I forward to you all a message from my friend Denis Bonnelle
>>> Le mer. 29 sept. 2021 à 14:31, Denis Bonnelle <dbon...@ipsl.fr> a écrit :
This email is to show some possible synergies
among DAC, renewable energy production, and another geoengineering
issue: hurricane control.
I am not claiming that DAC is a realistic
solution to fight climate change, I am just assuming this, as a
hypothesis, whose consequences I try to investigate.
If DAC is
realistic, this means that it can withdraw several gigatons of CO2 per
year, i.e. that it can process even more millions km³ of air, i.e. not
far from 1 km³ of air per second (1 y = 10^7.5 s). With air velocity up
to 10 m/s, this means a cross-section around 100 km². (The 22th of September, I participated in a seminar about NET ("NET-Rapido") with the
think tank Climate Strategies, and such orders of magnitudes have been
emphasized by a speaker).
Air can be
pushed through this cross-section by fans, hopefully carbon-free
powered, e.g. by wind energy. This advocates for a direct use of wind
energy, i.e., in windy regions, letting the wind into the DAC devices,
without any fans nor wind turbines dedicated to power them (some other
energy would be needed for the physico-chemical reactions needed to
separate the CO2 from the air). My friend Renaud de Richter tells me
that this is Klaus Lackner's choice, maybe among others.
A 100
km² cross-section could be broken down to, e.g., 10,000 cantilevered
structures, each one having a 100 m x 100 m cross-section, or even to
1,000 ones, each 300 m x 300 m. So, my hypothesis that DAC would be
realistic, implies that building such cantilevered structures could be
seriously considered.
A related project has recently been proposed, and illustrated by the following drawing:
Of
course, there are some differences with DAC: here, this structure bears
relatively few wind turbines, not DAC devices ; and it is floating
on the sea - by the way, I had never assumed that the 1,000 DAC
structures would be built onshore.
Offshore wind energy develops
strongly due to various reasons, among which social acceptance and the
possibility to reach better winds (stronger and less time-dependent).
Both reasons reinforce each other: there are two ways of getting better
winds: being at a higher altitude, and being over the ocean. But taller
onshore wind turbines face more opponents, so that going offshore makes
twofold sense to make wind energy at scale possible, even if it is quite
more expensive by the MW (but, due to these better winds, not that more
expensive by the MWh; and with a larger economic value as it needs less
power back-up, or as it enhances the capacity factor of conversion
devices which would use this power, such as electrolysers).
Offshore
wind energy can be either "near offshore", linked to the shore by
electric cables, or "high sea offshore". The mainstream idea is that the
latter would be useful only through on-board "power-to-liquid"
transformation, i.e. water electrolysis and use of the hydrogen to
synthesize ammonia, methanol (using CO2), or synthetic jet fuel (using
CO2 through Fischer-Tropsch reaction). The latter two are included in
the "U" of CCUS that you, as CDR and DAC specialists, know well, at least for
CCS. Of course, such on-board chemical plants would be strongly
characterized by economies of scale, which is another argument on behalf
of very large scales such as the 300 m x 300 m cross-section of the
above drawing.
But why wouldn't wind energy developers
design wind turbines with, at least, a 150 m radius and a 200 m tall
tower, just extrapolating the current trends, and benefitting from the
fact that, offshore, you no longer face the same political oppositions
which, onshore, prevent them from such bold extrapolation?
The
answer to this question is, again, about scale economies. So far,
larger and larger wind turbines have proved cheaper by the MWh, but this
is only thanks to the reduction of the relative part of some costs such
as development costs, maintenance, balance of power, etc. But the hard
physics of the wind turbine per se shows the contrary of scale
economies. To harvest the wind from a x4 cross-section, i.e. from a x2
radius, you might think that a blade with a x4 area would be enough, but
this is not all. This blade must also be thicker just to keep an
unchanged geometry, and it must be even more mechanically reinforced, as
all of the forces it endures are converted to torques by being
multiplied by a "r" coordinate which now varies up to a doubled maximum
radius. All this multiplies the required materials quantity by, at
least, a x8 factor, and probably even more.
Until now (i.e.
the record ≈ 10 MW wind turbines, with their blades slightly longer than
100 m and their towers above 150 m), the cost of this material wasn't
the main part of wind energy's costs, but if you'd aim at, say, 200 m or
250 m long blades and a ≈ 300 m tall tower, this could be no longer
true, which is a first reason why such a structure with "small" wind
turbines would make sense.
The other
reason could be that small wind turbine factories would face a shortage
of clients, while being fully depreciated from an accountancy point of
view, so that they would be able to propose wind turbines at very
attractive prices, overall if somebody offers to buy them by the
hundred.
What is the relation with DAC?
