Reduction of the future Greenland ice sheet surface melt with the help of solar geoengineering

[Andrew Lockley]

https://tc.copernicus.org/preprints/tc-2020-347/

Brief Communication: Reduction of the future Greenland ice sheet surface melt with the help of solar geoengineering

Xavier Fettweis et al. 

Received: 25 Nov 2020 – Accepted for review: 03 Dec 2020 – Discussion started: 04 Dec 2020

Abstract. The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) will be losing mass at an accelerating pace throughout the 21st century, with a direct link between anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and the magnitude of Greenland mass loss. Currently, approximately 60 % of the mass loss contribution comes from surface melt and subsequent meltwater runoff, while 40 % are due to ice calving. Where most of the surface melt occurs (in the ablation zone), most of the energy for the surface melt is provided by absorbed shortwave fluxes, which could be reduced by solar geoengineering measures. However, so far very little is known about the potential impacts of an artificial reduction of the incoming solar radiation on the GrIS surface energy budget and the subsequent change in meltwater production. By forcing the regional climate model MAR with the latest CMIP6 future scenarios ssp245, ssp585 and associated G6solar experiment from the Earth System Model CNRM-ESM2-1, we evaluate the local changes due to the reduction of the solar constant on the projected GrIS surface mass balance (SMB) decrease. Overall, our results show that even in case of low mitigation greenhouse gas emissions scenario (ssp585), the Greenland surface mass loss can be brought in line with the medium mitigation emissions scenario (ssp245) by reducing the solar downward flux at the top of the atmosphere by ~40 W/m2 or ~1.5 % (using the G6solar experiment). In addition to reduce Global Warming in line with ssp245, G6solar also decreases the efficiency of surface meltwater production over the Greenland ice sheet by damping the well-known positive melt-albedo feedback which mitigates the projected Greenland ice sheet surface melt increase by 6 %. However, only more constraining geoengineering experiments than G6solar allows to maintain positive SMB till the end of this century without any reduction in our greenhouse gas emissions.

How to cite: Fettweis, X., Hofer, S., Séférian, R., Amory, C., Delhasse, A., Doutreloup, S., Kittel, C., Lang, C., Van Bever, J., Veillon, F., and Irvine, P.: Brief Communication: Reduction of the future Greenland ice sheet surface melt with the help of solar geoengineering, The Cryosphere Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2020-347, in review, 2020 

[SALTER Stephen]

Hi All

 

The highest estimate for Greenland ice sheet loss is 325 billion tonnes a year.

 

If I multiply this by the latent heat of fusion of ice and divide by the area of Greenland 2.166 million square kilometres I get 1.59 watts per square metre.  I think that this could be done by marine cloud brightening in just a month either side of midsummer provided that we can cool other places at the same time to reduce problems of controlling direction.

 

How do we square this with 40?

 

Please do not use this to reduce the need for CO2 removal.

 

Stephen

 

From: geoengi...@googlegroups.com <geoengi...@googlegroups.com> On Behalf Of Andrew Lockley
Sent: 06 December 2020 13:28
To: geoengineering <geoengi...@googlegroups.com>
Subject: [geo] Reduction of the future Greenland ice sheet surface melt with the help of solar geoengineering

 

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[Alan Gadian]

Stephen , 

Meteorolocally we are getting close to the point of no return. CO2 reduction is The only hope in town long term , but stopping before the point of no return is critical   London will be in danger in 50 years time whatever. 

Best wishes

Alan

T ---

Alan Gadian,  UK. 

Tel: +44 / 0  775 451 9009 

T ---

On 6 Dec 2020, at 14:43, SALTER Stephen <S.Sa...@ed.ac.uk> wrote:



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[Adrian Tuck]

Check “sunny greenland” + Richard  S Scorer.

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