[The Modi regime - together with its drumbeaters, busy projecting its 56" image, will not like to admit to any buckling down before the much superior Chinese armed might.
One only hopes that there'll be no further escalation and a peaceful, just and durable settlement.
Such disputes, regardless of the countries involved, should ideally be adjudicated and mediated by a neutral international entity - maybe the UN.
That appears to be the only sensible way.
<<* The possibility of a broader armed conflict between India and China is unlikely, analysts said, despite an escalation in recent border clashes high in the Himalayas that led to casualties for the first time in more than four decades.
* India’s foreign ministry said a “violent face-off” occurred on Monday evening along the border in the Galwan Valley in Ladakh, where soldiers from both sides have been locked in a standoff since last month.
* Both countries face a number of domestic challenges that are likely to preoccupy the focus for New Delhi and Beijing — including an economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic.>>
(Excerpted from sl. no. III below.)]
I/III.
https://thelogicalindian.com/news/20-indian-soldiers-killed-in-ladakh-clash-with-china-21728India-China Faceoff: Army Confirms Disengagement Of Troops In Ladakh's Galwan, 20 Indian Soldiers Killed In Action
According to media reports considered to be the most violent faceoff between the two armies in five decades, the hand-to-hand combat took place for over six hours on Monday night between the two armies.
Palak Agrawal (Digital Journalist)
India | 17 Jun 2020 / Updated : 3 Hrs ago
Editor : Shubhendu Deshmukh | Creatives : Abhishek M
The Indian Army on Tuesday, June 16, issued an official statement on the "violent faceoff" that took place between the Indian and Chinese troops at the Line of Actual Control in eastern Ladakh's Galwan valley on June 15.
The statement informed that both sides have disengaged at the Galwan area where they had earlier clashed.
"Indian and Chinese troops have disengaged at the Galwan area where they had earlier clashed on the night of 15/16 June 2020. 17 Indian troops who were critically injured in the line of duty at the standoff location and exposed to sub-zero temperatures in the high altitude terrain have succumbed to their injuries, taking the total that were killed in action to 20. Indian Army is firmly committed to protect the territorial integrity and sovereignty of the nation," the Army said in a statement.
According to the statement, twenty Indian soldiers including a commanding officer of an infantry battalion lost their lives in the violent clash with their Chinese counterpart.
In its initial statement, the army had announced that an officer and two soldiers had been killed in action. By evening, the authorities updated that 17 Indian troops who were critically injured who later succumbed to injuries and cold in the freezing, high-elevation terrain.
Reportedly, the Chinese army had also suffered significant casualties during the conflict, the numbers have not been confirmed yet.
The Ministry of External Affairs' spokesperson Anurag Srivastava said the face-off took place in Galwan valley where the Chinese side "departed from the consensus to respect the LAC (Line of Actual Control)" and attempted to "unilaterally change the status quo".
Considered to be the most violent faceoff between the two armies in five decades, News18 reported that brutal hand-to-hand combat took place for over six hours on Monday night between the two armies.
People's Liberation Army (PLA) had troops armed with iron rods and sticks wrapped in barbed wire hunting and killing the troops of the 16 Bihar Regiment, take the Indian side by surprise.
16 Bihar Regiment's commanding officer, Colonel Santosh Babu was one of the soldiers who was martyred during the aggressive face-off, informed the Indian Army in its statement.
The publication further stated that even unarmed men who fled into the hillsides were "hunted down and killed."
According to The Indian Express, the clashes took place after an argument over the position of Chinese soldiers who had erected a new post/tent on the southern bank of Galwan river in a 'buffer zone' which was a noman's land.
"Both sides suffered casualties that could have been avoided had the agreement at the higher level been scrupulously followed by the Chinese side," Srivastava said.
On June 6, during a meeting both the sides had reportedly agreed on a process for de-escalation.
II/III.
https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1191815.shtmlPLA Western Theater Command urges Indian army to stop provocative action on border
Source:Global Times Published: 2020/6/16 20:27:07
Photo: Xinhua
A Chinese military spokesperson said on Tuesday that Indian troops have broke[n] their promises and again crossed the line of actual control in the Galwan Valley region on Monday evening and purposely launched provocative attacks, leading to severe clashes and casualties.
China always owns sovereignty over the Galwan Valley region, and the Indian border defense troops are inconsistent with their words and seriously violated the agreements both countries have reached, the consensus made during the army commander-level talks and harmed the relations of the two militaries and the feelings of the two countries' peoples, said Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Western Theater Command spokesperson Senior Colonel Zhang Shuili on Tuesday.
India should stop all provocative actions, meet the Chinese side halfway and come back to the right path of solving disputes through talks, Zhang said.
III.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/17/india-china-border-standoff-analysts-say-war-is-unlikely.html#:~:text=The%20possibility%20of%20a%20broader,in%20more%20than%20four%20decades.
Wider armed conflict between India and China unlikely after ‘violent’ border clash
PUBLISHED TUE, JUN 16 202011:12 PM EDTUPDATED 27 MIN AGO
Saheli Roy Choudhury
@SAHELIRC
KEY POINTS
The possibility of a broader armed conflict between India and China is unlikely, analysts said, despite an escalation in recent border clashes high in the Himalayas that led to casualties for the first time in more than four decades.
India’s foreign ministry said a “violent face-off” occurred on Monday evening along the border in the Galwan Valley in Ladakh, where soldiers from both sides have been locked in a standoff since last month.
Both countries face a number of domestic challenges that are likely to preoccupy the focus for New Delhi and Beijing — including an economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic.
