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hmecology: Hierarchical Modeling in Ecology

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This is an email list for discussion of hierarchical modeling in ecology and especially related to the book by Royle and Dorazio (2008), Kery and Schaub (2012) and forthcoming.

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Jan 7

BPA workshop, Oxford/UK, 10–14 August 2026

Dear all, we plan to teach a Bayesian population analysis (BPA) workshop at the University of Oxford

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BPA workshop, Oxford/UK, 10–14 August 2026

Dear all, we plan to teach a Bayesian population analysis (BPA) workshop at the University of Oxford

Jan 7

12/19/25

Open post-doc position

Dear all, We are recruiting a postdoctoral researcher at the Swiss Ornithological Institute. The main

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Open post-doc position

Dear all, We are recruiting a postdoctoral researcher at the Swiss Ornithological Institute. The main

12/19/25

11/25/25

Fw: Draft workshop announcement

Dear all, in June 2026, Michael Schaub and I are going to teach a 5-day Bayesian modeling workshop at

unread,

Fw: Draft workshop announcement

Dear all, in June 2026, Michael Schaub and I are going to teach a 5-day Bayesian modeling workshop at

11/25/25

Thomas Duchesne, … Perry de Valpine7

11/24/25

Big citizen science dynamic occupancy models and thinning effect

Thanks for suggesting this, Matthijs. FWIW, nimble provides a "noncentered" sampler that

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Big citizen science dynamic occupancy models and thinning effect

Thanks for suggesting this, Matthijs. FWIW, nimble provides a "noncentered" sampler that

11/24/25

Carlotta Gelsomini

11/12/25

Modeling group-living animals in oSCR / SCR frameworks

Hi all, We are planning to use oSCR to estimate density for our species, which has two male tactics

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Modeling group-living animals in oSCR / SCR frameworks

Hi all, We are planning to use oSCR to estimate density for our species, which has two male tactics

11/12/25

Trinh Dinh Hoang, … Marc Kery5

11/12/25

Addressing R-hat=NA

Hi, The issue with NA values has been resolved by using the MCMCvis package instead of mcmcOutput.

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Addressing R-hat=NA

Hi, The issue with NA values has been resolved by using the MCMCvis package instead of mcmcOutput.

11/12/25

11/9/25

Greeting --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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Greeting --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

11/9/25

11/4/25

PhD vacancy - Developing IPMs for Black-tailed Godwit Conservation

Dear everyone, The University of Amsterdam (The Netherlands) has a vacancy for a 4-year PhD position,

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PhD vacancy - Developing IPMs for Black-tailed Godwit Conservation

Dear everyone, The University of Amsterdam (The Netherlands) has a vacancy for a 4-year PhD position,

11/4/25

Devin Fitzpatrick

10/22/25

Integrated occupancy model with JAGS troubleshooting

Hi all, I was wondering if anyone has experience with integrated occupancy modelling (combining

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Integrated occupancy model with JAGS troubleshooting

Hi all, I was wondering if anyone has experience with integrated occupancy modelling (combining

10/22/25

Chris Sutherland

10/15/25

ANNOUNCEMENT: ISEC 2027 in Mérida, México, January 8-15, 2027

Hello friends and colleagues, Please see below the exciting news about ISEC27! Chris * I sometimes

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ANNOUNCEMENT: ISEC 2027 in Mérida, México, January 8-15, 2027

Hello friends and colleagues, Please see below the exciting news about ISEC27! Chris * I sometimes

10/15/25

mato...@gmail.com

9/18/25

Post-doctoral researcher in population ecology

Hi all, my team is looking for a post-doctoral researcher to work on the population ecology of large

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Post-doctoral researcher in population ecology

Hi all, my team is looking for a post-doctoral researcher to work on the population ecology of large

9/18/25

9/18/25

Post-doctoral researcher in mathematical-statistical population modeling (2 years)

Dear colleagues, I am looking for a postdoctoral researcher in mathematical-statistical population

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Post-doctoral researcher in mathematical-statistical population modeling (2 years)

Dear colleagues, I am looking for a postdoctoral researcher in mathematical-statistical population

9/18/25

Mathilde, Jeffrey Royle2

8/25/25

Question on variable significance in dynamic occupancy model (unmarked)

hi Mathilde, Unfortunately you're out of luck in this situation -- complete separation means that

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Question on variable significance in dynamic occupancy model (unmarked)

hi Mathilde, Unfortunately you're out of luck in this situation -- complete separation means that

8/25/25

8/19/25

Bayesian Population Analysis with NIMBLE

Dear all, We are currently working on a 2 nd edition of the BPA book from back in 2012, which will be

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Bayesian Population Analysis with NIMBLE

Dear all, We are currently working on a 2 nd edition of the BPA book from back in 2012, which will be

8/19/25

8/14/25

Fw: Statistical Scientist / Research Associate position at the Cornell Lab of Ornithology

Perhaps of interest to some on this list. Best regards --- Marc From: Daniel Fink <daniel.fink@

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Fw: Statistical Scientist / Research Associate position at the Cornell Lab of Ornithology

Perhaps of interest to some on this list. Best regards --- Marc From: Daniel Fink <daniel.fink@

8/14/25

Michael Schaub, Perry de Valpine2

8/14/25

Cautionary note for using categorical or multinomial distributions

Hi Michael, Thanks for sharing this. It is quite interesting. As you explain at the end, nimble (and

