Good morning to the group,
Joshua, KN6GFZ, noticed that after the March 21 G3 storm, "many west/central nodes had what looks like a flatline starting around 1500 UTC." He asked for thoughts on this specific case of Doppler shift flat-lining post-storm. We had a G3 storm, F region depleted and disturbed, and post-storm recovery during the day that will produce what Joshua asked about. But, yes, a stable E region with small height variation can produce similar results, but after a G3-level storm, a now stable F region will also produce the same results. However, in my very specific case, I can say that E-region propagation would never carry the 10 MHz WWV signal up to Thunder Bay (EN58jk) because my foE is typically 2–4 MHz. Even with oblique incidence, MUF(E) rarely exceeds 6–8 MHz at invariant mid-latitude (ILAT). In my case, it's ~54 degrees ILAT and in the subaural zone. So I can 100% say for sure that it was the post-storm recovery of the F region that caused my Doppler flat-lining during the day and probably for most other stations. But we need the specific geophysical context involved: (Kp index, local foF2, local MUF(E), ILATs involved, Proplab model, et). Could I have recorded one effect and someone else another? Sure, why not, because my local ionosphere is not your local ionosphere. But, in physics, effect usually follows cause. So, for March 21, 2026, it's more likely to be a post-storm F region recovery. But I'm self-taught, so I have a limited understanding of all the ionospheric dynamics involved. And now I will go back to being "a fly on the wall".
73,
Robert