Dear Prajith,
Agree with your analysis of the scenario.
Future situation as I can foresee is as follows.
PSU Companies continue to be the job providers for independent Surveyors at present mainly due to their reluctance to accept accountability for the assessment. That is why they continue to depute Surveyors for very small claims, even if the claim amount is below 5000/-, main reasons being the Audit and Vigilance Depts. in Public Sector. Insurance marketing and underwriting are also dealt with in unprofessional and negligent manner, without following modern principles of risk valuation.
In contrast, the Private GI Companies have internal audit, but there is more autonomy in managing the premium revenue and claims disbursements. Underwriting is much more professional and they rarely attempt to grab high risk portfolios. Claims handling is also much more professional, concerned personnel are selected with due care.
In due course of time, say within 4 - 5 years, the PSU Insurers also will be forced to change their ways just like many of the Public Sector banks have changed. More and more qualified youngsters are being recruited as Officers and their working style will be more focussed. Claims Manager and Asst. Managers could be appointed at Divisional level to be able to handle most of the claims falling below mandatory limits set out in the Regulations. However, this transitory period may last for even beyond 5 yrs. Hence, the changes in PSUs may be gradual and will not be felt by the Surveyors all of a sudden. Besides, the industry is growing and more number of high value claims will be reported, which will offset the reduction in survey of small claims.
New entrants to independent survey profession will be naturally more professional and competent too, as compared to the present generation of Surveyors and they should be able to cope up with the competition in the field. Many may opt to be employee Surveyors to ensure a regular job and steady income.
So, there is nothing to worry about for Surveyors who are 50+. Their professional life will definitely last for another 10 yrs. Those who are below that age group should be concerned and make sincere efforts to upgrade their level of knowledge and competence to match with the future scenario. Because things may not work by 'hook or crook'. Every one should upgrade their computer skills and on-line methods to be able to convert to a fully soft reporting. Those who can't open and handle emails should learn to do so by attending classes conducted by computer institutes. This skill is lacking in most of the Surveyors I know.
Much more can be written, but it won't serve any purpose to those who are only trying to retain their positions only by organisational/electoral tactics and clinging to one group or the other.
K.P.Raghavan