An Indian Border Security Force soldier erects a bunker near a check post along the Srinagar-Leh National highway on June 16, 2020.
An Indian Border Security Force soldier erects a bunker near a check post along the Srinagar-Leh National highway on June 16, 2020.
Faisal Khan | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images
The possibility of a wider armed conflict between India and China is unlikely, analysts said, despite an escalation in recent border clashes high in the Himalayas that led to casualties for the first time in more than four decades.
India’s foreign ministry said a “violent face-off” occurred on Monday evening along the border in the Galwan Valley in Ladakh, where soldiers from both sides have been locked in a standoff since last month. Senior army officials from both sides met on June 6 in efforts to de-escalate the situation.
“On the late-evening and night of 15th June, 2020 a violent face-off happened as a result of an attempt by the Chinese side to unilaterally change the status quo there. Both sides suffered casualties that could have been avoided had the agreement at the higher level been scrupulously followed by the Chinese side,” Anurag Srivastava, official spokesperson for the Indian foreign ministry, said.
The Indian army said in a statement that 20 of its soldiers were killed and that troops from both sides have now disengaged.
China’s foreign ministry confirmed there had been a “violent physical confrontation” at the border but made no mention of casualties and said there’s been a serious violation of the consensus reached by the two sides, Reuters reported.
The Chinese People’s Liberation Army said Indian border troops “reneged on their commitments” and “seriously violated agreements and protocols” on border issues between the two sides.
The clash was unexpected given that the two sides were having serious dialogue about disengagement, said Harsh V. Pant, head of the strategic studies program at the Observer Research Foundation in New Delhi.
If talks at the military and foreign ministry level are flailing, a conversation between Xi Jinping and Narendra Modi is likely to prevent a major fallout.
Kelsey Broderick
CHINA ANALYST AT EURASIA GROUP
“Clearly, the crisis was there on the borders, but the two sides were trying to resolve it, and it had seemed at one point, in the last few days, that disengagement process has started,” he told CNBC’s “Street Signs” on Wednesday.
War isn’t likely
With both sides accusing each other of violating the June 6 agreement, it will be harder to push forward with previously agreed upon de-escalation moves, Kelsey Broderick, China analyst at consultancy Eurasia Group, said in a note.
“The fact that the 15 June incident, despite the fatalities, did not boil over into a larger conflict is one positive signal that higher-ups on both sides are not interested in sparking any kind of war,” Broderick said.
She explained that India and China are likely to return to de-escalation, but that the process will take “significantly longer,” with a higher risk of another flare-up as both governments have to tackle hardened domestic attitudes against the other side and resist calls for retaliation.
“If talks at the military and foreign ministry level are flailing, a conversation between (President) Xi Jinping and (Prime Minister) Narendra Modi is likely to prevent a major fallout,” Broderick said.
Still, analysts expect that there remains a risk of future border clashes turning into larger armed clashes, particularly if thousands of soldiers continue to face each other along the disputed border area.
Domestic challenges
Both countries face a number of domestic challenges that are likely to preoccupy New Delhi and Beijing — including the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic.
China is experiencing a resurgence of infections in Beijing, where more than 100 new cases were reported in recent days. Authorities have reimposed restrictions to stop the virus from spreading. The world’s second-largest economy is also managing a deteriorating relationship with the United States.
The risk of miscalculation aside, we believe there is little appetite to beat the war drum.
Miha Hribernik
HEAD OF ASIA FOR RISK INSIGHT AT VERISK MAPLECROFT
India for its part is one of the most-affected countries in the world, with more than 340,000 reported cases, despite imposing a strict national lockdown between late-March and the end of May.
“The risk of miscalculation aside, we believe there is little appetite to beat the war drum,” Miha Hribernik, head of Asia for risk insight at Verisk Maplecroft, wrote in a note.
“Nevertheless, neither Modi nor Xi can afford to completely back down in what is an exceedingly complex and long-standing sovereignty dispute,” Hribernik said. “We accordingly expect tensions along the disputed border areas to continue to simmer during the rest of the year, with neither side willing to pull back completely, but with little enthusiasm for further escalation.”
India is building a strategic road through the Galwan Valley in Ladakh and connecting the region to an airstrip, the Associated Press reported — a move China opposes.
Future of bilateral ties
The latest violent clash is expected to further deteriorate bilateral ties between India and China.
Eurasia Group’s Broderick said that skirmishes like the one on Monday are likely to become more frequent as “China asserts more territorial claims and India starts to push back against Chinese incursions.”
Already, there’s growing anti-China sentiment in India, with calls to boycott Chinese products growing louder. New Delhi also introduced restrictive measures on Chinese foreign direct investments.
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China is losing its relationship with India and the U.S., says expert on border tensions
China is losing its relationship with two of the most important countries in the world, according to Jonathan Ward, founder of strategic advisory firm Atlas Organization.
“It’s lost its relationship with the United States, during the trade war, during the Covid-19 pandemic. And it has lost its relationship with India, effectively,” he told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Wednesday, adding that India’s view of China has hardened publicly and likely in the government, too.
Observer Research Foundation’s Pant said the relatively high reported death toll, with at least 20 Indian soldiers dead, is set to change the dynamic of the India-China relationship for a very long time, particularly on the economic front. He explained that though China is India’s largest trading partner, and Chinese investments are significant in the Indian technology sector, New Delhi is likely to shift its approach.
“There’ll be costs on India and there’ll be costs on the larger ecosystem that India is trying to create,” Pant said. He added that India will likely strengthen its ties with the U.S. and other “like-minded” countries in the region, including Japan, Australia, and Vietnam.