.  Did you catch the night he was going down the exit poll detail from South Carolina, bragging about how he captured every demographic segment -- when he came upon "the poorly educated".  "I love the poorly educated," he thundered.  I certainly rang honest.

 Trump often comes off as the guy with such a weak ego, that he responds immediately
and without filter to good and bad feedback.  You vote for me, I love you.  Paul Ryan
yesterday made a ridiculous comment that he "was not yet ready to support Trump",
to which Trump ridiculously responded with "I'm not ready to support Ryan's agenda
in Congress"... Yikes!  The most concerning part of this to me is how easily it could
be manipulated.  I just want to be loved!  What do I need to do to be loved!  Putin could
have a field day with this...

OTOH, the transparency (I don't think I can go as far as to say "honesty") is somewhat
refreshing here.  He loves the poorly educated because they vote for him.  OK, fine.
As many people have already remarked, Trump's success is built in part from the
decades of false promises politicians have made to the middle class.  By and large,
our politicians are already bought and sold by corporate interests, how could they
make good with their promises?  Trump, for all his infantile bluster, is, at least for
now, further away from this kind of corporate ownership.  Maybe it's a desperate last
hope the the disenfranchised, but really, what else do they have?  Related:  I would
love if someone leaked transcripts of Hillary's speeches to Wall Street banks.  Maybe
we'd learn something about her "practical honesty" (wow, that phrase sounds a lot
like "truthiness"...)

Scott

jack saunders

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May 6, 2016, 3:11:20 PM5/6/16
to Scott Hotes, Brian Howell, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
I agree with Scott that part of Trump's popularity is his seemingly unguarded candor.
You wouldn't necessarily call it honesty, yet the game is so easily seen that it passes for candor.

 



From: Scott Hotes <sah...@gmail.com>
To: jack saunders <jack...@pacbell.net>
Cc: Brian Howell <bdho...@gmail.com>; Ipse Dixit <Ipse-...@googlegroups.com>; Kate McNulty <kate.m...@gmail.com>; Sally McNulty <SallyP...@aol.com>; Raleigh D'adamo <DAd...@aol.com>; Betsy Glover <BetsyPea...@gmail.com>
Sent: Friday, May 6, 2016 11:52 AM
Subject: Re: [Ipse Dixit] "I love Hispanics!"

Craig Good

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May 6, 2016, 3:22:50 PM5/6/16
to jack saunders, Scott Hotes, Brian Howell, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
I think Trump is the poster boy for the Dunning Kruger Effect, and that he honestly believes most of what he says. His dishonesty is that of the unscrupulous salesman who exaggerates for advantage. I think that Hillary is just a reflexive, pathological liar. She and her husband both lie out of habit even when it’s not to their advantage.

I wouldn’t trust either of them farther than I can throw a bus.


> On May 6, 2016, at 12:11 PM, jack saunders <jack...@pacbell.net> wrote:
>
> I agree with Scott that part of Trump's popularity is his seemingly unguarded candor.
> You wouldn't necessarily call it honesty, yet the game is so easily seen that it passes for candor.


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"If you pray for rain long enough, it eventually does fall. If you
pray for floodwaters to abate, they eventually do. The same happens
in the absence of prayers."
--Steve Allen

jack saunders

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May 6, 2016, 3:34:38 PM5/6/16
to Craig Good, Scott Hotes, Brian Howell, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
"I am what I am.  Deal with it."  
He says that all the time, and it's getting results.
But *only* (in my opinion) because of his vast wealth.

Had the script for All in the Family made Archie a very rich man, I doubt the show would ever have been green-lighted.
It would have been too scary.
This is novelty that is playing out -- again, the power of a rip tide fad.

