The 2015 CHAOS Report has recently been released by the Standish Group. The CHAOS Reports have been published every year since 1994 and are a snapshot of the state of the software development industry. This year the report studied 50,000 projects around the world, ranging from tiny enhancements to massive systems re-engineering implementations. This year the report includes an enhanced definition of success looking at some additional factors which were covered in previous surveys.
The results indicate that there is still work to be done around achieving successful outcomes from software development projects. This table summarises the outcomes of projects over the last five years using the new definition of success factors (on time, on budget with a satisfactory result).
With the take up of agile development methods over recent years it was possible to compare project outcomes between agile and traditional waterfall projects. Across all project sizes agile approaches resulted in more successful projects and less outright failures, as shown in this table
Executive Support: when an executive or group of executives agrees to provide both financial and emotional backing. The executive or executives will encourage and assist in the successful completion of the project.
Emotional maturity is the collection of basic behaviors of how people work together. In any group, organization, or company it is both the sum of their skills and the weakest link that determine the level of emotional maturity.
User Involvement: takes place when users are involved in the project decision-making and information-gathering process. This also includes user feedback, requirements review, basic research, prototyping, and other consensus-building tools.
Optimization is a structured means of improving business effectiveness and optimizing a collection of many small projects or major requirements. Optimization starts with managing scope based on relative business value.
SAME is Standard Architectural Management Environment. The Standish Group defines SAME as a consistent group of integrated practices, services, and products for developing, implementing, and operating software applications.
Modest execution is having a process with few moving parts, and those parts are automated and streamlined. Modest execution also means using project management tools sparingly and only a very few features.
Project management expertise is the application of knowledge, skills, and techniques to project activities in order to meet or exceed stakeholder expectations and produce value for the organization.
Jennifer: The Standish Group has redefined project success as onTime, onBudget with a satisfactory result. Success is hard to define and we had a hard time coming to this conclusion. Merriam-Webster dictionary defines success as the fact of getting or achieving wealth: respect or fame: the correct or desired result of an attempt; someone or something that is successful: or a person or thing that succeeds. The Project Management Institute (PMI) has defined success as onTime, onBudget, and onTarget also known as the Triple Constraints and the Iron Triangle. However, we have seen many projects that have met the Triple Constraints and did not return value to the organization or the users and executive sponsor were unsatisfied.
InfoQ: Reading the report, it seems that to have a strongest likelihood of a successful project you need to buy a off the shelf product or modernise an existing system. How would you explain this? Does that mean that all the noise around agile / lean start up practices have not achieved their goal?
Jennifer: Emotional maturity skills are often called the soft skills. Emotional maturity skills include the 5 deadly sins of PM , managing expectations, consensus building, and collaboration. We have identified 50 emotional maturity skills and have tested these skills throughout the world. We saw a major correlation between poor emotional maturity skills and lower success/value rates. We have several educational services around Emotional maturity skills including: low cost reports, appraisals/benchmarks and workshops.
Jennifer: No, this is real shortfall. Moving investments from PM tools and other worthless activities should improve success and value rates. Everyone is looking for a quick fix, but investing in people takes time, but offers a much bigger payout in the end.
InfoQ: The results indicate that a small proportion of organizations are assigning return on investment values across project requirements. How can organizations assign value without looking at ROI across the separate requirements?
Jennifer: Developing ROIs is hard and costly. We suggest our Value Portfolio Optimization and Management Service. ROIs are assigned by relative value, using a scale from 1 to 5 requirements can be categorized and then optimized.
InfoQ: The figures about goal setting seem counter intuitive, in that projects with precise goals are less successful than ones with vauge goals. Does this validate the hypothesis of Takeushi & Nonaka about the knowledge acquisition process (the sponsor / Director has to set a sufficiently vague goal definition to the team to ensure that the team can translate that into their own vision).
Jennifer: We would support Takeushi & Nonaka hypothesis and go a little further. Only that which is unknown produces real value. Having precise goals means you know everything in advance, which is usually not the case. IT is also always trying to align itself with the organization. However as Chairman Jim Johnson would say, if IT and the organization are aligned, one or both are not going fast enough.
Jennifer: We have been a long proponent of pipeline driven or continuous flow software development. We do think this is the correct approach. However, our numbers do not include this approach since we are collecting project profiles. However we are looking at ways to capture this information for future reporting.
Shane Hastie is the Chief Knowledge Engineer for Software Education a training and consulting company working in Australia, New Zealand and around the world. Since first using XP in 2000 Shane's been passionate about helping organisations and teams adopt Agile practices. Shane leads Software Education's Agile Practice, offering training, consulting, mentoring and support for organisations and teams working to improve their project outcomes.In 2011 Shane was elected as a Director of the Agile Alliance.
Stphane Wojewoda is actually working as Lead IT PMO and coach for teams in agile / lean transition in a large retail French Company. Stphane is dedicated to promoting humanism in organisations through the Agile & Lean values and mindset, letting project or product teams choose what they think is best for them.
These reports include classic CHAOS data in different forms with many charts. Most of the charts come from the CHAOS database of over 50,000 in-depth project profiles of the previous 5 years. You have probably seen some of those yellow-red-green charts showing e.g., challenged, failed and successful project percentages.
In the next three sections we get an overview of the principles for the good sponsor, the good team and the good place. Each principle is explained in detail, including the required skills to improve the principle and a related chart showing the resolution of all software projects due to poorly skilled, moderately skilled, skilled and very skilled.
A pity this is the last CHAOS report (there will be an updated version in 2021, but that will not be a completely new CHAOS report). Given that The Standish Group are recommending you move to Flow, they state that there is no need for them to continue to research software projects. I would say not all projects are software projects, why not collect datapoints from non-software projects and start building a database and analyze the impact of the good sponsor, the good team and the good place for these projects too.
Hello,
for my university report I need numbers of successful, failed and challenged for large, medium, small project, could you please inform me if possible to have this special part of the chaos report?
The Standish Group produces the CHAOS Report, with industry research on Project Management and Business Analysis standards, but what does "CHAOS" stand for? "Create Havoc Around Our System"? My Google searches have yielded no discernible results. Perhaps I should be looking it up on Bing instead?...
The comment most indicative of the chaos in project development came from Sid, a project manager at an insurance company. "The project was two years late and three years in development," he said. "We had thirty people on the project. We delivered an application the user didn't need. They had stopped selling the product over a year before."
When a bridge falls down, it is investigated and a report is written on the cause of the failure. This is not so in the computer industry where failures are covered up, ignored, and/or rationalized. As a result we keep making the same mistakes over and over again.
The Standish Group actually explains the acronym in their 2018 report.CHAOS - the Comprehensive Human Appraisal for Originating Software.Basically all about the human factor and how it influences project success.
"Only a few people at The Standish Group, and any one of the 360 people who received and saved the T-shirts we gave out after they completed the first survey in 1994, know what the CHAOS letters represent."
The Standish Group's CHAOS report has been talking of billions ofwasted dollars on IT projects for many years. The 34% success rate isactually a improvement over 2001's figure of 28%. But what do wereally mean by 'failure'?
The chaos report defines successas on-time, on-budget and with most of the expected features. But isthis really success? After all Windows 95 was horribly late yet wasextremely successful for Microsoft's business.
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