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Cautionary note for using categorical or multinomial distributions

Hi Michael, Thanks for sharing this. It is quite interesting. As you explain at the end, nimble (and

8/14/25

Marc Kery, Matthijs Hollanders3

7/8/25

why it's not enough to scan values of (simple) Rhat blindly

Dear Matt, to be honest, I can't remember :( I think I have never seen this sort of pathology,

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why it's not enough to scan values of (simple) Rhat blindly

Dear Matt, to be honest, I can't remember :( I think I have never seen this sort of pathology,

7/8/25

7/7/25

Capture-recapture workshop in Mallorca/Spain, 24-28 Nov 2025

Dear colleagues, Giacomo Tavecchia and his group at the IMEDEA in Esporles/Spain are offering a

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Capture-recapture workshop in Mallorca/Spain, 24-28 Nov 2025

Dear colleagues, Giacomo Tavecchia and his group at the IMEDEA in Esporles/Spain are offering a

7/7/25

Marc Kery, falaf...@gmail.com3

6/27/25

Cautionary note on the use of Rhat alone to decide on sufficient chain length

Dear Jeff, thanks a lot ! Will try out sometimes (I am still mostly a JAGS user ;)...). This is

unread,

Cautionary note on the use of Rhat alone to decide on sufficient chain length

Dear Jeff, thanks a lot ! Will try out sometimes (I am still mostly a JAGS user ;)...). This is

6/27/25

falaf...@gmail.com2

6/25/25

Density dependence in an integrated population model with prior parameter estimates

Update: issue fixed, with a great assist from Dr. Heather Gaya in the NIMBLE group. Thanks, Jeff On

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Density dependence in an integrated population model with prior parameter estimates

Update: issue fixed, with a great assist from Dr. Heather Gaya in the NIMBLE group. Thanks, Jeff On

6/25/25

Perry de Valpine

6/22/25

Fwd: Quantitative Ecologist Position at CDFW

The California Department of Fish and Wildlife has a position that will be of interest to some on

unread,

Fwd: Quantitative Ecologist Position at CDFW

The California Department of Fish and Wildlife has a position that will be of interest to some on

6/22/25

Carlos, … Matthijs Hollanders5

6/18/25

Occupancy models with latent variables in both occupancy and detection submodels

Hi Matt and John. It's good to know that there are already simulations and publications exploring

unread,

Occupancy models with latent variables in both occupancy and detection submodels

Hi Matt and John. It's good to know that there are already simulations and publications exploring

6/18/25

6/12/25

Bayesian Population Analysis Workshop @ Sempach, Dec 2025

Dear Julia, sorry, but no. We are just not fans of online/hybrid courses. Admittedly, an online

unread,

Bayesian Population Analysis Workshop @ Sempach, Dec 2025

Dear Julia, sorry, but no. We are just not fans of online/hybrid courses. Admittedly, an online

6/12/25

5/23/25

Applied Hierarchical Modeling workshop, OSU, October 2025 (registration open now !)

Dear all, as announced previously, Joshua Twining, Ken Kellner, Andy Royle and myself will teach a 1-

unread,

Applied Hierarchical Modeling workshop, OSU, October 2025 (registration open now !)

Dear all, as announced previously, Joshua Twining, Ken Kellner, Andy Royle and myself will teach a 1-

5/23/25

5/8/25

Use of the correlation coefficient to study effects of demographic rates on population growth rate in an IPM

Dear all, in the attached memo, we describe our current understanding of the issue brought up by

unread,

Use of the correlation coefficient to study effects of demographic rates on population growth rate in an IPM

Dear all, in the attached memo, we describe our current understanding of the issue brought up by

5/8/25

5/2/25

possible AHM workshop at OSU in the fall

Dear all, We (Andy Royle, Josh Twining, Ken Kellner, and I) are hoping to run an in-person Applied

unread,

possible AHM workshop at OSU in the fall

Dear all, We (Andy Royle, Josh Twining, Ken Kellner, and I) are hoping to run an in-person Applied

5/2/25

Facundo Palacio, Marc Kery4

4/29/25

Conceptual question on N-Mixture models with data augmentation

Dear Marc, I've drafted an initial version of the model. Based on your feedback, I incorporated

unread,

Conceptual question on N-Mixture models with data augmentation

Dear Marc, I've drafted an initial version of the model. Based on your feedback, I incorporated

4/29/25

4/28/25

Two PhD and postdoc positions

Dear all, my colleague Joanie Van de Walle just asked whether it was possible for me to post two

unread,

Two PhD and postdoc positions

Dear all, my colleague Joanie Van de Walle just asked whether it was possible for me to post two

4/28/25

Trevor Davies, Michael Schaub3

4/24/25

M-array CLS model with 3 survival parameters

Hi Trevor, But I think there are still errors in your code – the time indices are not correct. I have

unread,

M-array CLS model with 3 survival parameters

Hi Trevor, But I think there are still errors in your code – the time indices are not correct. I have

4/24/25

4/23/25

Regression-to-the-mean modification in the MCMC

I'm working on an analysis that involves a regression-to-the-mean issue. I have a vague memory of

unread,

Regression-to-the-mean modification in the MCMC

I'm working on an analysis that involves a regression-to-the-mean issue. I have a vague memory of

4/23/25

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