 




From: Craig Good <clg...@me.com>
To: jack saunders <jack...@pacbell.net>
Cc: Scott Hotes <sah...@gmail.com>; Brian Howell <bdho...@gmail.com>; Ipse Dixit <Ipse-...@googlegroups.com>; Kate McNulty <kate.m...@gmail.com>; Sally McNulty <SallyP...@aol.com>; Raleigh D'adamo <DAd...@aol.com>; Betsy Glover <BetsyPea...@gmail.com>
Sent: Friday, May 6, 2016 12:22 PM
Subject: Re: [Ipse Dixit] "I love Hispanics!" -- Trump transparency

alan pearson

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May 6, 2016, 3:40:18 PM5/6/16
to jack saunders, Scott Hotes, Brian Howell, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
hi

isn’t it also that trump has not endorsed the republican doctrine.  ryan is in effect saying, “trump if you endorse the republican doctrine i’ll endorse you”.  trump is saying “no ryan, you endorse my doctrine first” … i see this as the beginning of positional negotiation .  trump is very comfortable playing out these battles in the glare of the media spotlight using twitter whereas conventional politicians are more cagy.  trump is bold i’ll give you that. bold but not wise - eventually he is going to need the support of republican party that he has been selected to represent.  going to battle with the republican establishment in the open may work in a business model  where the goal is to beat an oponent but not when the objective is to build consensus.  using positional bargaining, which is trump’s approach is not a good model to  follow so as to achieve a win-win relationship with the republican leadership. i’ve included a link to “getting t yes” which is a technique for gaining consensus where the objectives of each position are examined first before each side in the negotiation exposes their position.


On May 6, 2016, at 12:11 PM, jack saunders <jack...@pacbell.net> wrote:

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Vince Koloski

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May 6, 2016, 3:41:07 PM5/6/16
to Jack Saunders, alanjoh...@gmail.com, Brian Howell, Craig Good, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
I was listening to Willie Brown on KCBS this morning. They were congratulating him on his pick this past January of Trump to win the Republican nomination. 
He further stated that he believes the election is "Trump's to lose."
A lot of these sorts of predictions are for shock value but Slick Willie has an almost preternatural sense of political trends. 

Vince

Brandon Gates

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May 6, 2016, 4:05:36 PM5/6/16
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On Friday, May 6, 2016 at 11:52:03 AM UTC-7, Scott Hotes wrote:
On Fri, May 6, 2016 at 10:50 AM, jack saunders <jack...@pacbell.net> wrote:
Brian laughed at the "I love Hispanics" quote.  Did you catch the night he was going down the exit poll detail from South Carolina, bragging about how he captured every demographic segment -- when he came upon "the poorly educated".  "I love the poorly educated," he thundered.  I certainly rang honest.

The most concerning part of this to me is how easily it could
be manipulated.  I just want to be loved!  What do I need to do to be loved!  Putin could
have a field day with this...

Or his Cabinet.

jack saunders

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May 6, 2016, 4:56:48 PM5/6/16
to alan pearson, Scott Hotes, Brian Howell, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
Good point, Alan.  Trump is not an inexperienced negotiator.  Nor is he afraid to bring the talks to crisis.
The standard issue politician is pretty much by definition someone with a history of avoiding blow-ups.
The crazy brave get weeded out before they come to national attention.
But in this case, the man has built his whole shtick on show-downs.
Things we take to be embarrassment are not terribly frightening to him.
 
 




From: alan pearson <alanjoh...@gmail.com>
To: jack saunders <jack...@pacbell.net>
Cc: Scott Hotes <sah...@gmail.com>; Brian Howell <bdho...@gmail.com>; Ipse Dixit <Ipse-...@googlegroups.com>; Kate McNulty <kate.m...@gmail.com>; Sally McNulty <SallyP...@aol.com>; Raleigh D'adamo <DAd...@aol.com>; Betsy Glover <BetsyPea...@gmail.com>
Sent: Friday, May 6, 2016 12:40 PM
Subject: Re: [Ipse Dixit] "I love Hispanics!" -- Trump transparency

jack saunders

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May 6, 2016, 5:04:40 PM5/6/16
to Vince Koloski, alanjoh...@gmail.com, Brian Howell, Craig Good, Ipse Dixit, Kate McNulty, Sally McNulty, Raleigh D'adamo, Betsy Glover
I'll say again:  Much is up to ISIS.  It is possible that he has scared them as much as he thinks he has.  It is also possible that in their peculiar calculus, they want to have it out with a man like Trump.  If that's their calculation, they have it in their power to arrange that in October.

