I mean: in a measurement we have to consider the relative error. I know we have an error of 1/10^whatever exponent you set in GPSDO but R has an error of 0.3% that means a 0.8% on what You call H. Please double check my quickly reported values of error, starting from 21Km uncertainty over 6370Km R and the
numbers reported
above
.
That's FINE: a 12Hz (20X) doppler shift means "something interesting" (to me); that's great, an interesting real-time measured alert of a possible iono-iono mode.
But I do not know - You used it - if the s/w and h/w and data field involved are capable of handling such measure range in 2'.
Btw, going from the big picture into details, as the maximum frequency refracted toward the earth (reflected) is foF2(@i)/sen(ia) [ foF2 at reflection point divided by the impact angle sine ] and as Bob NM7M stated (three decades ago) that an higher difference, between used F and such value, lowers (and flatten the arc of real path) the "reflection point", Your Figure 7 seems to me (considering the grey vs cyan graph) a measured demonstration of Bob's study, as we see that it is the increasing of foF2 value (from less than 8MHz to more than 8MHz, accordingly to Australian SWS foF2 map at reported time: we at esWua have no useful data, unfortunately) that has a higher contribute, with respect to hmF2, to the height H of the "reflection point".
I'm busy, due to work, but I'll check asap Your study, thank you for any possible reply about h/w and s/w and data above.