Thanks Chris. I think I know what the project description was trying to get at (i.e., lower "incurred claims - EE contributions = net cost" by 7%), but it doesn't make sense. Health care cost trend would only increase incurred claims. It would have no impact on EE contributions.
|
Current Year |
Next Year No
Action |
Suggested Changes |
Next Year |
Incurred |
$
100.0 |
$
107.0 |
$
100.0 |
$
107.00 |
EE
Contribution |
$
25.0 |
$
25.0 |
$
29.9 |
$
29.9 |
Net Employer |
$
75.0 |
$
82.0 |
$
70.1 |
$
77.09 |
So in my example (illustrated above), with incurred claims of $100 and EE contributions of $25 (net cost of $75), the next year would have incurred claims of $107 and $25 in EE contributions (net cost of $82) if no action was taken by BIG Company. This net cost to the employer in this case increases by 9.3%, which is much greater than the 7% by which they are asking us to reduce the net cost. This can be further illustrated in an extreme example of reducing the $75 net cost by 7% (to $70.1) by only increasing EE contributions to $29.9. Then next year, incurred claims would be expected to increase to $107 and EE contributions would remain at the recommended $29.01, for a net employer cost of $77.09, which is a net employer cost increase of 2.8% (not flat).
In summary, I think I get what the project is asking for, I just do not agree with the methodology. I wanted to check to see if people were simply trying to reduce the $75 by 7% or were they trying to take into consideration how health care trend actually works. It sounds like the former, which is what I'll stick to.