Hurricane Isabel decayed more than 35% quicker than
predicted. This is a typical problem of recent numerical
predictions, which fail often on the events with active
energy conversion or dissipation. This is because that
the turbulent diffusion processes in the atmosphere have a
great effect on the energy conversion, while the current
models are unable to evaluate the diffusions in variant
scales precisely enough. Thus, calculations of dry and
moist atmospheric energy sources may provide an
important method to improve the predictions, as the
diffusion effects may be represented statistically in the
calculations. A rather successful new approach to the
energy calculation in the dry or moist atmospheres may be
referred to my new book: the Large-Scale
Inhomogeneous Thermodynamics-And Application for
Atmospheric Energetics. See the site
http://wave.prohosting.com/nkpub/Please.
Yong Zhu