murder rates...comparison...Juarez latest atrocity

[Molly Molloy]

Thanks to a list member for sending this short piece looking at the most violent cities in the world. Actually, the only Mexican city now in the top-10 list is Acapulco. I often get questions about the violence of US cities (usually Chicago is the one mentioned) compared to Mexican cities. Chicago actually has a murder rate of about 18 and despite the press coverage of homicide and gang violence in Chicago, there are many US cities with higher murder rates. Juarez' murder rate is currently about 21, but it does seem to be on the rise. In the El Diario article posted below, it says that there were 11 homicides over the past weekend in the city and there have been at least 4 more murders reported. I expect that the monthly total for August will be 50+. 

Human rights ombudsman Gustavo de la Rosa recently wrote a piece for Sin Embargo published yesterday, "Y la violencia regresa a Juarez" that looks at the increasing number of homicides in the city. 

Mexico's national murder rate in 2015 was 17, according to INEGI statistics. This is high by national standards, though the small countries of the northern triangle of Central America--Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala--have murder rates approaching 100. 

Below is a detailed comparison of Chicago/Juarez murder rates and a story today from El Diario. One of the victims of homicide this weekend in Juarez was 8 months pregnant. The baby survived the shooting that killed her 23 yr old mother.   molly

 

The Top-10 Most Violent Cities Worldwide

by Niall McCarthy

Statista

Aug 31, 2016

https://www.statista.com/chart/5656/the-top-10-most-violent-cities-worldwide/

 

CHART

https://infographic.statista.com/normal/chartoftheday_5656_the_top_10_most_violent_cities_worldwide_n.jpg

 

 

Which cities have the highest rates of murder worldwide? According to the The Mexico Citizens Council for Public Security, the very worst of them are concentrated in Mexico, Venezuela and Honduras. In 2015, Caracas in Venezuela topped the list with 119.87 murders per 100,000 people. 

San Pedro Sula in Honduras came second with 111.03 homicides per 100,000 people while San Salvador, capital of El Salvador, rounded off the top three with 108.54 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants. Earlier this month, the US State Department issued a warning about Honduras to US citizens, saying that the level of kidnapping, crime and violence there remains critically high.

 

Definitions on page

https://www.statista.com/topics/1750/violent-crime-in-the-us/

 

_____________________________________________

A LIST MEMBER SENT THIS YESTERDAY:

Date: Tue, 30 Aug 2016 10:25:09 -0500
Subject: chicago grisly statistics

487 homicides by gun violence this year to date

78 homicides this month of august to date

67 shootings this weekend

11 deaths this weekend from the shootings

almost 3000 gun shootings this year to date

what are the statistics for ciudad juarez? 

_____________________________________________

ANALYSIS:

I did a quick calculation of the murder rates of Chicago and Juarez, using the numbers we have now for homicides in each city.  Chicago's population is about 2.7 million; with the number of 487 homicides so far this year, it comes to a murder RATE of 18...  That is 18 murders per 100,000 people.

Juarez has a population of about 1.3 million. So far this year, about 280 people have been victims of homicide. This comes to a murder RATE of 21... 21 murders per 100,000 people.  In terms of that "11 murders in one weekend in Chicago," I believe that there were 7 people killed this past weekend in Juarez. Considering the population difference, that is a pretty similar rate. [Actually, El Diario reported on August 31 that there were 11 people murdered in Juarez this weekend.]

The actual rate in Juarez is slightly higher than Chicago's.  One factor is that Chicago is about double the population of Juarez and from what I have read, most of Chicago is quite safe. However there are some parts of the city where the gang violence is extreme.  For example: http://homicides.redeyechicago.com/neighborhoods/

The large population of the city (much of it in relatively safe/non-violent neighborhoods) dilutes the terrible death toll of the violent neighborhoods.  Juarez has violent areas also. During the hyperviolent years (2008-2012) several studies have shown that most of the murders took place in the southeast and northwest zones of the city...  But for comparison to the current violence, these years were extreme...2010 was by far the worst year and the murder rates in the city then ranged from 100-300... The city's population also shrank due to people leaving the city due to the violence and to the disappearing jobs at that time.  And so the murder rate was even higher since it was diluted by fewer residents.  

I know that it sounds cold to do these comparisons when what we are really talking about are lives and families being destroyed, but in order to understand the levels of violence in different places, it is necessary to consider population size and other characteristics of the places.  FWIW, the most violent cities in the US (New Orleans, Newark, Detroit, East St. Louis... https://www.neighborhoodscout.com/top-lists/highest-murder-rate-cities/ )

are characterized by poverty and racial inequality. Race is not an issue in Juarez, but the economic disparities are extreme and certainly contribute to the violence. molly molloy 

____________________________________________________

http://diario.mx/Local/2016-08-30_1ccec0db/nace-tras-ejecucion-de-su-madre/

Nace tras ejecución de su madre

Francisco Chávez/
El Diario | Miércoles 31 Agosto 2016 | 00:01:00 hrs

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• RELACIONADAS

Muere en hospital baleada en Eréndira

Una bebé de ocho meses de gestación fue rescatada viva del vientre de su madre que murió de varios tiros en la cabeza.María Ana Ávila Zaragoza, de 23 años, fue una de las 11 víctimas de asesinato el pasado fin de semana, uno de los más violentos del año de acuerdo con reportes de la Fiscalía General del Estado (FGE) Zona Norte.

Cerca de las 23:00 horas del sábado la embarazada fue internada de emergencia en un hospital tras ser baleada en la cabeza en la colonia Eréndira.

Los médicos que la intervinieron trabajaron por más de tres horas en una cirugía de alto riesgo para poder salvarla, pero falleció a las 02:18 horas del domingo. Sin embargo la bebé nació con vida.

La FGE dio a conocer que la menor quedó a disposición del DIF y ya se dio parte al Ministerio Público, quien contactará a sus familiares para que se hagan cargo de su custodia.

María Ana se convirtió en la octava mujer asesinada en lo que va del mes, refieren estadísticas oficiales.

En ese mismo hecho, un hombre de 31 años fue lesionado con disparos de arma de fuego, quien se mantiene hospitalizado en estado delicado de salud. Presuntamente sería el padre de la recién nacida.

Este viene a ser el segundo hecho en poco más de un mes en el que sicarios acribillan a una embarazada, refieren archivos periodísticos.

El pasado 13 de julio una mujer con seis meses de gestación sufrió de un atentado cuando se encontraba en su casa de la colonia El Mármol, pero en este caso el bebé falleció y ella sobrevivió.

El bebé de Gloria Denisse Güereca Ramos murió dentro de su cuerpo a causa de dos disparos de arma de fuego que perforaron el cuerpo de ambos.

El ataque armado se registró en una vivienda ubicada en el cruce de las calles Rosa Imperial y Simio. La FGE estableció en ese entonces que el ataque fue directo a la madre de familia, presuntamente por narcomenudeo.

La agresión a balazos en contra de María Ana se registró a las 22:40 horas del sábado sobre la calle Andador Paracho, mientras que su deceso se reportó a las 02:18 horas del domingo.

Al momento del ataque la pareja se encontraba a bordo de un automóvil Aveo gris, modelo 2006, sin placas de circulación.

Sobre el móvil, autoridades aún no establecen las líneas de investigación. Peritos en balística forense tampoco han informado sobre el calibre del arma utilizada en el homicidio y el número casquillos percutidos.