 



From: Vince Koloski <vkst...@gmail.com>
To: Jack Saunders <Jack...@pacbell.net>
Cc: alanjoh...@gmail.com; Brian Howell <bdho...@gmail.com>; Craig Good <clg...@me.com>; Ipse Dixit <Ipse-...@googlegroups.com>; Kate McNulty <kate.m...@gmail.com>; Sally McNulty <SallyP...@aol.com>; Raleigh D'adamo <DAd...@aol.com>; Betsy Glover <BetsyPea...@gmail.com>
Sent: Friday, May 6, 2016 12:41 PM

Subject: Re: [Ipse Dixit] "I love Hispanics!"

Brian Howell

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May 6, 2016, 5:06:57 PM5/6/16
to Ipse Dixit
Please remove the following recipients from this conversation: Kate McNuly, Sally McNulty, Betsy Glover.

Thank you

Brian Howell

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May 6, 2016, 5:07:55 PM5/6/16
to Ipse Dixit

On Fri, May 6, 2016 at 2:06 PM, Brian Howell <bdho...@gmail.com> wrote:
Please remove the following recipients from this conversation: Kate McNuly, Sally McNulty, Betsy Glover.

Thank you


Matt Fish

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May 6, 2016, 7:25:39 PM5/6/16
to Ipse Dixit
On Fri, May 6, 2016 at 12:34 PM jack saunders <jack...@pacbell.net> wrote:
"I am what I am.  Deal with it."  
He says that all the time, and it's getting results.
But *only* (in my opinion) because of his vast wealth.

Had the script for All in the Family made Archie a very rich man, I doubt the show would ever have been green-lighted.
It would have been too scary.
This is novelty that is playing out -- again, the power of a rip tide fad.

Jack, I disagree that Trump is a fad or a novelty playing itself out. If that were true, why is he gaining in his state by state results? Why won't the media get tired of him and stop giving him wall to wall coverage? I think there's more at work going on with Trump. 

I'd be curious to see what the group things of this long-form piece by Andrew Sullivan:


alanjoh...@gmail.com

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May 6, 2016, 8:14:44 PM5/6/16
to Matt Fish, Ipse Dixit
I agree with Matt here.  Whereas I'm not sure if trump will win - primarily due to his lack of political alliances - the populist trend is substantive.  The US voter base is more reactive than in past election cycles.  Focus is on short term impacts and not long term  trends.  People want to get rich without putting in the effort.  Politicians need to adjust to this trend and listen rather than preach

Cheers

Alan Pearson - Sent from my iPhone 510-334-8648
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jack saunders

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May 7, 2016, 4:53:43 PM5/7/16
to Matt Fish, Ipse Dixit
Maybe fad is a needlessly loaded word.  Try trend.....like smartphones.

The main point is that millions have decided to flip the bird in the face of the establishment, a big, loud "FU" ... and that bit is new.
It apparently feels good to a surprising number of people who fancy no big risk in doing something insultingly different -- insulting to elites.
That's the rip tide fad part, and it could go on long enough to put Trump in the White House....where he could soon enough be impeached unless he mends his ways.  That's why people should inspect his running mate with great care.
 




From: Matt Fish <mattfi...@gmail.com>
To:
Cc: Ipse Dixit <Ipse-...@googlegroups.com>
Sent: Friday, May 6, 2016 4:25 PM
Subject: Re: [Ipse Dixit] "I love Hispanics!" -- Trump transparency

Craig Good

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May 8, 2016, 3:47:58 AM5/8/16
to jack saunders, Matt Fish, Ipse Dixit

> On May 7, 2016, at 13:53 PM, jack saunders <jack...@pacbell.net> wrote:
>
> It apparently feels good to a surprising number of people who fancy no big risk in doing something insultingly different -- insulting to elites.
>

As per usual, Dan Carlin has an interesting take on this. His latest “Common Sense” podcast examines the effect a Trump presidency could have on foreign policy — and it’s not all bad news.

http://www.dancarlin.com/

“A Catalyst for the Inconceivable”
Whenever they say "it's for the children" it isn't. Instead, it's
always just another assault on your liberty.

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