Ode
to Wireless 3G: Did 42 Million People Just
Get Screwed?
Will another
100 million get screwed over the closing
of 4G LTE?
My cell
phone just turned into a paperweight. I got
the announcement above multiple times from
TracFone wireless on the day they killed my
service. When I call it is the sound of one
hand clapping. It does say “emergency calls
only”, and that my service is good through
2/19/ 2024, but the call doesn’t go through.
And now
I can smash my cell phone against a wall and
not feel guilty. I know many others who have
thought of doing this action, but paused.
Yesterday,
I came to learn that my service was using
the “3G” networks. Who knew? I thought it
had already been upgraded to “4G” — — a
decade ago… or maybe “5G”, which is more
marketing bullsheet than anything else.
Verizon
bought TracFone last year — and it is
now clear that this is a consequence of that
acquisition; had TracFone remained
independent, the networks would have stayed
open to accommodate a large provider, like
TracFone, “serving approximately 21 million
subscribers”.
And it
looks like Verizon violated the sale
agreement as there was not supposed to be
any major changes to my service — it was
supposed to work, with the same plan and the
same phone.
“Current TracFone
customers will not have to make any
immediate changes or take any action when
the deal is finalized. Current customers
will be able to remain on their current
plans and will not have to change plans or
devices when the transaction closes.”
Who the
hell knows what any of this means or what
“G” their phone is using? If you’re confused
about 3G, 4G, 5G, and even 6G think of it
as — “G” equals gibberish. In the end, if
the service works, or doesn’t, the “G”
stands for “garbage talk”.
First, how many are being ‘shut off’
for 3G?
What
astonishes me is that there is no detailed
statistical information about exactly how
many people are going to get screwed by
shutting off these networks. And I didn’t
know that there is a plan to not only shut
off 3G but also 4GLTE as well.
Forty-two Million 3G Devices?
According
to
the
CTIA, the wireless association, there
were 469 million wireless connections with
190 million of them as data-only devices.
“Data-only devices rose
to 190.4 million in 2020, now representing
41.3 percent of all estimated devices.
Data-only devices have grown 272 percent
since 2013. Overall wireless connections
grew to 468.9 million.”
Where’s
the break-out of how many are 3G, 4G, and
5G? Couldn’t find it. In fact, the total
number 3G connections is just missing in
this conversation. By digging I did find a
sentence that mentioned that about 9% of the
connections are still 3G.
“Today, fewer than 9% of
U.S. wireless connections are 2G or 3G
subscriptions, but that amount may vary by
national, regional and prepaid providers.”
Wait, basic math kicks in. If
there are 469 million connections and 9% are
3G, this means that there are still 42
million 3G connections at the end of 2021.
It is
obvious that the CTIA Wireless association
is attempting to obfuscate how many are
going to be impacted. If they were serious
about the line accounting, they would have
used decimal points and actual numbers, as
they did with all of the other
reporting — but “fewer than” — is not a
solid number.
Or they
could have done the math and in big letters
wrote:
“42.21
Million Customers have 2G or 3G Service.“
But here’s something you probably
didn’t know: According to the CTIA:
“Many 2G and 3G devices are not
phones
“Consumers should think
not just about their phones but other
devices that connect to a wireless network.
If you are a consumer or enterprise customer
with 2G and/or 3G Internet of Things (IoT)
devices, you will also need to upgrade them.
Such devices could range from alarm systems
to connected car modules, or to other
sensors.”
“What cars will be
affected by 3G shutdown?
This will affect everyone
from Acura, Audi, Honda, Tesla, Toyota,
Subaru, Volkswagen, Nissan, Volvo, etc. Cars
with Verizon have a little longer to go, as
the company announced it would slowly end
support for 3G, and the network will finally
shut down by December 31st, 2022.”
WWMT
news in Michigan states that it isn’t
just the Big Cell Providers but all of those
that rent their networks from the Big Cell
Providers that will be impacted, like
Cricket or Boost.
“Verizon said it will
completely shut down its 3G network by Dec.
31, 2022. The Federal Communications
Commission said other carriers, like
Cricket, Boost, Straight Talk and some
Lifeline mobile service providers use the
networks of AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon.”
TracFone
is one of those companies that rents service
from the Big Cell Providers.
Phone
Arena gives a rundown of different
shut off dates for the different carriers.
“T-Mobile, Verizon, AT&T, and
Sprint 2G/3G/4G LTE network shutdown
dates: the sunset!
Wait. — What
you should notice is — the companies are
also planning to shut down 4G LTE, though
each carrier appears to be treating this
differently. .
Phone
Arena’s scorecard:
“T-Mobile has listed the
dates for shutting down Sprint’s 3G and 4G
LTE networks and migrating people to modern
broadband speed pastures. “These (dates) are
January 1, 2022, for Sprint’s 3G network
sunset, and June 30, 2022, for the 4G LTE
connections, respectively.”
“Verizon’s 2G network is
already sunset but don’t worry about its 4G
LTE network as this will be around together
with
Verizon’s
5G coverage for years to come, so no
need to switch to 5G phones just yet, unless
you want some of the perks that come with
those, like all the bells and whistles of
the Galaxy S22 series of handsets.”:
“AT&T announced
February 22, 2022, as its 3G network
shutdown date, and warns that the carrier
would ‘no longer activate phones that don’t
support HD Voice since they won’t be
compatible to work on our network when 3G
shuts down.’ Same as with Verizon’s 3G
network shutdown, basically”.
