Zoom session to review the "Climate Model Emulator" that I have developed

[br...@chesdata.com]

Several people have expressed interest in a Zoom session to review the "climate model emulator"  (the “What If” Explorer) that I have developed (https://scenexp.org/whatifexplorer.aspx).  Please let me know what dates and times will work for you and  I will try to schedule a zoom session in the next few weeks.

 

The “What If” Explorer was designed to help people understand

1. The complexities of emissions pathways
2. How various factors influence the expected temperature increase in 2100
3. The effort required for various temperature mitigation strategies
4. The likely costs associated with an emissions pathway
5. The tradeoffs among reasonable emissions pathways
6. What a reasonable emissions pathway might be for planning purposes

 

The “What If” Explorer uses a “scenario emulator” to project the temperature increase from 2025 for either a “CO2 Only” emissions pathway or a pathway that includes the contribution to warming from other greenhouse gas emissions, aerosols, albedo changes, etc.  By examining the output from two climate models (The IPCC’s AR6 and En-ROADs) formulas were developed to

1. Calculate the expected increase in atmospheric CO2 based on CO2 emissions
2. Calculate the expected radiative forcing from atmospheric CO2
3. Calculate the expected radiative forcing from other greenhouse gas emissions, aerosols, albedo changes, etc.
4. Calculate the temperature increase from the total radiative forcing

 

Cheers!

 

Bruce