I think it's a little bigger than all of that, guys (and girls).
Nooch may have lost any edge he had in timing and implementing a recap and release or the equivalent.
He's run into the inevitable mindless opposition ("GSE Shit Wall") that long time observers saw and see and I expect his new deputy or assistant Craig Phillips was shocked by it and has turned dovish.
Again, all speculation on my part since I have no Treasury ino, just instincts.