This page on the RSGB website,
https://www.rsgbshop.org/acatalog/Online_Catalogue_Radcom___QST_17.html
offers CD and USB stick per-year versions. There are archive sets as well, and they seem to offer back issues, but only for the rolling past 12 months. Your best option is that 15 Quid CD or USB for 2022.
73
George K9TRV
-----Original Message-----
From: 'Nicholas Hall-Patch' via HamSCI <
ham...@googlegroups.com>
Sent: Thursday, May 30, 2024 2:38 PM
To:
ham...@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: [HamSCI] Is there a 'Super Solar Cycle' of Solar Cycles?
Are the RadCom articles available (for purchase or ?) to non RSGB members, Frank, or anyone else?
Thanks.
Nick
VE7DXR
On Thu, May 30, 2024 at 4:02 PM Frank M. Howell <
frankm...@gmail.com <mailto:
frankm...@gmail.com> > wrote:
George,
Thank you for the professional reply. Not everyone will like another’s writing style. As a writer and editor of some four decades or more, I am certainly well aware of that.
I use technical terms from statistics a lot. “Mindless” here is a conventional term for prediction rather than explanation. The former is said to be devoid of explicit theory specifying the model (“mindless”) whereas explanation has some formal (explicitly stated) theory used to specify a model ("mindful"). It’s not a personal insult but rather a technical convention.
I’ll repeat that these exchanges, if kept professional as you and are doing, does help further scientific thinking. it is an exciting time for this area of science.
Look up Dr. Leamon and coauthor's "sunspot time clock" paper. You will see why calling solar min and max the peak and trough of sunspot counts is ill-informed. This graphic may well become an active data viz for our monitoring of sunspot behavior in the future!
Frank
K4FMH
Sent from my iPhone
> On May 30, 2024, at 10:32 AM, George Byrkit <
ghby...@chartermi.net <mailto:
ghby...@chartermi.net> > wrote:
>
> Frank,
>
> I regret you interpreted my remarks that way. I generally want to keep some claims and words out of articles dealing with science. I did not hear such claims in the style Scott presented at HamSCI. If I drew the wrong conclusion, I'm sorry. However, when I first read the articles, I did find their style to be not to my liking. I'm trying to put it into words, but I seem to have failed. But I can say that your use of terms like 'mindless' in your reply do seem over the top.
>
> Yes, paradigms will change over time. Too fast for some, too slowly for others.
>
> 73
> George Byrkit, K9TRV
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From:
ham...@googlegroups.com <mailto:
ham...@googlegroups.com> <
ham...@googlegroups.com <mailto:
ham...@googlegroups.com> > On Behalf Of Frank M. Howell
> Sent: Thursday, May 30, 2024 11:16 AM
> To:
ham...@googlegroups.com <mailto:
ham...@googlegroups.com>
> Cc: Scott McIntosh <
msc...@ucar.edu <mailto:
msc...@ucar.edu> >; Robert Leamon <
boba...@mac.com <mailto:
boba...@mac.com> >
> Subject: Re: [HamSCI] Is there a 'Super Solar Cycle' of Solar Cycles?
>
> George,
>
> Scott’s talk at HamSCI, from the slides that he sent me as he was finalizing them, included one that explicitly included the RadCom articles that he and I coauthored. I believe that he encouraged radio amateurs to read them. There is NO daylight between Dr. McIntosh and me on the matter so if you think my talks are unnecessarily “sensational,” you think his are too.
>
> My PhD is not in solar physics but sociology and statistics where I’ve studied institutional science and advised major funding agencies on strategies first growth. I’ve worked closely with Dr. McIntosh since I interviewed him for the ICQ Podcast a few years ago. I’ve learned a great deal from him and his colleagues. Nothing I write about Dr. McIntosh’s work (and that of Dr. Leamon, for whom I am an academic reference) has not been vetted by Scott. He has acknowledged my advice on at least two of his most important papers. You should be aware of this.
>
> You seem to be wholly unaware of the study of institutional science when you declare my work as “sensational” (and erroneously state it is at “
fmh.com <
http://fmh.com> ”. The two correct links are K4FMH.com and FoxMikeHotel.com.) It is not. Rather, should you watch my HamSCI talk, you would be aware that it is standard fare for studying scientific change. As I stated there and elsewhere, my work with Dr. McIntosh began with my reviewing his most significant paper and helping him frame the argument more sharply as a paradigm change for a science that has been highly devoid of explicit theory in predicting sunspot patterns. Most hams are not aware of the Schwabe inductive inference and Wolf’s update with the full catalog of sunspot counts. There is NO formal theory in this inductive inference. I outline this in my talks. This is basic philosophy of science, not sensationalism.
>
> The book published by the very well-known Harvard trained physicist Thomas Kuhn is indeed what is used by institutional science itself to track and analyze major changes in scientific theory. You may think Dr. McIntosh and I are being “sensational” in comparing the extant NASA/NOAA forecasts that are devoid of explicit theory (or methods released publicly). But it IS the same approach used by NSF, NIH, NASA, and USDA to identify promising new approaches in specific areas of science for funding. I’ve been on NSF panels, a consultant to NIH, a badged official at NASA’s Stennis Space Center, and GS-15 Panel Manager for USDA. I think I have direct experience to make the statements I have made here.
