"99B" - LOW, Elongated and NO sign of strengthening
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Dec 1, 2012, 5:15:18 AM12/1/12
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"99B" - Elongated, weak and NO sign of strengthening. Pressure around 1004mb. Latest analysis of the system shows that it's still a LOW pressure system with elongated circulation. Today, the elongation seen from N-W to S-E along 88E.
2pm, Visible Satellite pic shows "heavy convective activity East of Chennai along 88E. As expected most of convective activity is seen over N,N-E and E of the circulation.
NOGAPS model suggests that the system will persist as a circulation and move W-S-W towards N,central-Tamilnadu coast.. expected to reach coast by 3-Dec.
COLA model also expects the same kind of scenario, and rain will reach coast by 3-Dec. Both the models expect NO further strengthening !