IEM Daily Bulletin for Oct 17 2025

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daryl herzmann

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Oct 17, 2025, 8:12:29 AM (3 days ago) Oct 17
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Iowa Environmental Mesonet Daily Bulletin for 17 October 2025

News

No news is good news

IEM Code Pushes <repo,branch> on Github

Timestamp Repository Message Link
Oct 16 11:18 AM iem,main 📝 Polish static windrose frontend page Link
Oct 16 2:32 PM iem,main 📝 Sundry updates per review Link


Daily Feature

Latest Fall Dates
Date: 16 Oct 05:30 AM
Votes: Good: 9   Bad: 3 Abstain: 0

The forecast has a good portion of Iowa reaching 80°F degrees today and some seeing such warm temperatures again tomorrow. It is certainly getting a bit late in the year for such warm temperatures to be observed. The featured chart presents the accumulated frequency of a given date having seen its last daily high temperature threshold of the year for Ames. The table at the side presents the percentile values. The combination of the 80°F threshold and 16 October comes in above the 70th percentile or rewording, seven out of ten years had seen their last 80+ degree temperature of the year by today's day of the year. Three other temperature thresholds are plotted for comparison with frequencies at 70°F and today's date being much lower, so such temperatures are more likely than not for at least one more week!

The featured media can be generated on-demand here

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NWS Watch/Warning Summary for 12 AM 16 Oct 2025 - 12 AM 17 Oct 2025 CDT

Summary By WFO Watches
Type USIA ARXDVNDMXOAXFSD US
Tornado 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Svr Tstorm 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Flash Flood 2 0 0 0 0 0 0---

ARX = LaCrosse, WI DVN = Davenport, IA DMX = Des Moines, IA OAX = Omaha, NE FSD = Sioux Falls, SD

IEM Cow Report

SVR+TOR Warnings Issued:   8 Verified:   1 [12.5%]
Polygon Size Versus County Size            [16.7%]
Average Perimeter Ratio                    [19.7%]
Percentage of Warned Area Verified (15km)  [6.4%]
Average Storm Based Warning Size           [1479 sq km]
Probability of Detection(higher is better) [1.00]
False Alarm Ratio (lower is better)        [0.88]
Critical Success Index (higher is better)  [0.12]

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