First,
it proves that such giant cantilevered structures can make sense,
notably when it comes to facing strong winds. The same about floating on
the sea.
(I had made some further comparisons
with a classical wind turbine, whose tower undergoes a strong torque
due to a force parallel to its shaft. Having two towers arranged in sort
of a quite vertical triangle, would be cheaper, provided that this
triangle could always be in a plane including the wind's direction. This
is impossible onshore, as the wind's direction isn't constant. But a
floating structure can be oriented so that it always quite faces the
wind. Maybe the figure above is also derived from such a comparison.)
Forces
parallel to the wind would also exist if some or all of the wind
turbines were substituted by DAC devices. Then, you can choose between
two possibilities: being strongly anchored to the undersea ground, of
being pushed by the wind and slowed down by a hydrokinetic turbine under
the hull, which could produce some power, maybe cheaper than wind
energy, as the water is denser than the air so that smaller "blades" can
be used.
When such structures are dedicated to power
production for usual onshore needs, either case (anchored structure or
hydrokinetic turbine) but even more the latter, imply on-board
conversion of this power. I have already discussed power-to-liquid,
through water electrolysis and synthesis reactions, but DAC could be an
interesting use of such power, with liquid or solid CO2 as an output.
Notably, it could be useful as a first "proof of concept" of the idea of
producing offshore power from high sea winds, and using it onboard to
generate dense chemicals, with no need of handling them too often to
their final users.
When such mobile floating structures are
pushed by the winds, a force appears, which means a momentum exchange.
In the global momentum balance, this exchange is between the air and the
water. This could be useful for hurricane control.
A basic
idea for hurricane control is that tapping some wind energy from it
reduces its kinetic energy, thus its devastating power, and this idea
has been developed in, e.g., "Taming hurricanes with arrays of offshore
wind turbines", a very interesting paper by Cristina Archer, Mark
Jacobson and Willett Kempton, which compares the economic values of the
power produced by these wind turbines throughout the year, and of the
reduction of the hurricane's damage.
However,
this paper only deals with near offshore wind turbines, built on
shallow undersea ground off the US southern and eastern shores (so that
no control of the hurricane farther from these coasts is possible), and
it only deals with kinetic energy exchanges, not momentum ones.
Momentum
exchanges are not interesting per se, but because they control a much
more powerful lever about hurricanes: angular momentum exchanges.
Even
if the physics of hurricanes is very complex, the idea of reducing
their angular momentum exchanges to control them is emphasized by the
fact that they can't appear too close to the Equator, which proves that
angular momentum is vital for them, and this is logical: a very powerful
hurricane needs a very low pressure in all its quite central air stormy
cylinder, which must attract new air only at its bottom in order to
harvest the ocean's latent heat; at all the other altitudes, there must
be something to protect this low pressure cylinder from anarchic air
inlets from the outside, and this something is the centrifugal force
(and an increased Coriolis's force) which is generated by the rotation
of the whole hurricane, proportional (and even squared) to its angular
momentum. If it weakens, the whole thermal machine will be weaker even
if the water temperature is still the same.
I'm quoting this temperature, as a hurricane relies on two positive feedbacks. The latent heat one is as follows:
"more
latent heat --> more air buoyancy --> a deeper low pressure near
the hurricane's center --> stronger attraction of the winds by the
hurricane --> more heat exchanges due to friction at the ocean's
surface --> more latent heat in the whole machine".
It
is quite difficult to act on it with a powerful lever, but it might be
less difficult to act against the other positive feedback which
hurricanes desperately need:
"rotation --> strong
centrifugal forces --> the inner low pressures being protected at
quite all the altitudes against anarchic air inlets --> this inner
low pressure cylinder strongly attracting air from far outside at the
ocean level --> this radial inwards air undergoing Coriolis's force
along a quite long way and turning tangential --> this Coriolis
effect reinforcing the strong rotation which was the first step of our
positive feedback".
And if "acting" on it would mean having a
large floating structure being drawn by the rotating winds so that
(angular) momentum is transferred to the ocean, it would be interesting
to look for synergies with the mere existence of such a floating
structure being subjected to such winds and being designed to generate
something else useful for the climate. You can't bypass the idea of
something like "power-to-liquid" happening on-board, but this "liquid"
(or dense) material being CO2 could be the technologically simplest idea
to begin with.
Such a device could be used to control many
hurricanes by rotating around them for a large part of the hurricanes
seasons in both hemispheres; for the rest of the year, they would just
capture CO2 on windy oceans, e.g. being anchored not far from the
Patagonian coast.
Anyway,
I hope that studying such synergies more thoroughly could be fruitful
for all the approaches of such an idea: DAC; hurricane control through
angular momentum; and the broader trend about wind energy being
harvested over high seas and converted through power-to-liquid schemes.
Best regards,
Denis Bonnelle.