>
> The opinion that Dr. McIntosh and I share is that it is indeed necessary to make these claims of a pending “revolutionary” (a term used by Dr. Kuhn) change in the paradigm used to understand the cyclic patterns of sunspot counts. The continual fitting of a-theoretical curves to these data will not yield much of any scientific advance, other than being fodder for those invested in doing so. As Dr. Kuhn demonstrated in his famous book, mindless regurgitation of the same data without alternative theoretical challenges does not foster improvement in the science. But it does cause dispute and consternation among those ardent followers of the extant approach.
>
> We may indeed be on the cusp of a revolution in the cessation of mindless curve-fitting of singular time-series of sunspot counts. We shall see when Cycle 25 completes its course how accurate are the NASA/NOAA/ISED Panel forecast versus the McIntosh team’s model are. It is an exciting time for this area of science, just as it was a century ago first Einstein’s challenge of Newton.
>
> Best regards,
>
> Frank
> K4FMH
> —-
> Frank M. Howell, PhD
> Professor Emeritus, Mississippi Stare University
> Affiliated Faculty, Emory University
>
>
>> On May 30, 2024, at 7:40 AM, George Byrkit <
ghby...@chartermi.net <mailto:
ghby...@chartermi.net> > wrote:
>>
>> Dear Jon VU2JO,
>>
>> It has been said already that some of Scott's work (as presented by Mr Howell) was published in RadCom (August and September 2022 IIRC). Also gave you '
foxmikehotel.com <
http://foxmikehotel.com> ' for a landing page with a link to this and other articles?
>>
>> I saw and heard Scott speak at HamSCI this year at the banquet. His science is good and exciting. Mr Howell's writing (what you see on FMH.com) is more sensational, and I think unnecessarily so.
>>
>> 73
>> George K9TRV
>>
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From:
ham...@googlegroups.com <mailto:
ham...@googlegroups.com> <
ham...@googlegroups.com <mailto:
ham...@googlegroups.com> > On Behalf Of Johnson Francis
>> Sent: Thursday, May 30, 2024 8:29 AM
>> To:
ham...@googlegroups.com <mailto:
ham...@googlegroups.com>
>> Subject: Re: [HamSCI] Is there a 'Super Solar Cycle' of Solar Cycles?
>>
>> Is there an online version or is it in book form?
>>
>> de Jon, VU2JO
>>
>>
>> On Thu, May 30, 2024 at 8:03 AM 'Terry Bullett' via HamSCI <
ham...@googlegroups.com <mailto:
ham...@googlegroups.com> <mailto:
ham...@googlegroups.com <mailto:
ham...@googlegroups.com> > > wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> I highly recommend the works of Scott McIntosh. He has some interesting physics-based theories about solar northern and southern hemispheres and that if the timing on both hemispheres is the same you get a bigger peak but if they are out of sync you get a weaker, broader solar max. I seem to recall about 3-4 years ago he predicted this max would be a big one.
>>
>> 73,
>> W0ASP
>>
>>
>> On 5/29/24 11:41, Frank M. Howell wrote:
>>
>>
>> Carl can reply…but the source is most likely Carl himself.
>>
>> If you’d like an alternative coverage of how the sunspot cycle came to be called that, beginning with Schwabe’s original 10-year estimate, see my talk to the HamSCI community on YouTube:
>>
>> <
https://youtu.be/r4Ocqcgy3mk>
>>
>> Seminar: Revolutionary Alternatives in Sunspot Prediction <
https://youtu.be/r4Ocqcgy3mk>
>>
youtu.be <
http://youtu.be> <
https://youtu.be/r4Ocqcgy3mk>
>>
>> It’s based on an article co-authored with Scott McIntosh in RadCom (see FoxMikeHotel.com on the landing page).
>>
>> The longer term cycles are interesting but note: sunspots do not cause themselves. A singular time series of SS #’s will always be modeled with errors vs observed data that is caused by factors not observed in that single time series model…no matter how many cycles of data one has. The RadCom articles and my talk to HamSCI and others gives details on why. McIntosh and his team have delineated an alternative theory with additional factors that shape the magnitude and pattern of SS Cycles.
>>
>> 73,
>>
>> Frank
>> K4FMH
>>
>>
>> On May 29, 2024, at 11:13 AM, Louis Lanzerotti <
l...@njit.edu <mailto:
l...@njit.edu> > <mailto:
l...@njit.edu <mailto:
l...@njit.edu> > wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> Perhaps provide a reference for the chart.
>> Thank you,
>>
>> Louis J. Lanzerotti
>> NJIT
>>
>> -------------------------------
>>
>>
>> On May 29, 2024, at 12:10 PM, Johnson Francis <
pulikko...@gmail.com <mailto:
pulikko...@gmail.com> > <mailto:
pulikko...@gmail.com <mailto:
pulikko...@gmail.com> > wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> Thanks a lot Carl. So there is more to it than the 11 year Schwabe cycle! de Jon, VU2JO On Wed, May 29, 2024 at 9: 34 PM Carl Luetzelschwab <carlluetzelschwab@ gmail. com> <mailto:
carlluetzelschwab@ <mailto:
carlluetzelschwab@> %E2%80%8Agmail.%E2%80%8Acom> wrote: Jon, Here are the maximum smoothed sunspot numbers of all
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>>
Terry....@noaa.gov <mailto:
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Terry....@noaa.gov <mailto:
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720-446-9775 (google voice)
978-337-9092 (cell)
>> "Life is Complex. It has a Real part and an Imaginary part."
>>
>>
>>
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