Questions are often asked of us that start with the phrase "Does FDS
do ..." As Jianping says, the answer is often "Yes, but ..." There
are some fire scenarios where the fire's HRR is specified, and FDS
computes the transport of smoke and heat throughout the compartment or
building. These calculations are relatively easy to set up, and with
appropriate grid resolution, predict the various quantities of
interest to within about 20% of experimental measurements (US NRC,
NUREG-1824). However, for fire scenarios involving flame spread,
second item ignition, and so on, there are many other issues to
consider. The numerical algorithms in FDS do allow for these
phenomena, but there is more uncertainty in the model inputs, and
error associated with the model assumptions, than those of the smoke
and heat transport application.
How well FDS predicts a particular physical quantity is the subject of
past, present and future validation work. With the upcoming release of
FDS 5.2, we will release the most recent examples of FDS validation.
As we continue to improve the model, we will continue to add new
applications to this guide so that hopefully in the future we can cite
specific examples of FDS performance, and quantify FDS error, in a
more systematic way.