A major asset to Zionism was that its chief spokesman, Chaim Weizmann, was an astute statesman and a scientist widely respected in Britain and he was well versed in European diplomacy. Weizmann understood better than the Arab leaders at the time that the future map of the Middle East would be determined less by the desires of its inhabitants than by Great Power rivalries, European strategic thinking, and domestic British politics. Britain, in possession of the Suez Canal and playing a dominant role in India and Egypt, attached great strategic importance to the region. British Middle East policy, however, espoused conflicting objectives, and as a result London became involved in three distinct and contradictory negotiations concerning the fate of the region.
In the new British strategic thinking, the Zionists appeared as a potential ally capable of safeguarding British imperial interests in the region. Furthermore, as British war prospects dimmed throughout 1917, the War Cabinet calculated that supporting a Jewish entity in Palestine would mobilize America's influential Jewish community to support United States intervention in the war and sway the large number of Jewish Bolsheviks who participated in the 1917 Bolshevik Revolution to keep Russia in the war. Fears were also voiced in the Foreign Office that if Britain did not come out in favor of a Jewish entity in Palestine the Germans would preempt them. Finally, both Lloyd George and Balfour were devout churchgoers who attached great religious significance to the proposed reinstatement of the Jews in their ancient homeland.
To the WZO, which by 1921 had a worldwide membership of about 770,000, the recognition in the Mandate was seen as a welcome first step. Although not all Zionists and not all Jews were committed at that time to conversion of the Jewish national home into a separate political state, this conversion became firm Zionist policy during the next twenty-five years. The patterns developed during these years strongly influenced the State of Israel proclaimed in 1948.
The end of Faysal's Greater Syria experiment and the application of the mandate system, which artificially carved up the Arab East into new nation-states, had a profound effect on the history of the region in general and Palestine in particular. The mandate system created an identity crisis among Arab nationalists that led to the growth of competing nationalisms: Arab versus Islamic versus the more parochial nationalisms of the newly created states. It also created a serious legitimacy problem for the new Arab elites, whose authority ultimately rested with their European benefactors. The combination of narrowly based leadership and the emergence of competing nationalisms stymied the Arab response to the Zionist challenge in Palestine.
Henry Kissinger, who served as national security adviser and secretary of state under Presidents Richard M. Nixon and Gerald Ford, turned 100 years old on May 27. The birthday was celebrated by the establishment elite in op-eds, interviews, a fawning Ted Koppel CBS piece, a closed-door gathering at the Economic Club of New York, and a secretive black-tie event at the New York Public Library where guests seen walking in constituted an A-list of corporate and political biggies.
Max Bergmann: Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I am Max Bergmann, director of the Europe, Russia, Eurasia Program and the Stuart Center here at CSIS. Today it is my honor to introduce Ambassador Victoria Nuland. Ambassador Nuland is the undersecretary of state for political affairs and, as everyone knows here, she has a long and distinguished career as an American diplomat and foreign policy practitioner, including serving formerly as assistant secretary of state for European affairs. And she has worked with multiple U.S. presidents on both sides of the aisle.
And by the way, most of the support we are providing actually goes right back into the U.S. economy and defense industrial base, helping to modernize and scale our own vital defense infrastructure while creating American jobs and economic growth. In fact, the first $75 billion package created good-paying American jobs in at least 40 states across the United States, and 90 percent of this next request will do the same.
Different leaders have different thresholds of tolerance for warmongers. In vanilla Civilization V and Gods & Kings, you will take a diplomacy penalty with the description "They believe you are a warmongering menace to the world!" if you exceed a given leader's threshold of tolerance, whereas the diplomacy drop-down menu in Brave New World has four gradients to indicate the level of anger at warmongers and more intricate math behind them.
Your Warmonger Amount is applied to every civ that you've met. Capturing a city-state will earn you half the Warmonger Amount with other civs, as will capturing the city of a civ with which they are at war. These points are applied only if you capture a city that was not founded by you, so you will not earn any warmonger points by recapturing one of your cities from another civ, accepting a city as part of a trade, or gaining control of a city-state with Maria Theresa's Diplomatic Marriage or a Merchant of Venice.
A patch released on 27 October 2014 makes gains in Warmonger Amount dependent on the era of play.[2] You will gain 50% of the normal number of warmonger points during the Ancient Era, 60% during the Classical Era, 70% during the Medieval Era, 80% during the Renaissance Era, 90% during the Industrial Era, and the full Warmonger Amount thereafter.
Warmonger Score is attained by adjusting the Warmonger Amount for each leader's personality. It is calculated by multiplying the Warmonger Amount by each leader's WarmongerHate (represented by the "Hate Warmongers" rating in the AI trait tables on the leader pages) and dividing the result by 100. Logically, capturing a city will earn you a higher Warmonger Score with leaders who have a greater hatred of warmongers.
