Ivo hates Donald Trump and clearly suffers from TDS (as I openly admit I do as well – but, unlike Ivo, I am very glad that Democrats got trounced in the election).
His X posts since the election clearly show that he believe Democrats would win – so was very wrong in his understanding of US politics and he has been writing extremely sore loser and bitchy posts.
He needs to suck it up and move on. His ego and credibility has been dented by this.
A lot of his other stuff remains pretty good though.
Mark
From: indivi...@googlegroups.com <indivi...@googlegroups.com> On Behalf Of Leon Louw
Sent: Sunday, 05 January 2025 20:41
To: indivi...@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: IM: My Predictions for 2025
Yes, Ivo is excellent and insightful.
Do you have anything specific in mind?
On Sun, Jan 5, 2025 at 7:42 PM Sid Nothard <sg...@mweb.co.za> wrote:
Making predictions is always difficult, particularly if they are about the future.
Does anybody read what Ivo writes?
Sid
From: indivi...@googlegroups.com [mailto:indivi...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Gabri Rigotti
Sent: Saturday, January 4, 2025 3:30 PM
To: indivi...@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: IM: My Predictions for 2025
Nicely laid out ...
Ivo Vegter came in hard against predictions in the Daily Friend, in what I am now starting to see the pattern of his usual style ...
that is perhaps his formula for promoting speaker fees?
But generating plausible outcome scenarios is a rational exercise for any individual or group (small firms, medium firms, large firms etcetera) ...
Contingency planning, and if not then what ... fly blindly?
The methodology is clear, and so too the framework/table that the "results" are delivered in ...
👍👍👍
On Sat, Jan 4, 2025 at 11:37 AM Trevor Watkins <bas...@gmail.com> wrote:
Predictions for 2025
Predictions are easy.
Using common sense:
1. Understand the current reality
2. Understand the options
3. Extend the current reality with the available options
4. Make a prediction and allocate a probability
5. Check against history
Geo Politics
Category
Current reality
Options
Prediction
Odds
Impact
History
Trevor Watkins .. cSASI
bas...@gmail.com - 083 44 11 721 - www.individualist.one
Virus-free.www.avg.com
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Nicely laid out ...Ivo Vegter came in hard against predictions in the Daily Friend, in what I am now starting to see the pattern of his usual style ...that is perhaps his formula for promoting speaker fees?But generating plausible outcome scenarios is a rational exercise for any individual or group (small firms, medium firms, large firms etcetera) ...Contingency planning, and if not then what ... fly blindly?The methodology is clear, and so too the framework/table that the "results" are delivered in ...👍👍👍
On Sat, Jan 4, 2025 at 11:37 AM Trevor Watkins <bas...@gmail.com> wrote:
Predictions for 2025
Predictions are easy.
Using common sense:
Understand the current reality
Understand the options
Extend the current reality with the available options
Make a prediction and allocate a probability
Check against history
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Well thought out Trevor. Interesting that you used "odds" instead of your predicted mathematical probability. Allows greater than 100% total for the options.Personally I think with regards to the USA, odds are more like 99% in favour of peaceful transition. "The more things change, the more they stay the same." Talk is one thing, but with the behemoth that is the USA economy, a Milei equivalent reform is not gonna happen in 4 years, despite best intentions.WRT violent transition or civil war... The Dems are p***ies. Maybe not at party head level, but their supporters... 😂😂😂
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I don't know how many Americans are on this list, but don't make any predictions that assume Trump will fight for free markets and limited government.
On Sun, Jan 5, 2025 at 12:38 PM Sid Nothard <sg...@mweb.co.za> wrote:
Making predictions is always difficult, particularly if they are about the future.
Does anybody read what Ivo writes?
Sid
From: indivi...@googlegroups.com [mailto:indivi...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Gabri Rigotti
Sent: Saturday, January 4, 2025 3:30 PM
To: indivi...@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: IM: My Predictions for 2025
Nicely laid out ...
Ivo Vegter came in hard against predictions in the Daily Friend, in what I am now starting to see the pattern of his usual style ...
that is perhaps his formula for promoting speaker fees?
But generating plausible outcome scenarios is a rational exercise for any individual or group (small firms, medium firms, large firms etcetera) ...
Contingency planning, and if not then what ... fly blindly?
The methodology is clear, and so too the framework/table that the "results" are delivered in ...
👍👍👍
On Sat, Jan 4, 2025 at 11:37 AM Trevor Watkins <bas...@gmail.com> wrote:
Predictions for 2025
Predictions are easy.
Using common sense:
1. Understand the current reality
2. Understand the options
3. Extend the current reality with the available options
4. Make a prediction and allocate a probability
5. Check against history
Virus-free.www.avg.com
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" It is not the water in the fields that brings true development, rather, it is water in the eyes, or compassion for fellow beings, that brings about real development. "
—Anna Hazare
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What is missing from the predictions is the collapse of fiat currencies and the introduction of CBDC’s
Sid
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