"99B" - Still elongated North-South and with less convective activity.

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Nov 30, 2012, 10:46:53 AM11/30/12
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"99B" - Still elongated North-South and with less convective activity.
8pm, Satellite IR shows less convective activity over North, West quadrant of the circulation. 
Signs of COLD Dry wind prevailing over N,W Bay is affecting the convective activity and further strengthening.
A weak circulation can also be seen over S-E corner of Arabian sea.


It's expected, around tomorrow evening the system will consolidate and move further West. Not expected to become as a Cyclone.  At the same time the cold dry winds from N-W India entering into N,W Bay will weaken or stop.

Due to the Dry winds present along N,W,W-central Bay the convective activity of the system will be concentrated over its N-E,S,E quadrant only till 2 /3-Dec.

Latest NOGAPS predicts LESS rainfall for central coast, Interior Tamilnadu from this system. 
But GFS model suggests good rain for central, N.Tamilnadu coast.. and it'll start from 3-Dec.

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