And
what’s even more confusing, besides the
network closures is that some phones will
still work if upgraded while others, like
mine — can now be smashed against the wall
as it will no longer be able to make or
receive calls.
“As for the all-important
question about that AT&T 3G network
shutdown free phone replacement that Ma Bell
has been offering to subscribers to soothe
their sunset pain, it’s not really worth it.
Also, you may want to have a look at
AT&T’s
list of phones that will and won’t work
after the 3G network shutdown, as not
all Galaxy S20 models are created equal,
apparently. The Galaxy S22 series of phones,
however, would do just fine.”
The 5G Con and a Nasty Subplot.
At
first, I saw this as an update to the
technology — but screwing this many people
and businesses with a FCC-approved plan to
shut off 4G LTE, is much more devious than I
thought.
This is
a plan that has been concocted with a
captured FCC by AT&T et al. to force
customers onto more expensive plans and
require more expensive phones and new
technology purchases for a “5G” service
which is more vaporware than a realized
service.
And the
“G” issue is to use it as a ‘shiny bauble’,
a piece of broadband marketing trickery to
make you believe that this 5G and beyond is
the future — so let’s just get rid of
regulations and concerns about actual
customer’s rights.
In this
case, seniors, who are the predominant users
of TracFone and many of these other similar
plans, will wake up to find that their
services were based on something called
‘3G’ — that worked just fine for the service
they are paying for.
It doesn’t matter what “G” it is if
it can’t deliver what it claimed it could.
According
to Fierce Wireless, the FCC did an
investigation into the deployment of 4G LTE
delivered by companies that were getting
government subsidies. —
“The year-long
investigation included nearly 25,000 speed
tests in 12 states. According to the report,
FCC staff achieved a minimum download speed
of 5 Mbps where carriers claimed to have
coverage in 45% of tests for U.S. Cellular,
63.2% of for T-Mobile and 64.3% for Verizon.
The investigation couldn’t find any 4G LTE
signal for 21.3% of drive tests on
T-Mobile’s network, 16.2% on Verizon’s
network, and 38% on U.S. Cellular’s network,
“despite each provider reporting coverage in
the relevant area.”
“Inaccuracies in
operators’ coverage maps is not necessarily
a surprising issue, but reliable data was
key to the design of MF-II since federal
support for smaller carriers’ 4G LTE
deployments was predicated on the FCC’s
ability to use the maps to determine which
areas of the country were unserved and
therefore eligible.”
I bring
this up because the FCC’s-Industry-induced
plan is to force-march America onto a
made-up nebulous technology that, to date,
is mostly smoke and mirrors.
In
fact, much of the 5G is now more like 4.5G
with a wig and lipstick as 5G has never
worked as advertised.
As one
veteran wireless expert said —
“5 comes after 4, so, of course
there had to be a 5G after 4G.”
I could
go on but what’s the point?
Shutting
off working services with claims that this
new tech “WILL”, MIGHT”, “COULD” work, is
ridiculous on the surface.
6G Will Save Us
Don’t
worry about the next iteration of wireless
service — 6 follows 5. On February 22nd,
2022, the FCC started the
6G
working group, as part of an overall
Technology Advisory Council, and its members
include the NCTA, the cable trade
association, T-Mobile, AT&T, Charter
Spectrum and Verizon, among others, as well
as some academics, and consultants.
What
could go wrong?
Coda:
Many of
you reading this sleep with your cell phone,
and you even take it with you in the shower.
I used my TracFone to have available when I
went to meetings outside and for
emergencies; with the pandemic, those have
been far and few. At home, I’d rather use a
large screen to watch video and a wired
connection for better sounding calls.
Of
course, as an analyst I can quote you
statistical data on the generational use of
cell phones, (‘younger’ use it more, and I’d
be considered a ‘senior’), or the behavioral
issues where the 80–20% rule kicks in where
20% of users create 80% of the usage, or
that it’s a ‘bling’ thing — who has the most
expensive, newest, shiny bauble toy.
But in
the end, this change is not about giving
better services; it’s about how much more
can they charge and sell more equipment, and
use it as an excuse to not properly upgrade
the entire US. In fact, the push to
5G is
an industry driven bait-and-switch to
not build out fiber optic networks to
everyone but take the money that should have
been used for a wired high-speed Digital
Future and illegally transfer it to the
companies’ wireless division — another tale
for another time.
In the
end, I blame the captured FCC, led by former
attorney for Verizon, the CTIA, and friend
of a group called ALEC, the American
Legislative Exchange Council — now
FCC
commissioner Brendan Carr, (with the
help of AT&T and Verizon), for his lead
role to push 5G wireless instead of
investigating the massive accounting fraud
scandal that he may have helped to put in
place; it is one reason why
America’s
wireless prices are 5–20 times more
expensive that overseas, and it is why there
is a Digital Divide.
I’m all
for tech upgrades, and I didn’t even know 3G
was still in use. But considering that this
is not to benefit the public but AT&T et
al….
If I
decide to smash the phone I’ll post the
video. As the shut-offs continue, we can
expect to hear more about this from the
public.