If you just can't wait for your warmonger points to decay, you can reduce your Warmonger Score by liberating cities or city-states that have been captured by other civilizations. Doing so will apply the calculations above in reverse and earn you a negative Warmonger Amount, which will be subtracted from your Warmonger Score with each civ. Even if you're pursuing a domination victory, liberating the occasional city from its captors is a good way to prevent yourself from being seen as a warmongering menace to the world.
In addition, opinion polls have become a political weapon. They not only help reveal public sentiment, they also shape it. Reproduced by the state media, they show how much support there is for the authoritarian regime. People hear that the majority supports the war, and this encourages fence-sitters to take the same stance.
According to the poll, 30 percent of Russians think that the hostilities should be stopped as soon as possible and 44 percent prefer peace negotiations to military action. Support for the war is highest among older Russians who live in small towns and in rural areas, watch state TV, and have a low level of education. Young people, especially those who live in big cities, have higher education, and do not use state TV as a source of information, are against the war.
The state became concerned about the education of youth at the turn of 2010-2020s, having seen that the key part of Alexei Navalny's audience is 30 to 40 years (or more) younger than Putin's core electorate. Since the beginning of the war, Russian schools and preschools have been increasing their propaganda efforts. Children are told about the successes of the Russian army in Ukraine; they are forced to wear soldier's clothing and to line up in the shape of the letter Z. Educational institutions actively purchase militaristic and patriotic merchandise.
The state considers educating children a very important task. This is underscored by the fact that Putin headed the supervisory board of the new children's and youth movement on July 20 (its name is to be chosen at a congress in December). A special law was passed to create this movement; it will be like the Pioneer Organization in the USSR.
For six months, the victorious heads of state debated settlement of the First World War at the Paris Peace Conference. They signed the main treaty 28 June 1919 in the Hall of Mirrors at the Palace of Versailles in Paris. There was no German delegation present.
Photos of the leaked intelligence documents have been circulating on the messaging platform Discord over the past several months. The documents deal with a variety of subjects, but the majority of the ones that have surfaced so far are detailed analyses of the progress of the war in Ukraine and U.S. intelligence assessments of a number of foreign partners and adversaries. The U.S. government has not officially confirmed that the documents are authentic, but has launched an investigation into their origins and made public statements indicating that they are likely real.
The leak comes at a time when the conflict in Ukraine and ongoing tensions in the Middle East are becoming more closely linked. Iran has emerged as a major supplier of drone technology to the Russian military, while Iranian state media sources recently said that Iran has closed a deal to purchase advanced fighter aircraft from Russia.
Niall Ferguson: Well, it's a great question because going back to something you said a moment ago, we used to accept that Taiwan was part of China. And indeed we still officially do have a one China policy, so one of the oddities about Taiwan is that it's not really controversial that China claims it, and we do not recognize it as an independent state. In fact, you'll get told off even for referring to it as a country in some circles. So what's changed? Because for the better part of half a century, really since Henry Kissinger and Richard Nixon figured out the Shanghai Communiqué with Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai, we have gone along with the fiction that Taiwan is part of China. We've had something called strategic ambiguity since the late 1970s. And that ambiguity was that people in Congress who weren't so sure about what Kissinger and Nixon had done, said, well, we have to have some commitment to Taiwan. And the commitment was an act of Congress that said, if China tried to change the status quo by force, we essentially reserve the right to take military action. But this is the ambiguity of our policy for 50 years, we kind of accept the Chinese claim that Taiwan's part of China. But we also say that if they try to assert that claim by force, we may do something about it. What's changed in the last few years is that Cold War II has begun, even if Americans don't call it by that name. Increasingly since around 2018, the United States, and this is true of both Republicans and Democrats, has taken a tougher stance on China generally and on Taiwan specifically. President Biden on at least three, maybe four occasions, has seemed to repudiate strategic ambiguity. A number of leading policy intellectuals, Richard Haas, former Grand Panjandrum of the Council On Foreign Relations said in 2020, "Why do we carry on with this strategic ambiguity nonsense? Let's be unambiguous in our commitment to Taiwan." Nancy Pelosi, the former Speaker of the House, paid a visit to the island in which she acted to all intents and purposes as if Taiwan was an independent state she was visiting. So I think there's been a significant shift in our general attitude towards China and our specific attitude towards Taiwan. And the Chinese in turn have been upping the ante. And you gave one example there, the recent blockade exercise at the time of speaker McCarthy's meeting with the Taiwanese president. But they did something very similar when Nancy Pelosi was in Taiwan. So we are moving quite fast in the direction of a showdown over Taiwan after more or less, half a century of strategic ambiguity.
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