Potential impacts of climate interventions on marine ecosystems - Preprint

[Geoengineering News]

https://essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10.22541/essoar.176401886.60047293/v1

Authors: Kelsey E Roberts, Tyler Rohr, Morgan R Raven, Michael S Diamond,, Daniele Visioni, Ben Kravitz, Ryan Heneghan, Colleen M Petrik, Daniele Bianchi, Kelly Ortega- Cisneros, Monica A Morrison, Vanessa Van Heerden, Nicola A Wiseman, Anil Gouri, Zachary J Cannizzo, Marta Coll, Joshua Coupe, Ryan Freedman, Kristen Krumhardt, Lester Kwiatkowski, Nicole S Lovenduski, Jessica Y Luo, Holly C Olivarez, Alan Robock, Jeroen Steenbeek, Cheryl S Harrison

24 November 2025

Abstract

Rising global temperatures pose significant risks to marine ecosystems, biodiversity and fisheries. Recent comprehensive assessments suggest that large-scale mitigation efforts to limit warming are falling short, and all feasible future climate projections, including those that represent optimistic emissions reductions, exceed the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C or 2º warming targets during this century. While avoiding further CO2 emissions remains the most effective way to prevent environmental destabilization, interest is growing in climate interventions deliberate, large-scale manipulations of the environment aimed at reducing global warming. These include carbon dioxide removal (CDR) to reduce atmospheric CO2 concentrations over time, and solar radiation modification (SRM), which reflects sunlight to lower surface temperatures but does not address root CO2 causes. The effects of these interventions on marine ecosystems, both direct and in combination with ongoing climate change, remain highly uncertain. Given the ocean’s central role in regulating Earth’s climate and supporting global food security, understanding these potential effects is crucial. This review provides an overview of proposed intervention methodologies for marine CDR and SRM and outlines the potential trade-offs and knowledge gaps associated with their impacts on marine ecosystems. Climate interventions have the potential to reduce warming-driven impacts, but could also alter marine food systems, biodiversity and ecosystem function. Effects will vary by pathway, scale, and regional context. Pathway-specific impact assessments are thus crucial to quantify trade-offs between plausible intervention scenarios as well as to identify their expected impacts on marine ecosystems in order to prioritize scaling efforts for low-risk pathways and avoid high-risk scenarios.

Source: ESS Open Archive 

[Oeste]

The content of this huge pack of paper makes to me an impression of premature and superficiality. I have not found any mentions of the influences of SRM on the oxidation capacity of the atmospheric chemistry or of the cloud brightening effect on the cloud's internal and external oxidation chemistry. Both effects are of essential influence on the climate temperature. Additional atmospheric chemistry has substantial influence on the extend of the temperature rise induced by the termination shock if SAI comes to an unplanned sudden stop.

Franz

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