Web links to a recording of today's Zoom review of my scenario explorer, the code for the emulator, etc.

[br...@chesdata.com]

Web Link	Notes
https://scenexp.org/emulator.aspx	Simple demonstration of the Climate Model Emulator (which calculates the temperature increase projections for emission scenarios  based on data from climate models)
https://scenexp.org/emulator.zip	Download the above web page and the associated java script code files.
https://scenexp.org/whatifexplorer.aspx	The “What If” explorer (a more sophisticated interface for the Emulator)
https://youtu.be/Wj7gdXKJvuY	Recording of 11/3/2025 Zoom session explaining how the model works
https://scenexp.org/documentation/WhatIfInstructions.pdf	Instructions for the “What If” explorer
https://scenexp.org/documentation/How the Model Works.pdf	How the Scenario Explorer Model Works
https://scenexp.org/ScenExp.aspx	Additional web pages and analysis
https://chesdata.com/downloads/Impacts of GHG Removals on the Temperature Increase in 2040.pdf	Impacts of GHG Removals on the Temperature Increase in 2040.pdf
https://chesdata.com/downloads/HistoricalData.xlsx	Historical Data
https://chesdata.com/downloads/EN-ROADsFormulasFromData.xlsx	EN-ROADs Formulas From Data
https://chesdata.com/downloads/AR6FormulasFromData.xlsx	AR6 Formulas From Data
https://chesdata.com/downloads/AR6DataAnalysis.xlsx	IPCC AR6 Data - Analysis of Relationships between changes in radiative forcing and changes in the temperature increase
https://chesdata.com/downloads/Impact of CO2 Emission Mitigation and Removal Strategies.xlsx	Impact of CO2 Emission Mitigation and Removal Strategies
https://scenexp.org/downloads/PrimaryEnergy.xlsx	Primary energy analysis

 

[Robert Chris]

Hi Bruce

Great session yesterday, I'm sorry I missed it.  However, it was really helpful for me to run through the recording as I now understand much more clearly the differences between what you've done and what I've done. 

We've taken quite different approaches and produced two quite different models both structurally and in terms of the questions they address.

My World Temperature Forecaster (WTF) is a pure climate model.  It doesn't address any of the economic questions that took up so much of the conversation yesterday.  Moreover, WTF is based on FaIR, a climate model developed by climate scientists using established equations that convert GHG emissions into GSAT and SLR changes.   All I've done is messed about with back and front ends to generate something accessible to ordinary people without an academic background in climate science.  As you know, I've done this all in Excel to avoid it being just another black box - users can delve into the detail should they wish (even though it is quite sophisticated and to really understand it, you'd need to know a good deal of climate science).

Your model addresses a much wider range of issues and for many this will be much more valuable.  I just want people to understand what happens to GSAT in different emissions, CDR and SRM scenarios.  They can then decide what they want to do to either make the scenario happen or not as the case may be.  Unlike you, I'm not offering any guidance or insight into any of the implications of the choices they would have to confront for any pathway they choose.

It was very interesting listening to the questions those present asked.  There was a big focus on electrification and the rate of development of renewables, from a very US-centric perspective.  WTF will be of little value to with folk with those interests, so it's good that you're endeavouring to meet that need.

The session has given me several ideas about how to present WTF next month.  Thanks.

Hopefully, I'll make the session you're planning for next Monday.  One thing I'd value is some insight into how you derived the coefficients for the quadratic equations you referred to as the basis for your projections.  

Regards

RobertC

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From: healthy-planet-...@googlegroups.com <healthy-planet-...@googlegroups.com> on behalf of br...@chesdata.com <br...@chesdata.com>
Sent: 04 November 2025 00:05
To: healthy-planet-...@googlegroups.com <healthy-planet-...@googlegroups.com>
Subject: [HPAC] Web links to a recording of today's Zoom review of my scenario explorer, the code for the emulator, etc.

 

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